"The US will surely intervene in a conflict in the Taiwan Strait, but it won't deploy its full force because it can't afford a full-scale war with China" - Political advisor Guo Zhenjia warns that the US may turn the Thucydides' Trap into a self-fulfilling prophecy.
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Guo is the former vice chairman of the Fujian Provincial Committee of the CPPCC, and is now a member of the China National Democratic Construction Association (CNDCA) 中国民主建国会, one of the eight legally recognized minor political parties under the control of the CCP.
"The Thucydides Trap will remain after Taiwan's reunification with the mainland. It will take a long time to escape this trap as long as the US continues to encircle China.
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"The transition will occur when the US recognizes that the benefits of Sino-US cooperation far outweigh the costs of conflict, and this will be accomplished not by influencing public opinion, but by making it difficult for both sides to bear the toll of the trap.
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"Even if China uses non-peaceful means to reunify Taiwan, the US and China will have some room for cooperation. The perennial question for the US is how to view China's rise positively.
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"The reunification of China will bring prosperity and stability to the Asia-Pacific region for a long time, which is consistent with US interests in the region. 'Cooperation will benefit both sides, while confrontation serves neither' 合则两利、斗则两伤.
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"What reason will there be for the "Thucydides trap" to emerge if China and the US collaborate to proactively maintain global peace and stability?
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Link: aisixiang.com/data/137539.ht…
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Link: aisixiang.com/data/137539.ht…
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