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Mike Black Profile picture
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Sep 30 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Don't buy Lockheed's shit, buy Anduril's somehow different but actually just the same shit in a SV/VC wrapper
This is actually correct but in the complete opposite way that the OP intended to sing Anduril's praises

They know all the BS contracting tactics just like the primes, they're just selling vaporware software instead of actual military hardware
Oh for christ's sake

Fucking DIU, never miss an opportunity to sniff SV jockstraps
I actually don't in any way dislike the idea of DIU in general or even most aspects of how buddy-buddy they are with SV, that's kind of the whole point, but "yaaaas qween" fanboying for a poorly thought out SV founder brain thread is just embarrassing

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More from @MikeBlack114

Mike Black Profile picture
Oct 1
What
Threatening unilaterally directly involving NATO in a conflict without Art V consultations (a war in which Euro allies would eat the first strikes), decapitation strikes, facilitation of counterforce first strikes by proxy, and outright regime change
All things I'm sure would result in a very cool and normal reaction from Moscow and not at all unnecessarily escalate the situation, in which I need to remind everyone they haven't actually yet taken any physical action to back any of their threats
Read 4 tweets
Mike Black Profile picture
Oct 1
Btw this is I think a good example of why real world policy prescriptions need to have an understanding of operational realities in addition to strategic thought
You don't need to have intimate tactical understanding of every system in question (contra recent discourse), but you do need to understand how big picture operational capabilities and limitations may impact your recommendation
In this instance, if we lived in an alternative universe where the current situation is occurring in a world where the Cold War never ended and we still had Pershing IIIs and SS-42s pointed at each other on 5 minute alert, I would certainly say the risk of war is much higher
Read 4 tweets
Mike Black Profile picture
Oct 1
Why would we do this when the Russians have yet to demonstrate a credible threat

By "credible" I mean backed up with actual motion towards use and/or attacks (covert or otherwise) on NATO soil, rather than just more running of their mouths
Things they've done: some vague handwavy NC3 enhancement drill

Things they haven't:

- generated bombers
- flushed road mobile ICBMs from garrison
- put additional SSBNs to sea
- (this is the big one) moved NSNW warheads from central storage to delivery systems
I'd also accept as evidence of significant escalation toward use covert kinetic attacks on NATO territory being used to arm UKR (I don't count whatever the hell the recent NS incident was)
Read 5 tweets
Mike Black Profile picture
Sep 30
Time for this to quietly go away and not hold anyone accountable
And no, for the record, relief with a meaningless letter of reprimand that still allows you to collect a generous taxpayer funded pension and free healthcare for you and your family for the rest of your life isn't "accountability"
Art 92 exists for a reason
Read 4 tweets
Mike Black Profile picture
Sep 29
The fact that someone from Omaha felt bold enough to speak pseudononymously on the record and identify themselves as working for STRATCOM should (but won't) be a massive scandal
either Richard didn't know, in which case he's got folks there who feel they have the right to freelance US strategic policy, or he did know/this was an approved 'leak' in which case *he* thinks he has the right to freelance US strategic policy

Neither is acceptable
And it's a fucking stupid article written by someone who doesn't understand the subject material, quoting individuals with ulterior motives who also do not understand what they are talking about (or less charitably are deliberately pushing falsehoods for their agenda)
Read 5 tweets
Mike Black Profile picture
Sep 18
Btw something that's kind of been missed is the assertion of establishing a line of actual control in the ECS and SCS, which is not only a deeply weird phrase to describe either region but afaik they haven't actually done this?
LAC is a de facto border agreed to by both sides; in the SCS they're of course trying to claim it as a Chinese lake, but even they tacitly acknowledge that no one else agrees the 9 dash line is valid (hence why they don't shoot at craft doing FONOPS, for instance)
In the ECS it's even weirder because beyond 1 or 2 incidents with the maritime militia I'm not aware of anything that could remotely be construed as an attempt to challenge Japanese sovereignty
Read 5 tweets

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