Two Majors, an influential channel among π·πΊ milbloggers and regularly quoted by π·πΊ units on Telegram, just dropped the doom post to end all doom posts.
- They admit that if Kherson is liberated, it won't be recaptured any time soon.
- Mykolaiv and Odesa; forget about it.
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- A resounding victory for Ukraine and supporters.
- The psychological blow to π·πΊ forces and society will be massive.
- A large number of πΊπ¦ forces will be free to redeploy elsewhere.
"The loss of Kherson can lead to the most far-reaching consequences."
GulagU have released a two part video of Yevgeny Prigozhin of Wagner, meeting with ex-prisoners who have been seriously injured fighting for him, along with some amazing details on the staggering amounts of money Putin has been funnelling to him from the state budget.
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In the first clip he is seen talking to amputees from his convict brigades. In the second, footage of prisoners being transported to and loaded onto IL-76s belonging to the π·πΊ State.
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They claim Putin has given 20Bn Rubles in cash and 10Bn Rubles in military hardware to Prigozhin from the state budget and plan to release documents that not only show the transactions but demonstrate that Putin is directly involved in the mobilised prisoner programme.
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π·πΊ Ministry of Transport announced they will resume traffic on the βundamagedβ lanes at 16:00 local time. Iβd love to meet the engineer that signed off on that.
Against the backdrop of new laws in π·πΊ being passed to deal with refuseniks, a video surfaced yesterday of what appears to be stacks of resignation letters to the commander of the 5th Separate Guards Tank Brigade.
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The 5th Separate GTB were sent into πΊπ¦ on Feb 24th and were never rotated out. Video reports in π·πΊ media about their families Buryatia begging commanders for their return surfaced in June and the UK MOD reported on it shortly after.
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Open sources indicate they fought all along the Northern axis of the invasion and ended up in the Izyum area after the failure to take Kyiv.
One of the letters visible is dated June 20th which lines up with the reports of friction in the unit.
1/4 Ukraine struck Millerovo air base with ballistic missiles in the first days of the war. They blew up fuel trains in Crimea around the same time. 7 months ago. Theyβve spent the past month lighting up Crimea.
2/4 The idea that there will be some sort of demarcation line drawn along the parts they temporarily occupy that if crossed will trigger nuclear war, is fanciful at best.
If someone can pull it off @TheStudyofWar will probably pay them 6 figures to draw their maps.
3/4 Most importantly people are still treating Putin like he needs excuses to act.
If he could have mobilised already he would have. If he could have held referendums in Donbas already, he would have.
If he thought he could get away with WMD in Ukraine - he would have.
The most interesting evidence so far that Ukraine may have the capability to strike targets at a range of 280km+ with domestic systems has come from an unlikely source: a high profile espionage case involving an employee of Ukraine's Pivdenne Design Bureau.
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KB Pivdenne is the state owned design bureau that works with PA Pivenmash, the state owned aerospace manufacturer that famously built the Soviet R-36M or "Satan" nuclear ICBM. Post 1991 they have continued designing and manufacturing missile and space launch vehicles.
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Russian born Reseda Perkova was arested on September 7th for leaking documents related to the "Sapsan" missile system to FSB agent Yevgeny Zykov.
Sapsan is one of many working names for the Grom/Grim-2/Hrim-2 ballistic missile being developed by the Pivdenne Design Bureau.