Thread by @wil_da_beast630

There are some major and obvious logical problems with the John Oliver/anti-Littman argument that the recent 4,000% increase in "trans kids" is due simply to increased social acceptance and has nothing to do with 'ROGD.'

A short thread...

(2) First, a core talking point on the left is that societal acceptance of "LGBTQIAA2S" people is NOT on the rise - that there has been a back-lash since ~2016, and that hate crimes and other metrics used to track tolerance are up.

A typical piece: pbs.org/newshour/natio…

(2) Even if you argue that's^ not true - which I mostly do - the patterns of trans identification we see don't track at all with growing general acceptance.

The phenomenon is almost totally concentrated among kids, mostly upper-middle class and white...usatoday.com/story/news/nat…

(3) There also are numerical problems that make the "always were this many trans people" argument ~impossible.
If NON-affirmed people with gender dysphoria kill themselves - a core claim in this debate - why do we see rising rates of youth suicide alongside the 4,000% growth?

(4) The alternative explanation seems to make a lot more sense: years of "Gender-Bread Man" lessons in schools, sex-flex influencers on YouTube, Gender Studies as a top-30 major, etc. have made specifically YOUNG people without classic GD more likely to claim a flex identity.

(5) The obvious response question here is: "Who cares? Why is it an issue if kids want to flex genders?"

But, there is a brutally real answer - millions of people are likely about to be processed into the MEDICAL pipeline of hormones, surgeries, etc used to treat trad/real GD.