๐ฅ Svatove-Kreminna:
๐บ๐ฆ has taken pause to replenish reserves and then continue very soon.
๐ท๐บ managed to hold positions, also hoping to rearm and replenish, but it will be harder for them.
Svatove-Kreminna road reportedly cut by ๐บ๐ฆ. ๐ท๐บ sources already discussing defense of Svatove.
๐ฅ Kherson: ๐บ๐ฆ liberated significant area of ๐ท๐บ occupied territories north of Kherson.
Areas like Davydiv Brid, Velyka Oliksandrivka had strong ๐ท๐บ defenses and heavy battles before, now fallen in less than 24h. Front-line decreased from 200km to 140km on west bank of Dnipro. ๐ท๐บ retreated away from Inhulets river, now don't have natural barriers.
Once first line of ๐ท๐บ defense is broken, it's easy from then on. Decreasing area of ๐ท๐บ bridgehead increases it's concentration, and endangers it from ๐บ๐ฆ light artillery (10-15km). Unconfirmed rumors of ๐บ๐ฆ attacking from 3 directions today.
Hotel in Kherson hosting high ranking ๐ท๐บ military and FSB hit by artillery, at least 10 killed.
Multiple artillery hits on Antonovka bridge and usual targets. In last month 2500 out of 25k๐ท๐บ solders killed from Kherson group. Wounded about 2 out of 10 [5000].
๐ฅ Russian attacks:
๐ท๐บ did drone attack on Bila Tserkva near Kyiv, possibly launched from territory of ๐ง๐พ Belarus. 6 out of 12 did hit something. ๐ท๐บ continues bombing of Kharkiv, Chernihiv Sumy, Mykolaiv, Dnipro districts, ๐บ๐ฆ intercepting part of missiles.
๐ฅ Mobilization:
Shoigu announced 200k mobilized, ๐บ๐ฆ has information of 92k concentrated in training grounds. Multiple problems with drafting and equipment, weapons. ๐ท๐บ officers doubt ability to create task forces at operational and even sub-battalion level.
If this goes on, even recruiting 17 million won't change much on battlefield. New record from recruitment to death in battlefield - 4 days. Medical care is non-existing, there isn't even clothing and food for mobilized.
๐ฅ Nuclear war:
๐ท๐บ officials know how to press button, but they don't know how to make war.
If ๐ท๐บ wants limited nuclear war, they need to be very careful to not escalate to global nuclear war, and still need a lots of solders to capture territories.
๐ท๐บ can't even supply clothing, food or medicine.
Nobody is even sure of the sate of ๐ท๐บ tactical nuclear weapons.
Most ๐บ๐ฆ citizens are already over fear of nuclear attack, they will only get angrier.
Parents are discussing medical and safety issues in case of nuclear attack, they are not afraid.
๐ฅ Kadyrov:
Kadyrov got promoted to Colonel General. This is huge spit in face of all existing ๐ท๐บ officers, a public humiliation.
๐ฅ Mental breakdown:
After WW2, many ๐ฉ๐ช had shock due to brutality seen. Average ๐ท๐บ citizen does support pulled teeth, torture, firing squad, rape of children, mass graves. Their breakdown will be not due to brutality witnessed, but due to loss to ๐บ๐ฆ.
๐ฅ Kherson supplies:
When all pontoon ferries are working (it's hard task to track them all), ๐ท๐บ gets about 1/3 of their needed supplies. ๐ท๐บ captured near Kherson have lost 10-15kg, have blank eyes, they absolutely don't trust command, can't establish communications for 3 days.
Those were contract solders from elite ๐ท๐บ units.
๐ฅ Russian officers:
Greetings from some ๐บ๐ฆ agency, if some ๐ท๐บ general or officer wants to switch sides, start thinking of what to bring, because nobody won't be accepted with empty hands.
There are options for witness protection, residence permit, etc.
๐ฅ Sanctions:
Referenda don't influence anything, all sanctions are already planned, as are weapon supplies and everything else. Nobody is doubting ๐ท๐บ loss anymore.
Next broadcasts on Friday and Saturday.
โข โข โข
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๐บ๐ฆ army continues to accumulate forces and hit ๐ท๐บ positions with artillery.
Minor clashes are happening at the local, tactical level. We may see ๐บ๐ฆ resuming their counteroffensive soon.๐ท๐บ is sending all the resources to Svatove & Bahmut.
๐ฅ Svatove direction
๐บ๐ฆ continues to hit ๐ท๐บ positions, preparing to resume the counteroffensive in Svatove direction. ๐ท๐บ has transferred forces to Kreminna-Rubizhne & is preparing to defend Svatove.
Sadly, today we have both good and bad news. Strikes at Ukrainian cities have increased, including those by Shahed-136 kamikaze drones.
This could be linked to putinโs birthday, though no one knows his real age. One version suggests itโs 70, another that it is 72.
The enemy continues attempts to occupy the Donetsk Oblast, and interfere with Ukrainian defensive measures in certain areas.
The Russians are carrying out shelling along the whole frontline and all operational directions, conducting air recon, and cynically striking civilian infrastructure, in addition to assault operations in certain areas.
AFU command does not comment on the ongoing operations & it may take time for the official statement from ๐บ๐ฆ to come out. Yet, judging by the reports from ๐ท๐บ sources, ๐บ๐ฆ is advancing simultaneously in multiple directions.
๐ฅ Kupyansk-Svatove direction
๐บ๐ฆ are advancing simultaneously from Kupyansk and from Yarova/Drobyshevo/Slovyansk in the Svatove direction.
The first losses of the โRussian territoryโ -ย Lyman quickly โwithdrewโ from the Russian Federation, followed by other settlements of Kharkiv, Donetsk and Lugansk regions. The Lyman group comprised five battalions.
The AF of Ukraine destroyed a lot of the enemy force and took enemy equipment and ammunition. In Zarichne, the reinforcements sent there to defend Lyman are in danger of encirclement. The tragedy of Lyman is entirely Putinโs fault. RU army should have withdrawn two days ago.
๐ฅ Battlefield update:
๐ฅ Lyman:
conflicting information, according to some sources โ there exists a road, thatโs under ๐บ๐ฆ fire control, other sources say itโs total encirclement.
There are several outcomes โ everyone gets captured, ๐บ๐ฆ gets equipment, part gets destroyed or captured, part manages to break through. ๐ท๐บ had significant defense built up during 3 weeks, and ๐บ๐ฆ was not having easy time.
๐บ๐ฆ keepsย advancing - liberated four more villages, another 2 reported to be under ๐บ๐ฆ control by the Russian sources.
Unclear if the ๐ท๐บ regular army actually had time to retreat. Unconfirmed information from ๐ท๐บ reporting 2 battalions of mobilized & and a โD/LPRโ brigade with regular army leaving Lyman. The supply and retreat routes are under ๐บ๐ฆ fire control.
๐บ๐ฆ reportedly moved to liberate Kreminna & expand from Bilogorivka towards Lysychansk/Severodenetsk. If the ๐บ๐ฆ continues this movement, it will recover a large part of the Lugansk region.