Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
Oct 2, 2022 23 tweets 12 min read Read on X
Over the last week, the mainstream news media claimed that hurricanes are becoming more frequent & intense, but they’re not, as the data clearly show. What’s more, it’s clear that the media are engaging in *deliberate* misinformation. These aren’t innocent mistakes. ImageImage
Consider this article in @FT claiming that “hurricane frequency is on the rise,” based on NOAA data.

But NOAA says “After adjusting for a likely under-count of hurricanes in the pre-satellite era there is essentially no long-term trend in hurricane counts.” ImageImageImage
In fact, NOAA writes, “The evidence for an upward trend is even weaker if we look at U.S. landfalling hurricanes, which even show a slight negative trend beginning from 1900 or from the late 1800s.” ImageImage
In other words, the graphic @FT chose to show of apparently rising hurricane frequency is, in reality, a graphic showing improved hurricane detection thanks to satellites.

What are the chances that FT reporter @Aime_Williams didn’t know this? I would guess close to zero.
It’s possible that @Aime_Williams was careless but I doubt it. I would bet good money that she read NOAA’s web site, which clearly warns that “there is essentially no long-term trend in hurricane counts,” and chose to ignore it in order to sensationalize.

gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming…
What about intensity? Same story. Writes NOAA, “after adjusting for changes in observing capabilities (limited ship observations) in the pre-satellite era, there is no significant long-term trend (since the 1880s) in the proportion of hurricanes that become major hurricanes.“
Bottom line? “We conclude that the data do not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced century-scale increase in:  frequency of tropical storms, hurricanes, or major hurricanes, or in the proportion of hurricanes that become major hurricanes.”
Against the best-available science, the news media unleashed a hurricane of misinformation using the exact same manipulation of data as @Aime_Williams. @FT

The quantity of pseudoscience & journalistic irresponsibility is breathtaking. ImageImageImageImage
And now it’s clear that activist scientists at the UN are working with Google to control the information available on climate change.

This is dark, chilling stuff.
To the extent the cost of hurricanes is rising it’s due entirely to greater wealth in harm’s way. Consider how much more developed Miami Beach is today compared to a century ago. Once you adjust for rising wealth, there is no trend of rising costs. ImageImage
Is it possible that hurricane intensity will rise in the future? Yes. NOAA predicts a 5% increase in hurricane intensity. But it also predicts a 25% decline in hurricane frequency.

I have not seen a single mainstream news media outlet mention any of this. Image
This is not complicated. The information is not hidden away somewhere. NOAA even boldfaces its key conclusion.

Journalists know this. They’ve been covering this for decades. It’s clear that they are actively trying to mislead the public.

gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming… Image
I have made a complete debunking of environmental alarmism available on-line. All slides have references to the best-available science or primary data.

environmentalprogress.org/the-case-again…
These are they key take-aways:

- weather-related disasters are declining not increasing

- rising human resilience massively outweighs climate change

- every major environmental trend is headed in the right direction ImageImageImage
I pushed back against misinformation on hurricanes and climate change in Congress last month at a hearing on… climate change misinformation
Final note: August had no hurricanes for the first time in 25 years. Hardly anybody wrote about it. Compare that to the wall of misinformation about a single hurricane last week.

The media have an agenda. They are peddling pseudoscience. They can’t be trusted. Image
Egregious misinformation by the @nytimes ImageImage

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More from @shellenberger

Jul 30
Victory! President @realDonaldTrump Treasury Dept. has imposed sanctions on the Brazilian tyrant, Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who is preventing former President @jairbolsonaro from competing with President @LulaOficial in presidential elections next year. This is a major victory for free speech and democracy. Bravo!Image
For decades, the media have demanded financial sanctions against tyrants. But now that Trump is imposing sanctions against Left-wing tyranny, the media is crying about sovereignty. The hypocrisy is so thick you can cut it with a knife. Witness the propaganda:Image
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“Alexandre de Moraes has taken it upon himself to be judge and jury in an unlawful witch hunt against U.S. and Brazilian citizens and companies. De Moraes is responsible for an oppressive campaign of censorship, arbitrary detentions that violate human rights, and politicized prosecutions—including against former President Jair Bolsonaro.  Today’s action makes clear that Treasury will continue to hold accountable those who threaten U.S. interests and the freedoms of our citizens.” @SecScottBessent

home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…Image
Read 4 tweets
Jul 28
Trump’s tariff push failed, the media said. But the new US-EU trade deal shows it worked spectacularly well. The US will get 10x more in revenue from tariffs on EU imports, and $600B more in direct investment from EU. Even Trump haters say it’s a big win for the US. Image
It was obvious back in April that the aggressive tariffs were a negotiating strategy. A bunch of supposedly smart people acted really dumb about this because they are market ideologues and/or TDS sufferers.
As we noted back in April, the tariffs are the messy birth of a new world order. 

Nice to see the @nytimes finally acknowledge this. The “framework seemed likely to permanently reshape the trading relationship between two of the world’s largest and most interconnected economies.”

Nothing succeeds like success.Image
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Read 9 tweets
Jul 24
It's better to let mentally ill people buy and use meth and fentanyl on sidewalks, believes Gavin Newsom, than arrest their drug dealers, and them, and mandate rehab.

