Re #CO3, vote counted today is coming in stronger R - appears to be same day. Question is how much vote is out and from where. Media counts *appear* to be slightly overestimating remaining outstanding. On the numbers...
https://twitter.com/PollsterPatrick/status/1590502023333838848
... anything from D counties will probably come in around 50-50. Which means even if there are only about 300 votes out in R areas, Boebert will win those by > 2:1, which means she would pull ahead. If there is decent pre-Tuesday dropoff in there, Frisch may be able to offset.
To amplify: ignore media's "X%" counted numbers until "99%" - which means verified only stragglers/military are left. ">95%" means they don't know and at this point even something like "82%" doesn't mean much in small counties. Need to verify outstanding directly with clerks.
P.S. While regular ballots must be received by close of Election Day in CO, military/overseas ballots postmarked by Election Day have 8 days to arrive. So an unknown number of those still to come in.
Latest #CO3 vote dump:
-Bunch in Pueblo came in ~50-50 (a few more going to Boebert).
-But larger than expected # in from R counties - giving LB a 400 vote boost.
Next big question: how many military/overseas left? Prob not enough for Frisch
Still, this is headed for a recount.
-Bunch in Pueblo came in ~50-50 (a few more going to Boebert).
-But larger than expected # in from R counties - giving LB a 400 vote boost.
Next big question: how many military/overseas left? Prob not enough for Frisch
Still, this is headed for a recount.
As a further illustration, 76 votes just came in from a highly R area LB is winning by an overall 61%-39%. She won those last 76 votes, though, by 81%-19%. #CO3
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