Amjad Masad ⠕ Profile picture
Nov 23 15 tweets 3 min read
I don't think people understand the monumental changes coming to software this decade. Quick thread:
Last century making software got progressively easier going from machine code to assembly to higher-level and then scripting languages. The last major productivity boost in software was OSS. Each of those steps was 10-100x boost but then it stopped...
AI is the next 100x productivity boost. Copilot/Ghostwriter is just the early innings bringing 30-50% improvement. The next generation coding AI will not be mere text complete and will lead to rapid change in how we make software.
At Replit, we're building an AI pair programmer that uses the IDE like a human does and has full access to all the tooling, open-source software, and the internet. In the next few years, programmers will operate at a higher level than mere code.
Crucially, it won't be "prompting" -- we believe that's more a bug than a feature -- it will be a combination of the AI predicting what task you want done next and doing it for you, plus a dialog-based agent that follows your commands.
Programmers will command armies of software agents to build increasingly complex software in insane record times. Non-programmers will also be able to use these agents to get software tasks done. Everyone in the world will be at least John Carmack-level software capable.
The other seismic shift will be coordination primitives for developers. Chief among them is payment primitives. Bitcoin Lightning, for example, bakes value right into the software supply chain and makes it easier to transact both human-to-human and machine-to-machine.
Driving the transaction cost and overhead in software down means that it will be a lot easier to bring developers into your codebase for one-off tasks. Lightning helps with coordination, where staking can keep participants honest and pay for the exact work.
One way to visualize this is that software will move from a stack to a network model. In the stack world, we assemble code in a repo and ship it somewhere to run and then monetization is bolted on. In a network model, code is fully monetized and running all the time.
Put these things together, one developer will have the power of an entire network of AIs, people, and services at their fingertips. I believe a 100x productivity boost is the lower bound here.
Appendix: how we’re building towards that future at Replit. Bounties:

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Amjad Masad ⠕

Amjad Masad ⠕ Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @amasad

Nov 25
Civilizational Primitives, a thread:
At the dawn of civilization, with the introduction of the agricultural revolution, humans needed to coordinate in larger numbers, so *the hierarchy* emerged as the primary organizing tool.
People organized into pyramid-like structures with ranks and different entitlements and responsibilities. This structure proved useful and spread to apply to every aspect of civilization: we had kings and peasants, owners and serfs, clergy and laymen.
Read 14 tweets
Nov 15
SBF always seemed low IQ to me — I’ve met him and came away even less impressed — so looking at his balance sheet it’s clear that the guy got a long in life by LARPing the aspy genius
At random sample
Read 4 tweets
Nov 15
It’s pretty amazing to be alive in a moment when a new kind of computer just dropped (transformers)
It’s almost like deep learning before transformer architecture is like computers before stored program architecture (von neumman) and now we have a fully programmable (in context learning) network.
You can judge new technologies by whether they give developers super powers. Classical Deep Learning because it’s static and tedious didn’t have this effect, but transformers do as judged by the explosions of apps and startups.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
For the first time in a decade, tech managers will be looking for efficiencies instead of hiring more people. Which makes it the best time to invest in or work on devtools — especially AI-powered that will provide huge leaps in efficiency!
At FB a director of engineering wasn’t happy that we are working on making developers happier and faster with new JavaScript features (primarily async) and he straight up told us: “for every developer I will get another human compiler that will write the Promise code for them”
That’s the mindset in Big Tech and that’s why they got so bloated. But that’s changing and managers will have to face scarcity and be forced to try to get more efficiencies through technology.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 30
Many have asked for a copy of this book, here are all the pages in this thread
Read 72 tweets
Sep 20
Announcing: Replit 100 Days of Code – learn how to code from absolute scratch. All you need is a browser and 15 minutes a day:…
Replit's @LessonHacker, one of the most engaging and entertaining teachers I've ever had the pleasure to work with, built this content from scratch. I've truly never seen a better intro-to-programming tutorial.

We've built David right into your IDE so you can watch as you code!
The lessons are fully interactive and project-based. Every day you get an app that you can share with your friends. And, of course, Replit is a community, so you'll be able to interact with others learning with you.
Read 6 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!


0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy


3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!