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(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
@tedfrank
Oct 30, 2022 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
Saw this in @SCOTUSblog. Wait, what? Affirmative action doctors *double* the chances of black infant survival?!?
Sure enough, that’s what the brief says. Let’s look at the study in the footnote. https://t.co/O7YjighTyysupremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/20/2…
The lawyers are lying (or, more likely, mathematically illiterate). The study says no such thing.

The study purports to find black-doctor/black-infant have survival rate of 99.8% vs. 99.6% for white-doctor/black-infant.

pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
So right away that’s not a doubling of anything.

But the ceteris isn’t paribus. The white docs aren’t seeing the same infants as the black docs. They’re more likely to get the NICU cases where all infants are less likely to survive, and study doesn’t control for that.
So the study is confusing correlation with causation: if you have a black doctor, your baby is more likely to survive, but that’s because that means you’re less likely to be in the NICU, where there are fewer black doctors. It has nothing to do with the race of the doctor.
Anyway, anyone want to place a bet whether the game of telephone works and takes a bad legal writeup of a bad study and the entirely fictional (but striking!) claim in the brief ends up in a SCOTUS opinion?
I read the wrong chart, in part because the study’s meaningful data is in an appendix. The difference is 99.96% vs 99.91%. And the difference isn’t even statistically significant.
Haven’t listened to this @VPrasadMDMPH podcast yet. Public policy community refuted it contemporaneously when the study came out. Knew the study would be pushed to SCOTUS (I’m sure it’s mentioned in other briefs); just didn’t think the dishonesty of the study would be multiplied.

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More from @tedfrank

(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Oct 24
Back in the ICU after the first and most minor of three procedures, albeit an incapacitating one. The third one will be a doozy.

I must say, if they’re not going to allocate organs to the highest bidder like a civilized society, they should really do it by FICO or LSAT score./1
Anyway, not dead yet, will try to tweet through it. Aspire to be first heart transplant recipient to argue in SCOTUS since this has crushed some other dreams.

Encourage more of your burlier south Texas Type-O friends to ride motorcycles recklessly in the meantime I guess.
Still not dead, but it’s apparently more marginal than hoped, so today getting new device first used in US five years ago.

If I die, I wish I had spent more time in the office.
Read 7 tweets
(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Oct 13
🧵

When ICE raided a chicken processing plant in Mississippi and forced it to fire 700 illegal immigrants, minimum-wage Americans went to work there and earned more money taking the newly vacant jobs, while idle Americans took the newly vacant minimum wage jobs. /1
nytimes.com/2019/12/28/us/…
Enterprising lawyers should, on behalf of the local workforce, go after the plants violating the law and hiring illegal aliens, seeking damages for lost and depressed wages. When authorities aren’t enforcing the criminal law, the civil justice system often provides a remedy. /3
Read 4 tweets
(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Aug 22
There’s so little anti-black racism in the USA that the Democrats have to invent it with fake narratives about the Central Park Five, who were paid millions of dollars for their violent rampage against innocent victims.
Citation for what, that Democratic politicians rewarded them with millions of dollars of taxpayer money, or that they were convicted by a jury of violent crimes that four confessed to and in the fifth case was caught red-handed with the pipe he used to beat parkgoers with?
Earlier thread.
Read 4 tweets
(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Aug 6
Reply with the best RFK tweets. 🧵 Image
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Read 19 tweets
(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Apr 18
Google Location History settlement approved today.

Attorneys get $19M.
Class gets zero.
Variety of largely left-leaning nonprofits (and no right-leaning nonprofits) get $42M:
* ACLU gets $7M to promote abortion
* Rose Foundation gets a $6M slush fund to give grants prioritizing “BIPOC communities”
* millions to lawyers’ alma maters (who already had billions of dollars of endowments)
.@HamLincLaw objected on behalf of three class members. We will appeal.

We had a settlement before this judge involving Google and cy pres that we successfully took to the Supreme Court. Class ended up with $23M instead of zero. Guess we’re going back to SCOTUS if Ninth Circuit doesn’t fix its idiosyncratic precedent approving of this abuse.

hlli.org/in-re-google-l…Image
@HamLincLaw Exactly. And gets let off the hook in a suit alleging tons of damages.
Read 7 tweets
(((tedfrank))) Profile picture
Feb 10
Remember when people were arguing Christine Blasey Ford had “no motive to lie” and Leah Lorber and Bloomberg Law and a right-wing thinktank that should know better tried to cancel me because I pointed out that even a false accusation against Kavanaugh would be good for her mediocre academic career, just as it was for Anita Hill, who has a named professorship sinecure at Brandeis and a pile of honorary degrees despite having no publications or academic record of note?

Aside from the nonpecuniary benefits of an ESPN award and MSM fame, Blasey Ford now charges ~$50,000 for a speech, and will have a memoir coming out in 2024 that will surely get a million dollars of unpaid media if she wants it.Image
What possible motive could someone have to try to derail a Supreme Court nomination of a political adversary, possibly swing the Senate in an election year, and become a celebrated hero to millions of political allies?
Anyway, this book by @MZHemingway and @JCNSeverino is what you should read about the travesty, even if they didn’t get the celebration that the Ford book will get. amazon.com/dp/1621579832?…
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Read 4 tweets

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