Luke Rosiak Profile picture
Nov 13 7 tweets 2 min read
Is it true that McConnell tanked Senate races by not funding candidates like Masters?

McConnell spent HUGE everywhere but AZ. Masters had Thiel so his outside spending was pretty good at $53M vs $57M for his opponent. But he got only 46% of the vote.

dailywire.com/news/is-it-tru…
Some were rankled by McConnell spending $6M in an R-vs-R race in AK, which they imagine could have gone to AZ

But that's a negligible amount in the context of AZ spending & there's no reason it would have gone to AZ instead of NV, where the race was closer+the funding gap bigger
The $6M is nothing in the context of McConnell's $230M in total spending, which vastly beat out its Democrat counterpart. McConnell spent in every state that Trump did except AZ. Real issue is PA became a massive money-suck because of Oz being unpopular minus Trump's endorsement.
After getting candidates through primaries with his endorsement, Trump largely abandoned them in terms of super PAC spending. For example, McConnell's PAC spent $53M on Oz, whereas Trump's PAC spent $3M. Similar for the other races.
To the extent $6M from McConnell could have affected a 6-point loss by Masters, there are bigger financial factors at play. Masters' campaign was the worst among Trump endorsees in terms of raising their own funds. Theil backed out of a $10M investment.
But primarily, there's Trump. Trump has $70M in political funds in the bank. He could have made it so Masters had double the super PAC spending of his opponent

Instead, he created a "joint fundraiser" with Masters that actually gave $99 to Trump for every $1 that went to Masters
Many Masters supporters who used this option (unaware that 99% went to Trump because that was hidden unless you hit a toggle) may have refrained from donating directly to Masters because they were under the belief that they'd already done their part.

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More from @lukerosiak

Nov 11
Trump knows nothing about the actual desires of voters or how to build coalitions in these places. Key to the roadmap for R's winning in VA is Asians joining the party to fight to preserve academic rigor instead of "equity" in schools. Youngkin won by hearing their concerns.
The "telephone rally" was a six-minute phone call and you couldn't even attend unless you were personally invited. It impacted literally zero votes. And he didn't schedule it until the polls already showed Youngkin winning.
Trump has no power to create, only the power to destroy:

He cannot persuade swing voters or moderates in order to get a candidate to win a general election.

But he can cause Republicans to lose their primary or general by directing his supporters to withhold their votes.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 10
I remember the final weeks of the Virginia governors race in 2021. After the Loudoun rape story, Youngkin surged in the polls and it became clear that he could win. Suddenly Trump--who had little to do with the race when it was tough--seemed to want to attach himself to the race.
He said he'd be coming to Northern Virginia to hold a rally for Youngkin days before the election. Republicans took it as a threat, not a promise. Trump had lost VA badly 1 year prior. There was no Republican base to "turn out" in NoVa. The rally was guaranteed to thwart the win.
People begged him not to come, and somehow, his promised rally just never happened. Late on election night, I was surrounded by joyous people at the Youngkin victory party. The TV was on Fox. Trump came on and took credit for the victory.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
As the Washington state school board moved closer to requiring all students to take 'ethnic studies' to graduate, the woman who the board paid to train it on the topic was railing about "Jewish complicity" and downplaying their oppression.

dailywire.com/news/washingto…
The education board issued a statement saying "ethic [sic] studies" is "NOT indoctrination," even as the state superintendent cut ties to WAESN, saying it was "not just an education-focused organization, but also a political one" that made "disparaging comments."
WAESN had accused the superintendent of allowing "white, Jewish organizations and individuals the authority to vet and veto the work of people of color” by not rejecting complaints by Jews that they were either omitted or the villains in ethnic studies' oppression matrix.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 2
🚨Hunter Biden was allowed near an underage relative only if Joe Biden personally supervised, after his ex-lover Hallie Biden accused him of being "sexually inappropriate" with the teen, according to messages on the first son’s abandoned laptop.

dailywire.com/news/hunter-bi…
The relative “thinks I molest her,” Hunter complained in 2018.

Hunter denies it, telling Hallie: “Telling people you care (and also saying I was sexually inappropriate with [the relative] at the same time) is not love. Its aq [sic] lie bent on making [me] out to be a monster.”
The Bidens run the Beau Biden Foundation for the Protection of Children, which advocates for taking accusations of child abuse seriously. But Joe's brother James texted that he and the now-president wanted to take Hallie's allegations and "shove it down her f---ing throat."
Read 5 tweets
Oct 21
Democrats have spent more backing Trump-esque candidates (to meddle in primaries) than Trump has spent on candidates in the primary and general combined.

dailywire.com/news/democrats…
Trump has a $93M war chest raised after 2020, but didn't create a super-PAC letting him spend it til September 23--by which point there was hardly TV ad time left to buy. He's spent only $8.5M so far on key Senate races, even as early voting in those states is already underway.
Trump has held rallies at which he promotes other candidates, which supporters view as invaluable to get the base to turn out to vote. But he's also raised money in conjunction with candidates in which he keeps $99 and the candidate--who's on the ballot now--gets $1.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 11
Despite Democrats' claims that their policies will reduce inequality, blue states have MORE economic and racial inequality than red ones, according to new Census data.

Red states also have less poverty when adjusted for cost of living.

dailywire.com/news/blue-stat…
Life in a blue state means higher rents, a bigger share of your income on housing, smaller houses, less vehicles, longer commutes.

High housing prices also correlate exactly with the percentage of immigrants, suggesting a cause of the housing supply vs. demand imbalance.
Liberals, despite (or because of) backing the teachers union that shut down schools for two years, are more likely to send their kids to private school

It's 1 of numerous measures in which liberal society is highly stratified, compared to conservative states that are more equal.
Read 4 tweets

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