But enabling Mexican-Chinese drug mafias to murder mentally ill Americans with fentanyl, as they do everyday and did again a few hours ago in San Francisco, as the video below by @war24182236 shows, is barbaric and pathological.

I thus applaud Trump's announcement that he will crack down on open air drug use and the government policies that encourage addiction.

Harm reduction led to drug deaths rising from 20,000 in 2000 to over 100,000 in 2023. The federal government should have acted decades ago to stop the barbarism.

Seventy percent of Californians last November voted to crack down on fentanyl. Newsom opposed that measure (Prop 36) and is starving its implementation of resources, for the simple reason that he needs Soros money for his presidential run.

Californians should support the federal government in, finally, doing the right thing on addiction and the drug death crisis.
From the US to Europe to Asia, there is one and only one humane way to deal with "homelessness" and it's this, below. It's wonderful to see it in this new Executive Order by @realDonaldTrump :

"The Order redirects funding to ensure that individuals camping on streets and causing public disorder and that are suffering from serious mental illness or addiction are moved into treatment centers, assisted outpatient treatment, or other facilities."

whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/20…Image
Congratulations to everyone who has worked hard to expose the drug death and addiction crisis and demand rational action. Be sure to follow @Gina_McDee @JacquiBerlinn @Twolfrecovery @EricaJSandberg @bettersoma @war24182236 to demand action at all levels of government.

Read 7 tweets
Jul 22
At first they said it was only polite to refer to someone by their preferred pronounds. Then, they demanded social media censorship. Now, governments are fining, and may soon jail, people who deny the lie that men can become women. This is as terrifying as anything in "1984." Image
European and Latin American leaders are at this moment working together to create a global Censorship Industrial Complex that will require every person online to deny biological reality and embrace pseudoscience. Image
Brazil's highest court could soon decide whether to imprison a women's rights activist for up to 25 years for a single sentence spoken in an Instagram video and the sharing of four X posts written by others, even though neither her words nor those of others violated any existing Brazilian law.

Under Article 213 of Brazil’s Penal Code, the base sentence for rape is 6 to 10 years for standard cases and 8 to 12 years if the rape involves violence or serious threat and causes serious bodily harm. As such, Cêpa could receive a prison term twice as long as what men receive for rape.

The Supreme Court decided to reopen a case against Isabela Cêpa, which may determine whether the court can criminalize speech by judicial decree, bypassing the democratic process entirely. In fact, a federal judge had already dismissed the case, agreeing with prosecutors that Cêpa’s statements did not meet the legal threshold for hate speech and that no law had been violated.

"The Supreme Court took the case and now they have only two options," Cêpa told me in our interview. "One of them is to admit that they're applying a law that does not exist and [that] they're punishing people for crimes that do not exist. And the other option would be to send me to jail. I'm pretty sure what their decision will be."

The 32-year-old feminist activist's journey to exile began at an airport in Brazil in July 2024. Eight federal police officers surrounded her, she says, poring over her case file with puzzled expressions.

"Do you know about any charges or anything against you?" she recalls them asking.

"This makes no sense," she says one police officer commented after reading the charges. According to her account, they held the plane at the gate while deciding her fate. "This is a case of political persecution. You're not safe," she says an officer told her before escorting her onto a flight to Madrid.

Brazilian authorities had flagged her name at every airport in the country, she says. Since that day, she says she has lived in forced exile, moving between locations, unable to return home....

Please subscribe to support Public's defense of free speech, read the rest of the article, and watch the full video!

x.com/shellenberger/…
Read 4 tweets
Jul 11
Whether @AGPamBondi , @FBIDirectorKash , and/or @FBIDDBongino stay or go, one thing is clear: the Trump admin. must release the Epstein Files. It's our God-given right to know. The issue has transcended partisanship, and neither the Right nor Left are moving on. Image
"This is the worst coverup of my lifetime... If you can get away with this, you really can get away with anything.

"If the government can tell people to not believe what they just said a few months ago and have everyone be fine with that.

"That's a level of gaslighting that I refuse to be a part of.

"Never forget, they just promised us names in the release of the Epstein files." @coffeebreak_YT

This is essential viewing:

"The Worst Coverup Of My Lifetime."
"The Story Keeps Changing"

This is also essential watching. Just see for yourself the statements people have been making, and how their stories changed dramatically.
Read 6 tweets
Jul 10
Harvard Law Professor Emeritus Alan Dershowitz just now: " I know for a fact [Epstein] documents are being suppressed and they're being suppressed to protect individuals. I know the names of the individuals, I know why they're being suppressed. I know who's suppressing them, but I'm bound by confidentiality from a judge and cases, and I can't disclose what I know. But, hand to God, I know the names of people whose files are being suppressed in order to protect them, and that's wrong."

@SeanSpicer : “Just out of curiosity, without names, are these politicians, business leaders…”

Dershowtiz: “Both. Everything.”
The lip synching is messed up but it's real and not AI. Here's the original:

Correction: The video is from 3 months ago. @seanspicer posted it just now.
Read 4 tweets

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