Annie Duke Profile picture
Oct 4 18 tweets 7 min read
So much gratitude to @R_Thaler, not just for blurbing #QUIT, but for his support from the beginning of the writing process. Richard is such a giant in the field of behavioral economics. His research is so foundational to the ideas in the book.
@R_Thaler, winner of the 2017 Nobel prize in Economic Sciences, was kind enough to hop a zoom call with a stranger to discuss our bias against quitting. That first call turned into many more over the course of a year.
He also read many early drafts, offering deeply insightful comments on how to make the book better. I am so honored to have had his thought partnership, who wouldn’t be?
@R_Thaler pointed out the omission in the early drafts of #QUIT of a discussion of mental accounting and the aversion we have to closing mental accounts in the losses, a topic that he has written extensively about.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…
Specifically, once we start something, we open a mental account. If we accrue losses for that account, we will be averse to quitting as we don’t want to close accounts in the losses. This means that we will irrationally stick with paths that are not going well.
Back in 1980, @R_Thaler published a seminal paper, "Toward a positive theory of consumer choice", which was the first to identify the sunk cost effect as a general phenomenon.
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
This same paper identified the endowment effect, a bias where we value things we own much more than identical things we don’t own. @R_Thaler
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Both sunk cost & endowment contribute to our bias against quitting. Sunk cost prevents us from stopping things for fear we'll have wasted what we have already spent if we quit.
Endowment makes us put a higher value on things we own (including our beliefs) which makes it harder to quit them.
@R_Thaler coauthored a seminal book in behavioral economics. _Nudge_ along with @CassSunstein. This book is a must-read in the space and a perennial bestseller, exploring how we can architect our environment to encourage better decision making. amazon.com/Nudge-Final-Ri…
@R_Thaler also talks about sludge, the opposite of a nudge, where environments are architected to make rational decisions harder, like the endless, unintuitive forms that bureaucracies favor.
@Richard_Thaler is the author of _Misbehaving_, an autobiographical account of the struggle to transform economics from old school rational actor theory to our modern understanding of human behavior & cognitive bias.

amazon.com/Misbehaving-Be…
The thing about Misbehaving, and what you should also know about @R_Thaler, is that the book is really funny. Richard is so able to laugh at himself. He is really charming…a bonus to go with his considerable intellectual heft.
I so treasure the gift that I got in the opportunity to learn from him.
I am leaving out a huge amount of his work simply because this thread would go on for about 100 posts if I tried to cover it all. That being said, his work on irrationality in pro-sports decisions is awesome & definitely ask him his opinion on how to improve scoring in tennis!
I am so grateful for his hand in #QUIT. Thank you, @R_Thaler for everything you have done for me & my work.
@R_Thaler Here is @R_Thaler’s blurb: “Every business school has a course in starting new businesses, but few have a course in shutting them down at the right time. This book fills that gap with brilliant new insights and fantastic stories.
"Quit what you are doing right now and start reading this book." - @R_Thaler

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More from @AnnieDuke

Oct 4
So grateful to @astroteller and @Theteamatx for all their help with #QUIT. 1/

QUIT: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away a.co/d/acms0Q7
Aside from just being a super cool dude, @astroteller is obsessed with getting people to quit things on time, maybe more obsessed than I am! 2/
The mental model of Monkeys and Pedestals that I talk about in #QUIT comes from @astroteller. 3/
Read 14 tweets
Oct 2
QUIT shouldn’t be a dirty word.

In the popular mind, quitting means failing, capitulating, losing. Quitting is a weakness, a vice. 1/
In comparison, grit is a virtue. Perseverance builds character. In fact, it is character. The ones who stick with it are the heroes of the story. 2/
But it shouldn’t be this way, where grit is good & quitting is bad. Context matters. If you stick to something that is no longer worth it, like a dead-end job, a toxic relationship, or a stock that’s a loser, there’s nothing wrong with quitting. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Oct 1
Huge thank you to @BrianChristian for blurbing #QUIT. Brian is the author of ALGORITHMS TO LIVE BY along with the incomparable Tom Griffiths. It is a perennial best seller that explores how simple computer algorithms can untangle human decision making.
amazon.com/Algorithms-Liv…
ALGORITHMS TO LIVE BY offers deep insight into “when to leave things to chance, how to deal with overwhelming choices and how best to connect with others. From finding a spouse to finding a parking spot, from organizing one’s inbox to peering into the future” MUST READ!
.@BrianChristian is also the author of THE ALIGNMENT PROBLEM, a finalist for the @latimesbooks Prize. It’s “a jaw-dropping exploration of everything that goes wrong when we build AI systems and the movement to fix them.” An important book in today’s world.
amazon.com/Alignment-Prob…
Read 6 tweets
Sep 29
So grateful to Daniel Kahneman for blurbing #QUIT. Also shoutout to @WolfeJosh who introduced me to Danny 4 years ago. What an amazing intro! Danny was incredibly generous w/his time during the writing process, hopping on many zooms with me to help me think through the topic.
Kahneman’s work, much of it with Amos Tversky, is so foundational to the ideas in #QUIT. The concept of sure loss aversion (the bias against turning paper losses into realized losses, which stops you from stopping things when you are in the losses) comes from those conversations.
Loss aversion also biases us against quitting. Loss aversion makes us not want to start things where we might experience a bad outcome & regret. Since quitting means starting something new (ie quitting your job to find another) loss aversion stops us from switching to new things.
Read 9 tweets
Sep 27
Thank you @ShaneAParrish for blurbing #QUIT. Shane is, of course, the founder of @farnamstreet which is an incredible community for those committed to becoming better thinkers and decision makers. fs.blog/blog/
@ShaneAParrish also has a great newsletter, Sunday Brain Food, “timeless ideas you can use to create wealth, live a meaningful life, and achieve unstoppable progress.” I’m a subscriber and you should be to!

fs.blog/newsletter/
@ShaneAParrish is also obsessed with mental models and has written extensively on the topic, publishing The Great Mental Models (3 volumes!). These are great books to help you become a better thinker.

amazon.com/Great-Mental-M…
Read 5 tweets
Sep 25
So grateful to @donandrewmoore for supporting #QUIT and blurbing it. Don was crucial in helping me with the section of the book on over optimism and how that contributes to our bias against quitting. He is my go to guy on all things overconfidence😊
I first talked to @Donandrewmoore about quitting back in Jan of 2021 as I was working on the proposal for #QUIT. What day in January?? January 6th!
As we were zooming, I started getting a barrage of texts about what was happening at the Capitol. I realized I had not heard a word of the last few minutes of anything
@donandrewmoore had said so suggested that perhaps we should both go watch the news & reconvene at a later date.
Read 8 tweets

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