Troy Brynelson Profile picture
Nov 13 7 tweets 4 min read
NEW update in #WA03, Clark County ballot results:

@MGPforCongress: +7,419
@joekent16jan19: +7,401

Net is D+18

#waelex #MidtermElections2022
Unlike the previous batches, this result did not skew Republican.

These are nearly 15,000 ballots today from Clark.

Another drop expected soon from Thurston county, which could skew more in Kent's favor.
Thurston County in #WA03 now reporting:

@MGPforCongress: +378
@joekent16jan19: +734

Net is R+356.

#waelex #MidtermElections2022
Prior to this drop, Thurston County officials had told me they expected they had about 3,000 ballots. This is about 1,100 here.

With 5,000 left in Clark, it's looking like between 11,000 and 12,000 ballots left districtwide. And Kent trails 4,621.
The @MGPforCongress campaign is declaring victory. No statement from Kent's campaign yet.
Kent on tonight’s results, and outlets declaring Gluesenkamp Perez’s victory:
The latest on #WA03: A Gluesenkamp Perez victory would come as a political lifeline for Democrats nationally, and one they neither anticipated nor helped come to fruition.

opb.org/article/2022/1…

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More from @TroyWB

Nov 12
NEW update in #WA03, Clark County's 20,000 ballot drop:

@MGPforCongress: +12,158
@joekent16jan19: +12,316

Net is R+158, barely more than 50%.

#waelex #MidtermElections2022
With these totals,

It's clear the last few days have skewed R, as the Kent campaign had hoped, but it's hard to see him closing this 5,000-vote gap.

This puts Clark still around 25,000 ballots, but the numbers below remain about the same.

Happy to be corrected here by others who have crunching these numbers.

But if we say there are about 33,200 ballots left, Kent needs to win 21600-ish of those ...about 65% of the remaining ballots. #waelex #WA03
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