Thread by @Mrczarr

Tinubu performed better than Peter Obi!!
…let us look at it CRITICALLY
Say I want to hire someone to run Facebook ads for me [Stay with me, this will be easy to understand).

I give one manager a 1 Million naira budget.
I give the other one a 200k budget. [A Thread]

The one million naira guy brought in 200 orders with his budget, while the one with 200k budget brought in just 50 orders.

Who is a better Facebook ad manager?

The one with the 1 Million naira budget & 200 orders, right?…hold on. Don’t be that fast, tiger.

That is not the way to judge. A smart person will dig DEEPER. He will look at the metrics. He would ask

What is the click through rate?

The conversion rate?

The cost per conversion?

ROI?

You will not judge one to be better simply because they had a bigger budget.

Same in governance - Lagos is seat to the corporate headquarters of more than 80% of the biggest companies in Nigeria, Sea Ports; the Impact of the war, and all that.

But let us forget all that.

Let us look at the METRICS…like any smart person who does NOT think with emotions would.

Just like in Facebook ads; there are also metrics you use to judge governance.

They are:

1.) Gross National Income per Capita
2.) Life Expectancy
3.) Human Development Index (HDI)
4.) Health Index
5.) Educational Index
6.) Income Index

So let us compare Lagos under Tinubu vs Anambra under Peter Obi, this time - THE RIGHT WAY.

1.) Global National Income Per Capita
====
The Lagos State Government under BAT (2003-2007): In 2003, the GNI of the state stood at about N8.887billion, and in 2007 at about N9.218billion, a growth of 3.72%.

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, GNI stood at N9.218billion and in 2014 at N9.303billion, a growth of 0.92%.

Anambra(2007-2014): In 2007, the GNI of the state stood at N8.823billion, and in 2014 at about N9.220billion, a growth of 4.50%

2.) Life Expectancy
===
BAT(2003-2007): In 2003, life expectancy rate in Lagos State stood at 55.40 years, and in 2007 at 56.80 pears, a growth of 2.54%.

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, life expectancy of Lagos State st at 56.81 years, and in 2014 at 58.21 years, a growth of 2.46%.

Anambra (2007-2014): In 2007, life expectancy stood at about 53.55 years, in 2014 at 58.97 years, a growth of 10.12%

3.) Human Development Index (HDI)
====
BAT(2003-2007): In 2003, the HDI of Lagos State stood at about 0.610%, and in 2007 at 0.630%, a growth of 3.28%

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, the HDI stood at 0.630%, and in 2014 at 0.644%, a growth of 5.40%

Anambra (2007-2014): In 2007, HDI was at 0.569%, and in 2014 at 0.65%, a growth of 15.82%

4.) Health Index
====
BAT(2003-2007): In 2003, the health index of Lagos State stood at 0.545%, and in 2007 at 0.566%, a growth of 3.85%.

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, 2021 it stood at 0.566%, and in 2014 at 0.588%, a growth of 3.89%.

Anambra(2007-2014): In 2007, the health index of the state stood at 0.516%, and in 2014 at 0.600%, a growth of 16.30%

5.) Educational Index
====
Lagos under BAT(2003-2007): In 2003, the educational index of Lagos State was about 0.645%, in 2007 at 0.634%, a DECLINE of -0.011%.

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, it was at 0.634%, in 2014 at 0.702%, a growth of 10.73%.

Anambra(2007-2014): In 2007, the educational index was at 0.560%, in 2014 at 0.686%, a growth of 22.5%

6.) Income Index
====
BAT(2003-2007): In 2003, the income index of Lagos State was about 0.647%, in 2007 at 0.697%, a growth of 7.73%.

Lagos(2007-2014): In 2007, it was at 0.697%, in 2014 at 0.710%, a growth of 1.86%

Anambra(2007-2014): In 2007, the income index of the State was at 0.637%, in 2014 at 0.697%, a growth of 9.42%

Peter Obi outperformed Bola Tinubu in all sectors with the little he was given. Men lie, spokes persons lie - BUT THE NUMBERS DO NOT LIE.

…but the fact is this; I am not putting this out to argue with anyone, or prove anything.

I am a very logical person.

I look at issues like this with ZERO emotions - no tribal sentiment, no religious sentiment, no vibe and insha allah.

AND BECAUSE I am looking at this with ZERO EMOTIONS, I see this so clearly and I have this to say.

Nigeria is broke.

Very broke.

The Reps just Approved ₦8.4tn Borrowing, ₦6.3tn will be used to service Debts.

What we need is someone that knows how to steer the wheels when they are given very little…because right now Nigeria has very little.

If we get in a lavish person who has even a TAINT of corruption, the next 4 years will be worse than the last 8 years COMBINED.

This is not a matter of God forbid, or It is not my portion - the nUMBERS do not lie.

However 2023 goes; this is not a matter of whether the party you support wins or loses.

It is a matter of if YOU win or lose.

I hope Nigerians win. I really hope they do...because if they don't, what waits on the other side will be really really scary.

[ Inspiration from Ayodeji Oyewumi's article: mediatracnet.com/the-parable-of… ] @iam_ayooyewumi