Saving democracy in the United States 🇺🇸 will take, I think, 6-10 years at a minimum. 🧵
Why? Democratic politics point toward another hyper-moderate primary, likely without the people-driven momentum of a Bernie-like candidate.
The front runners are
1) Harris
2) Buttigieg
And all of the other seeming possibilities are moderates. Boot Edge Edge is the only one who…
Has a chance of kicking Trump’s ass and renewing the democratic traditions of primarily supporting the interests of McKinsey and Co. Harris polls as very unlikeable across the political spectrum because of racism, sexism, and some critiques of her early record.
The record part matters a lot; I want to acknowledge her strengths, resilience, and faults at the same time. Biden Admin has saddled her with a lot of dirty work. Immigration—some foreign policy steps toward her growth as an executive as well. Especially given that out last
Many VPs have been just mediocre white dudes, don’t get me wrong—having VP Harris at the table provides deep value that increases the probability of equitable outcomes, because of what she does advocate for. Unfortunately, though, as a prosecutor and CA AG, she wasn’t
Someone who upheld the kinds of perspectives on policing and public safety, on drug enforcement, she did as AG, and who bragged at being “Top Cop” therefore cannot deserve anything less than scrutiny. Black folks are murdered by the police at shocking rates and corruption is
Collusion between the cop narrative and public figures to never create a culture of accountability while increasing funding increases only the prosecution of misdemeanor crimes according to research: and has NO EFFECT on felonies or violent crimes.
The evidence is not with you if you support, as VP Harris did as AG, the jailing of parents and thousands of aggressive sentences for nonviolent drug offenders. She is a spectacular woman with many downsides as a candidate, who does not reflect the future of public safety or the
Democratic party on justice. Yet, pitting her against Trump in 2024 will be precisely what the democrats choose to do. Despite her downsides in her early tenures in politics, she has been an effective VP and tackled difficult work. It’s just that—she is Biden’s VP, and therefore
She is by nature the last attempt at a vague renewal of the Obamanian old guard. Harris will be, despite her unlike-ability, like Hillary Clinton: the most qualified candidate. Harris will have major aggressive superdelegate support. It is past time that the Democratic Party
Nominate a black Woman. After a hard-fought primary, Buttigieg might even be on the ticket. They might win. But the greatest likelihood is that a Harris-led ticket would not beat Trump, and would surely not have any chance against a proto-Trump: ie, DiSantis.
DiSantis or Trump, it matters not, will take power in 2024, and unleash an ideological purge of major government bureaucracies, excising any person or policy that does not serve corporate profits and anti-queer hate at the same time. This will be a dark time for the 🇺🇸
The new republican president will aggress the media, restrict access to data and public sources of information in ways heretofore unseen in the United States. After the partial, red-enough wave approaching us in #November2022 I think conservatism will take up more space.
Our norms will feel more conservative, it will be like the 80’s or 50’s again and rights will only further fade from the protection of legal institutions like the Supreme Court.

Hawley’s American demographic theories will be tested: will folks segment by political orientation?
Or will dems have the wherewithal to stick it out in moderate states? I foresee if Hawley is right a real erosion of public information, art, culture, bureaucracy of the good kind, and democratic discourse continues in red states. I think in 6 years we may be able to retake yolk:
To vault the United States back to the realm of democracy. But we will surely dig deep into fascism during the next republican president—Trumps destruction of norms within the party and generally has ensured this. My advice: hunker down, and believe.

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