There are 255,000 uncounted early ballots in Maricopa County. Why are Republicans anticipating that these will break their way? Because 68% of these are in Republican leaning Legislative Districts and they were dropped off on election day rather than mailed which Trump won in '20 
The county has been using a first in first out method to release early ballots, meaning as they move through batches they will become more favorable for Republicans as they start counting votes from suburbs and exurbs further away from the Downtown PHX MCTEC center.
Republicans should tamper expectations on tonight's drop, as they have not quite exhausted the less favorable areas near the MCTEC center- but from Sunday onward, expect all Republicans in Maricopa County to begin making steps forward.
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