On the eve of the invasion, RU propaganda accused Ukraine of alleged planning an offensive at Donbas and used to confirm this the increase in the number of ceasefire violations on the frontline. Recently I saw it being used again.
So a short 🧵 thread.
So a short 🧵 thread.
https://twitter.com/brianAburman/status/1580445022117588995
The number of violations did increase, but even so it remained lower than two years before.
2022: osce.org/files/2022-02-…
2022: osce.org/files/2022-02-…
2020: osce.org/files/2020-02-…
This is due to the fact that in the summer of 2020, the most successful ceasefire was signed in all the years of the war in Donbas, there was not a single violation during the month. Subsequently, the number of violations began to gradually increase, but...
...but still remained much smaller than before the summer 2020.
Also important that the OSCE records the total number of violations and does not write what proportion of them is the responsibility of one or another party (this is often difficult or even impossible to determine).
Also important that the OSCE records the total number of violations and does not write what proportion of them is the responsibility of one or another party (this is often difficult or even impossible to determine).
So if we take into account the context and subsequent events, we can confidently conclude that the number of violations increased due to the actions of the (pro)Russian military.
And finally, it is worth mentioning that civilian victims were also on both sides of the front line. Here is a good article by @mkaradjis on this topic.
mkaradjis.com/2022/06/16/on-…
And here is my short thread about it.
mkaradjis.com/2022/06/16/on-…
And here is my short thread about it.
https://twitter.com/ahatanhel/status/1573232805949087746
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