Got to be one of the most racist things on US TV in 50 years. Carlson talking about white women "as the key to reproducing the white race," and claiming black people are targeting white women for that reason.
Adds that a black anchor "can barely speak a coherent sentence."
Beyond shocking that this goes on night after night and it's treated as a goofy political sideshow. It's Klan talk, coming from the loudest media voice behind one of our two major parties.
Exactly right. In 2020 and 2021, institutions decided there was nothing worse you could be than "woke," and it was like our institutional immune system against vile bigotry collapsed. Suddenly you could say this stuff and barely anyone would push back.
The anti-woke thing was the permission structure white elites had been waiting for, to start saying whatever they want. In a matter of months everything from open antisemitism to "white lives matter" to criminalizing LGBT people has been broadly normalized.
I genuinely have started to wonder if it's only a matter of time before Carlson decides say the n-word on live TV. He'd probably get away with it, too, since he'd claim he was just talking about the "double standard" or some such. There just truly are no taboos left.
It really can't be emphasized enough: IT WASN'T LIKE THIS TEN YEARS AGO. Even when a black man was elected president, it wasn't like this. This wasn't how Americans always were.
These ideas are being ACTIVELY spread, from elite validators, in mainstream and right-wing media.
What's happening here isn't that Americans are racist and have been waiting for Tucker Carlson. What we're witnessing is far-right ideas infecting our most high-profile institutions, and using those institutions to propagandize themselves into the general population.
The reason we've been unable to fight back is that we keep looking for the source of the racist rot in the wrong places. It's coming from the head: corroded political, social, and media institutions that have talked themselves out of any willingness to resist fascist politics.
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Political scientists need to read this Philip Bump article and explain to him that his math is bad. He examined the relationship between gas prices and polls and found a (ludicrous, false) -0.91 correlation. This idea is seriously affecting the election. washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/…
I really cannot say this loudly enough: THERE IS NOT A NEARLY ONE-TO-ONE CORRELATION BETWEEN GAS PRICES AND POLLS. The link is weak enough to be difficult to detect without major controls, which were not applied here.
Bump screwed up because he determined the correlation between two time series, one of which was rising and the other of which was falling. This will produce an artificially powerful correlation coefficient, but is the very definition of a spurious correlation. Utter malpractice.
Okay while I agree with the underlying sentiment, that media has failed to convey the real stakes of the election, we really need to be clear: PEOPLE AREN’T FLOCKING AWAY FROM DEMOCRATS BECAUSE GAS PRICES
As I said yesterday, you can see this trivially by just looking at polls interposed on gas prices. There’s no real relationship! Polls and prices are just moving all around, sometimes the same time, sometimes not.
It is REALLY IMPORTANT that media figures do a better job of grasping this. The problem is EVERYONE IS ACTING LIKE THE ELECTION SHOULD BE ABOUT GAS PRICES (and inflation, etc.) and voters hear that message. But there’s no strong inevitable relationship between prices and polls.
So in one 48 hour period, Elon Musk decided:
-after spending a year completely failing to get out of his Twitter deal, he is enthusiastic about buying Twitter, even though the deal is still terrible for him
-also, he loves Putin and Russia and thinks they should get Ukraine
Since then:
-His plans for the company have emerged and they’re comically destructive
-The deal looks even worse for him than ever and his previous backers are fleeing
-His Russophilia has become almost demonstrative as he exchanges friendly tweets with the leaders
I mean gonna be honest, the more I think about it the more it looks 100% like a scheme to abandon his failing legal strategy to dump Twitter and have it blocked by the US government instead. He’s practically sending heart-eyes emojis to war criminals, it’s not subtle
We’re like “Wow! Swing voters are so incoherent!” But of course the media signal is equally incoherent, jumping from obsessive abortion coverage to “Wait, why won’t Dems talk about the economy?”
A fun fact about politics is that people learn about it from the news and social media, and if something gets repeated in those places, voters will also repeat that thing
There is no overwhelming, predictable relationship between partisan generic ballot and average gas prices. It just doesn't exist.
In the last few months, gas prices have bounced up and down, and so has the generic ballot, but sometimes the poll changes precede gas price changes, sometimes small price changes accompany big partisan changes. There just isn't any obvious relationship here.
That doesn't mean that gas prices have no effect whatsoever on polling - indeed, political science suggests there is some small direct effect - but it means that the effect is overwhelmed by other factors. Low gas prices don't mean Ds win, and high prices don't mean Rs win.
It's self-fulfilling prophecy. Scandals matter when we agree they matter, we talk about them, and treat them as a big deal. But "savvy" political reporting has decided they don't matter. When scandal breaks, there's no outrage, just stories asking "Will it matter?" So they don't.
I mean, think about how a scandal "matters." Do people spontaneously rise up and eject a politician from office with torches or pitchforks? Or, more commonly, are people turned against a politician because other elite validators increasingly condemn the scandal-plagued party.
And what happens if this causal chain gets broken, because the elite validators feel as if they themselves are not supposed to express any outrage (or it would be gauche to do so), and confine their commentary to the horserace question of "Will voters care?"