Why is the Philippines getting stronger and stronger typhoons every year? And what can we do about it???
A 🧵 on the impacts of climate change, in case you didn't know:
A 🧵 on the impacts of climate change, in case you didn't know:
Stronger typhoons is a product of climate change. Accdg to Mei et al. (2015), "A warmer sea surface generally provides more energy for storm development and thus favours more intense typhoons." In Tagalog, mas mainit ang temperatura ng dagat, mas pinapalakas nito ang bagyo.
This map by McKinsey shows the likelihood of severe typhoons in Asia by 2100. The Philippines will experience 1.25-3 times more severe typhoons by the end of the century. 
Mei et al. found that typhoons would even get stronger by 14% by 2100. Ibig sabihin yung mga bagyo na nararanasan ng Pilipinas ngayon ay mas lalong lalakas pa. Ito ang epekto ng climate change.
In the infographic by @wunderground you can see that 5 of the strongest typhoons to make landfall in recorded history are in the Philippines and 4 of them (Haiyan, Meranti, Bopha and Megi) are recent, between 2010 and 2016.
In this infographic by @bworldph that 16 of the costliest and deadliest typhoons in the Philippines started in the mid-2000s and the top ones happened in the 2010's. Ito ang ebidensya na palakas na palakas ang mga bagyong dumadaan sa Pacific Ocean at bumabagsak sa Pilipinas.
May magagawa ba ang gobyerno? Madami. The gov't has to invest in proper disaster risk management and climate change adaptation. Alam ko ayaw na natin ng salitang resilience, dahil ginamit ang salita para sabihing magtiis kayo riyan. But actually, may scientific definition ito...
"Climate resilience is the ability to anticipate, prepare for, and respond to hazardous events, trends, or disturbances related to climate." Climate resilience ay hindi pagtitiis habang nasasalanta ng bagyo or kahit anong climate impacts.
Ang climate resilience ay gumagamit ng siyensya at ebidensya para harapin ang epekto ng climate change at maihanda ang mga tao dito. Tunay na climate resilience ang kailangan ng Pilipinas.
Hindi lang malakas na bagyo ang mararanasan ng bansa. Pati na rin mas malalang init (heatwave), mas malalakas na ulan kahit walang bagyo (heavier rainfall), sea level rise (pagtaas ng dagat, na magdudulot ng paglubog ng iba't-ibang siyudad like Manila), drought (tagtuyot), abp.
If the government uses scientific data, hindi dapt nagugulat sa epekto ng climate change. Yes po opo, ito na po ang climate change. At mas lalala pa ito habang mas umiinit ang mundo.
What the Philippine national and local governments should realise is that climate change is here and now, it does not only require response when we experience disasters. It requires proper planning as the world continues to warm.
Tanungin ninyo ang mga Mayor ninyo kung ano ang plano niya sa climate change. Local governments should know the risks in their area and how to plan for that. Madaming mga bansa na ang nagpaplano para sa mga susunod na mga taon. Ano ang plano para sa Pilipinas?
Hindi pwedeng sabihin na hindi ito predictable, dahil madaming scientific evidence and data na ang na-publish predicting what happens until 2021. Hold the government accountable. Hindi pwedeng taon-taon na lang hindi prepared ang gobyerno.
P.S. hindi pwedeng ang mindset ay, "May ibang pang mga problema ang Pilipinas" kaya mamaya na pagtutuunan ng pansin ang climate change. Magakaka dikit na bituka ang mga ito. Sabi sa research ng Oxfam, climate change is the number one hindrance to overcoming poverty.
The world’s poorest communities often live on the most fragile land, and they are often politically, socially, and economically marginalized, making them especially vulnerable to the impacts of climate change,” Christina Chan, director of the @WRIClimate
“More frequent and intense storms, flooding, drought, and changes in rainfall patterns are already impacting these communities, making it difficult for them to secure decent livelihoods.” Christina Chan of @WRIClimate
Ang mga mahihirap, lalong maghihirap. Ang mga walang makain, lalong walang makain. Ang mga walang bahay, lalong walang masisilungan. Ang mga hirap sa buhay, lalong maghihirap. Kaya magkakadikit ang issue na ito. Lahat ay maaapektuhan ng climate change.
Sorry I realised I said 2021 when I meant 2100. We have science and data and models predicting what happens until the end of the century depending on what actions we do. The best report to read about this is the @IPCC_CH reports. They are public and you can download them.
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