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Nov 16 15 tweets 5 min read
12 Images that contain Wisdom EVERY Investor needs to know!

1. Investing is without alternative, but the average investor is terrible at it.

Primarily, because of their behavioral biases. We will explore many of them in the following images. Image
2. There will always be a good reason to sell.

But your performance wouldn’t look too good then… Image
3. We have talked a lot about a recession lately.

For our portfolios, it’s too late already. The year before the actual recession is the worst for stocks.

The good news, if you hold onto your investments, you’ll perform pretty well pretty soon. Image
4. In fact, the 12 months after a bear market are likely to be among the best you ever experience. Image
5. Declines are no reason to worry. It’s a part of the game an investor plays.

There are many opportunities in these declines for the rational investor. Image
6. Do not chase the moonshots.

The difference of 1% or 2% may seem small, but a little above average is outstandingly better in the long run. Image
7. Chasing such moonshots often ends with a severe loss of capital.

And making up for that loss is extremely difficult. Image
8. Interesting, especially in the current context of the Midterms.

The market doesn’t care too much about Democrats or Republicans. Image
9. The market behaves like a pendulum.

It spends most time in the middle. But occasionally, it gets to the extremes.

That’s why we have cycles and volatility, no linear growth. Image
10. Speaking about cycles, they’re embedded in our system. Image
11. Saving without investing is a bad idea. Image
12. Time in the market beats timing the market.

Missing only a few days in the market can cause you to be the average investor we saw in the first graph.

Even worse, the rallies are unpredictable and often in bear markets where many investors stand on the sideline. Image
If you enjoyed this post, please Like and Retweet this Thread so more people get to see it.

Follow me @MnkeDaniel to learn more about Investing

Ohh, and in case you want to read more in-depth articles on Investing and markets, you should follow my free Substack.

danielmnke.substack.com
Also, if you liked this thread, check out this one by @BrianFeroldi.

Phenomenal thread that inspired me to write this one.

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More from @MnkeDaniel

Nov 17
The P/E Ratio is the most used Ratio by far.

Yet, 99%(not statistically accurate😉) of Investors lose money because of the way they use it.

Let me explain what the P/E Ratio tells you and how it’s used the right way👇🏼
1. Understanding P/E

P/E Stands for Price to Earnings.

Accordingly, it tells us about the relation of price and earnings.

What multiple do we need to pay on earnings?

If a company earns $10 per share and the stock costs $100, the P/E ratio is 10. Image
2. How it’s mostly used

Most investors compare the P/E ratios of different companies.

The lower the P/E, the cheaper.

This is not inherently wrong, keeping it simple can make sense and the general logic is correct.

However, you’ll never find a great investment this way!
Read 11 tweets
Nov 15
Give me 2 minutes to explain the last 2 weeks in the markets.

▪️FED / Interest Rates / CPI
▪️Labor Market / Tech Layoffs
▪️China: Zero-Covid and Tech Earnings
▪️The US Midterms
▪️The FTX Bankruptcy
1. FED / Interest Rates / CPI

On Nov. 2, the FED announced the fourth consecutive 75 bps rate hike.

This marks the fastest rate hikes of all time.

Yet, the markets rallied after weaker-than-expected CPI data, 7.7% instead of 8%.

The S&P was up 5.5%, and the NASDAQ 7.5%. Image
2. Labor Market / Tech Layoffs

The still strong labor market worried the FED.

But that might change now. Many companies in and outside of tech announced significant layoffs.

ISM reports also show contracting employment in the services sector. Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 13
Every Investor MUST know how to analyze companies.

A huge part of that, is analyzing the 3 financial statements.

Here’s how to analyze and interpret the…

- Balance Sheet
- Income Statement
- Cash Flow Statement Image
1. Balance Sheet

The balance sheet tells you about the net worth and health of a company.

What assets does the company own (Assets)
and
Where did the money for those assets come from (Liabilities) Image
1.1 What to look for?

1) Cash & Equivalents Position
2) Relation of Debt and Equity
3) Retained Earnings Position Image
Read 13 tweets
Nov 11
John Train’s 1980 published book “The Money Masters” contains a particular gem.

The first ever published List about what makes a successful investor, according to Warren Buffett.

Here’s the List👇🏼
1. Balance and Fascination

An investor has to have what he called “controlled greed.”

Enough greed to strive for the best returns.

But enough rationale to avoid unnecessary risks.

And the reason to invest can’t be (solely) money but a fascination with the process.
2. Patience

One of the most well-known yet neglected principles.

Patience is key in investing.

Benefiting from the market's mistakes also implies waiting for its self-correcting nature.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 9
Joel Greenblatt compounded at 49% (!) from 1985 to 2005.

And the best thing, he taught a Columbia Class on how to do it.

Here are 7 Investing Gems from his Columbia Classnotes👇🏼 Image
1. All about Context

Investors all look at the same numbers.

Yet people come to different conclusions about a company’s future success.

The best-performing investors are excellent at putting things into context/perspective. Image
2. Normalized Earnings

A huge part of getting the right context is normalizing earnings.

Adjust the reported earnings for one-time events that cannot be expected to repeat.

Normalized earnings tell the real story. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 7
Chuck Akre is a compounding machine.

The Partners Fund returned 15,3% p.a. over 23 years.

His secret to investing is the so-called “Three-Legged Stool.”

Here’s what that concept means and how you can apply it👇🏼
1. The Three-Legged Stool

The concept describes what boxes Akre is checking in an investment.

1) Extraordinary Business

2) Talented Management

3) Great Reinvestment Opportunities and History

But let’s figure out what this means in detail.
1. Extraordinary Businesses

1.1 High Returns

In the long run, your return will mimic the ROIC of that company.

A stock outperforming its business is very rare. If anything, it underperforms.

Chuck Akre only invests in companies with a sustainable(!), high return on capital.
Read 14 tweets

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