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Nov 9, 2022 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Joel Greenblatt compounded at 49% (!) from 1985 to 2005.

And the best thing, he taught a Columbia Class on how to do it.

Here are 7 Investing Gems from his Columbia Classnotes👇🏼 Image
1. All about Context

Investors all look at the same numbers.

Yet people come to different conclusions about a company’s future success.

The best-performing investors are excellent at putting things into context/perspective. Image
2. Normalized Earnings

A huge part of getting the right context is normalizing earnings.

Adjust the reported earnings for one-time events that cannot be expected to repeat.

Normalized earnings tell the real story. Image
3. Simplicity

If you can’t figure out normalized earnings, stay away from that company.

There are thousands of opportunities in the markets.

Keep it simple and safe. Image
4. Be Sticky

It can take time until the market realizes its mistake.

That time will be hard on your mind.

Be sticky and believe in the work you’ve done.

Having a long-term thesis and an idea of catalysts will make waiting and reassessing easier. Image
5. Volatility

Volatility is an opportunity for well-informed investors.

If I have an idea of fair value, volatility on the way is an opportunity to maximize profits. Image
6. Asymmetrical Bets

The basic idea of investing in cheap companies is the asymmetric risk/reward ratio.

You want the downside limited and the upside limited.

It sounds so easy, but so few people do it.

Most people solely focus on the upside.

Downside protection is king. Image
7. The Most Mis-Priced Market

Small caps are the best friends of individual investors.

Too small for institutions and eventually too small for the best individual investors.

Because they’ll accumulate too much money to keep investing there. Image
That‘s it for today!

If you enjoyed this post, please Like and Retweet this Thread so more people get to see it.

To learn more about investing follow me @MnkeDaniel.



Cheers!
Ohh, and in case you want to read more in-depth articles on Investing and markets, you should consider following my Substack.

danielmnke.substack.com

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More from @MnkeDaniel

Jun 8
Phil Fisher is the most influential investor that you don't know.

He's the father of "Growth at a Reasonable Price" and influenced even Buffett and Munger.

Here is his Checklist for finding great compounders early: Image
1. Runway

Long-term growth is a matter of runway.

Fisher focused on products that have a sizeable market and can generate revenues for years to come.

He wasn’t interested in one-off growth opportunities.
2. Innovative Nature

Every product becomes obsolete sooner or later. Thus, new products need to be developed constantly.

Look at the history of management to determine its innovative nature.
Read 10 tweets
Jun 5
Aswath Damodaran is the ‘Dean of Valuation.’

For almost four decades, he has been teaching valuation at NYU.

He also teaches millions of people online.

Here are 7 Key Valuation Lessons from Aswath Damodaran👇🏼
(+PDF of his Class Presentation) Image
1. The Bermuda Triangle of Valuation

There are three things that will ruin your valuation from the get-go.

1.1 Perception of Value Beforehand:

If you have an idea of value before your valuation, you’re already biased.

Your valuation will inevitably be close to that number. Image
1.2 Thinking of Valuation as a Science:

Whenever numbers are involved, people feel like there should be a clear right or wrong, as if it is a science.

But valuation is not a science. It combines numbers and stories.

You make assumptions and come up with numbers.
Read 15 tweets
May 23
Mohnish Pabrai's book "The Dhando Investor" is excellent for investing beginners and intermediates.

Here are the 5 most important Dhando Rules👇 Image
1. The Power of Arbitrage

"Heads, I win; Tails, I don't lose much."

That's Pabrai's famous quote. However, there's an even better option.

Arbitrage opportunities have zero downside; they are, by definition, risk-free.

The best-known example is Merger Arbitrage. Image
2. Distress is your Friend

Invest in companies and industries in distress.

The market likes positive outlooks. You always pay a premium on popular companies.

Note that you don't pay that premium for superior quality but for superior sentiment.

Instead, invest in distress. Image
Read 8 tweets
May 20
American hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman is a big fan of self-studying investing.

"You can learn investing by reading books."

Here is the 11-Book-List that he recommends to everyone who wants to learn about Investing👇 Image
1. Quality of Earnings by Thornton O’Glove

Earnings are one if not the most important driver of investment performance.

Thornton O'Glove does a phenomenal job of explaining how to analyze earnings and their sustainability/quality. Image
2. Fooling Some of the People All of the Time by David Einhorn

David Einhorn was one of the few investors who foresaw the 2008 financial crisis.

This book was published a year before, in 2007.

It advocated for effective government regulation, free speech, and fair play. Image
Read 15 tweets
May 16
Jeff Bezos is one of the most successful entrepreneurs of all time. He is worth $210,000,000,000.

Since 1997, Bezos has written 24 Shareholder Letters.

They are a masterclass on entrepreneurship, investing and life.

Here are the 7 most important Concepts: Image
1. Stock vs. Company

"The stock is not the company, and the company is not the stock."

Bezos didn't have the regular CEO mindset. He had a value investor mindset.

Improve the fundamentals, increase value, don't bother with stock movements. Image
2. Type 1 vs. Type 2 Decisions

Type 1 decisions are one-way doors; they are irreversible.

Take your time and choose wisely.

Type 2 decisions are two-way doors; they are reversible.

Make decisions quickly, assess their success, and reverse if needed. Image
Read 9 tweets
May 13
“I think I could make you 50% a year on $1 million. No, I know I could. I guarantee that." - Warren Buffett

99% of today's investors invest like 93-ear old Buffett.
Instead, they should invest like young Buffett.

I studied Buffett’s Letters from 1956-1966. Here's his strategy👇 Image
1. Categories of Investing

Buffett used to distinguish between 3 categories of Investments.

In 1964 he decided to add a fourth one:

- Generals - Private Owner Basis
- Work-Outs
- Control Situations
- Generals - Relatively Undervalued (added in 1964)
1.1. Generals

Generals were undervalued securities.

They had no visible catalysts and thus could take years before they played out.

This was the largest category of the portfolio and mainly consisted of five to six positions, each weighted at 5-10% of total assets. Image
Read 10 tweets

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