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Nov 9 10 tweets 4 min read
Joel Greenblatt compounded at 49% (!) from 1985 to 2005.

And the best thing, he taught a Columbia Class on how to do it.

Here are 7 Investing Gems from his Columbia Classnotes👇🏼 Image
1. All about Context

Investors all look at the same numbers.

Yet people come to different conclusions about a company’s future success.

The best-performing investors are excellent at putting things into context/perspective. Image
2. Normalized Earnings

A huge part of getting the right context is normalizing earnings.

Adjust the reported earnings for one-time events that cannot be expected to repeat.

Normalized earnings tell the real story. Image
3. Simplicity

If you can’t figure out normalized earnings, stay away from that company.

There are thousands of opportunities in the markets.

Keep it simple and safe. Image
4. Be Sticky

It can take time until the market realizes its mistake.

That time will be hard on your mind.

Be sticky and believe in the work you’ve done.

Having a long-term thesis and an idea of catalysts will make waiting and reassessing easier. Image
5. Volatility

Volatility is an opportunity for well-informed investors.

If I have an idea of fair value, volatility on the way is an opportunity to maximize profits. Image
6. Asymmetrical Bets

The basic idea of investing in cheap companies is the asymmetric risk/reward ratio.

You want the downside limited and the upside limited.

It sounds so easy, but so few people do it.

Most people solely focus on the upside.

Downside protection is king. Image
7. The Most Mis-Priced Market

Small caps are the best friends of individual investors.

Too small for institutions and eventually too small for the best individual investors.

Because they’ll accumulate too much money to keep investing there. Image
That‘s it for today!

If you enjoyed this post, please Like and Retweet this Thread so more people get to see it.

To learn more about investing follow me @MnkeDaniel.



Cheers!
Ohh, and in case you want to read more in-depth articles on Investing and markets, you should consider following my Substack.

danielmnke.substack.com

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More from @MnkeDaniel

Nov 7
Chuck Akre is a compounding machine.

The Partners Fund returned 15,3% p.a. over 23 years.

His secret to investing is the so-called “Three-Legged Stool.”

Here’s what that concept means and how you can apply it👇🏼
1. The Three-Legged Stool

The concept describes what boxes Akre is checking in an investment.

1) Extraordinary Business

2) Talented Management

3) Great Reinvestment Opportunities and History

But let’s figure out what this means in detail.
1. Extraordinary Businesses

1.1 High Returns

In the long run, your return will mimic the ROIC of that company.

A stock outperforming its business is very rare. If anything, it underperforms.

Chuck Akre only invests in companies with a sustainable(!), high return on capital.
Read 14 tweets
Nov 5
I’ve studied Howard Marks’s Memos in the years of Market Crashes.
(2000, 2008, 2020, 2022)

Here are the Key Learnings summarized in 1 to 2 tweets each

Let’s go👇🏼
2000 - We’re Not In 1999 Anymore, Toto

Topic: Cycles

One thing to always rely on, are cycles.

Bulls and bears will find complex reasons why a “forever lasting” bull or bear market surprisingly ended.

But the reason is simple; nothing goes in one direction forever.
Generally, economic forecasts are of little help.

But at the extremes, there’s a pretty reliable indicator.

The sentiment of investors. Measured by how positive or negative the media is about the future outlook.

At some point, there seem to be only bulls (or bears) left.
Read 16 tweets
Nov 4
Here are 6 Websites every Investor must know about👇🏼
1. Tikr Terminal

Tikr might be the best terminal for individual investors that can’t afford Bloomberg, FactSet, etc.

It contains financials, valuations, estimates, news, filings, and ownership of the companies.

It also has a great feature where it tracks Superinvestors.
2. Value Investors Club

The Value Investors Club was founded by Joel Greenblatt and Joel Petry.

Investors can pitch ideas there.

Yet, not everyone can pitch investments; only members can.

To become a member, you need to submit an idea that other members then assess.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 29
Here are 8 investors who massively outperformed the markets over their investing careers.

This Thread explains the Key Part of each of their market-beating strategies👇🏼
Charlie Munger - Checklists

Charlie Munger is known for his very rational investing process.

But as with each of us, making rational choices isn't easy, especially not in investing.

In theory, we know what to do, but in reality, these choices are much harder to make.
Munger is aware of that and uses checklists to prevent possible mistakes.

He limits the influence of the fast-thinking, emotional part of the brain on his decision-making.

Write down everything you know in theory, and revisit this list before making any investment.
Read 17 tweets
Oct 25
Billionaire Investor David Rubenstein just published the phenomenal book “How to Invest”.

In it, he interviews many of the greatest investors currently living on this planet.

Here's a list of learnings every investor needs to understand👇🏼 Image
Luck

Luck is the reason why many bad investors never stop investing actively.

Sometimes you get lucky and make a profit.

Mixing that up with skill is one of the most unfortunate mistakes.

Being able to tell what role luck (even bad luck) plays in your investments is crucial.
Due Diligence and its Limits

Proper due diligence is a necessity for successful investing.

However, as we currently see, the future is unpredictable and can change every thesis.

Be aware of these limits of due diligence and protect your portfolio against this uncertainty.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 4
Nick Sleep didn’t study finance or economics but geography.

Yet, his investment track record is among the greatest in history.

With a 20.8% annualized return from 2001 to 2013, he beat the MSCI World by over 14% p.a.

Here are the Investment Gems from his Shareholder Letters👇🏼
1. Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomics

Sleep, like many other investors, focuses on microeconomics instead of macroeconomics.

He calls this an “information diet.”

He ignores noise that doesn’t influence his investment decisions.
Macroeconomics also often acts as a call to action.

Every week something seemingly important happens, and you feel the urge to act on that news.

For investors like Sleep, this is a negative. Their success stems from inaction.
Read 12 tweets

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