JOSE GEFAELL Profile picture
Sep 30 23 tweets 9 min read
SOUTH KOREA
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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JAPAN
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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HONG KONG
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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SINGAPORE
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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AUSTRALIA
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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THAILAND
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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NETHERLANDS
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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SPAIN
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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ITALY
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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GERMANY
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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SWITZERLAND
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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PORTUGAL
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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NORWAY
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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ISRAEL
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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FINLAND
(Cumulative Non Covid Excess deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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UK
(Cumulative difference between Excess deaths and Covid deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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FRANCE
(Cumulative difference between Excess deaths and Covid deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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UNITED STATES
(Cumulative difference between Excess deaths and Covid deaths since 1 October 2021 up to the date of the latest excess deaths release, as per Our World in Data).
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2022 through July Excess deaths vs Cumulated Cases up to January 2022, and % of population Vaccinated
Cumulative All Cause Excess Deaths in Europe in 2022 through week 38 (Sept 25) is already higher than in 2021 and 2020, especially in those >65.

(These charts do not include Spain because this week did not contribute to EuroMoMo. Spain has a much higher excess in 2022 than 2021)
Europe: Non Covid Excess Deaths as per EuroMoMo Total Excess Deaths and Our World in Data Covid Deaths. (Countries: Aust, Belg, Cyp, Den, Est, Finl, France, Germany, Greece, Hung, Isr, Israel, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, Nether, Norway, Port, Slovenia, Sweden, Switz, UK, Spain).
Beyond the calculation of the non-Covid excess, a large number of countries in 2022 still show rising, not flattening, excess deaths curves. In Europe the excess is 240K, more than 2020 and 2021. In USA it is 196K, slightly lower than 2020 and 2021 but still very high and growing
So, where have all the VE gone?

Sources:
12 months Excess Deaths, Our World in Data: ourworldindata.org/explorers/coro…
12 months Covid Deaths: Our World in Data: ourworldindata.org/explorers/coro…
EuroMoMo: euromomo.eu/graphs-and-map…
USMortality: usmortality.com/deaths/excess-…

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More from @ChGefaell

Sep 26
Correlation does not mean causation..., but flattened curves are not seen thanks to the measures in almost any country. All cause Excess Deaths are still growing strongly in most. And non-Covid excess deaths too (mind the gap between the excess deaths and Covid curves). ImageImageImageImage
The most important curve that should have been flattened is that of all cause excess deaths, but in most countries it continues to grow, in some only from a point in time and in others continuously. And the non-Covid excess deaths also continues to grow. ImageImageImageImage
Nor have the curves flattened in Europe. If the measures had been effective, the curve of deaths from all causes would have flattened significantly, but in many countries the opposite has occurred, increasing the excess deaths from non-Covid causes. ImageImageImageImage
Read 8 tweets
Sep 24
Australia: Large excess deaths. 65% non-Covid. It doesn't fit the narrative that it's because of sequalea from previous Covid infections. Excess deaths have been occurring since at least May 2021, while there have been no significant Covid infections until the end of Dec 2021.
According to the government's own data, in the 12 months from May 2021 to May 2022 total excess deaths was 16,467 people. And no, it can't be the fault of Djokovic's entry in January 2022 🙃, because excess deaths from non-Covid causes were already 76% of the total excess in 2021
Why is there excess deaths in 2021 without sig. Covid cases? Why at the end of Dec there is such a jump in cases and deaths? How about considering all the hypotheses?
“When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.” A.Conan Doyle
Read 4 tweets
Sep 9
Spain: Strange statistics. At the same time that July Excess Deaths is the highest in recorded history (except March-April 2020), higher even than in any winter (also if we remove deaths attributed to heat), Covid deaths between May-August in 2022 are also higher than 2021 & 2020
Download PDF: dropbox.com/s/b9jizm7sq2x2…

Source of data: Government of Spain.
Excess Deaths: MoMo. momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#se…
Covid Deaths: As reported by Expansión datosmacro.expansion.com/otros/coronavi…
Download PDF: dropbox.com/s/b9jizm7sq2x2…

Source of data: Government of Spain.
Excess Deaths: MoMo. momo.isciii.es/panel_momo/#se…
Covid Deaths: As reported by Expansión datosmacro.expansion.com/otros/coronavi…
Read 6 tweets
Sep 5
Si el exceso de mortalidad es por "la relajación de las medidas y la no vacunación", ¿por qué la mitad de este gran exceso es por otras causas distintas del Covid y el calor? Si es por el colapso hospitalario, ¿por qué eso produciría un exceso en olas?
1/n
elmundo.es/ciencia-y-salu…
Este articulo publicado el 4 de septiembre es un claro ejemplo de desinformación. Como mínimo es un artículo muy confuso. Para empezar, el titular no coincide con el contenido. Y durante el artículo embarra el terreno para que el lector no saque ninguna conclusión clara.
Dice el titular:
“LA RELAJACIÓN de las medidas y LA NO VACUNACIÓN: posibles causas del exceso de mortalidad”.
Pero los únicos argumentos que da al respecto son:
Read 17 tweets
Aug 24
Corea del Sur tiene una población equivalente a la de España y está aproximadamente en la misma latitud. Tiene el mismo % de vacunación (casi el 90%) pero mucha más población está triplemente vacunada (casi el 80% vs. España el 54%).
En 2020 y 2021 Corea no tuvo prácticamente muertes por Covid ni exceso por otras causas. Sin embargo, este año 2022, en plena primavera Corea ha tenido una gran ola de exceso de muertes. Durante varias semanas de marzo y abril el exceso ha sido mayor del 70% sobre la referencia.
La referencia para calcular el exceso son las muertes esperables cada semana, que el gobierno allí las calcula como el máximo de muertes de cada semana ocurridas en los tres años previos.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 23
In Spain, according to MoMo's age-adjusted figures, the July excess deaths as a % over baseline is 33.7%, by far the largest excess deaths in recorded history (except March and April 2020, when the pandemic hit), higher even than in any recorded winter as % over base line. Image
Here is the series from 2015 to 2019.
(2015 is the first year recorded by MoMo's age-adjusted excess deaths model. In that year 2015 Spain experienced one of the worst respiratory disease seasons in its recent history). Image
If the non-Covid excess was due to some sort of collateral damage from lockdowns, medical delays or having passed Covid, it would be unlikely that the delayed effects of that would show up in waves, synchronously in many people at once, as we see in Spain and several countries. Image
Read 19 tweets

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