Thread by @_truthunfolds

Gujarat Ground Report
Junagadh - 5 seats

▶️1. Manavadar

Jawaharbhai Chavda of the Congress won the seat by defeating Nitin kumar Fadadu of the Bharatiya Janata Party with a margin of 29763 votes in 2017.

Jawaharbhai is now a bjp candidate this election

#GujaratElections2022

Key Candidates

BJP: Jawahar Chavda
Congress: Arvind Ladani
AAP: Karsanbapu Bhadrak

Congress Candidate Arvind Ladani will win this seat

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022

▶️2. Junagadh

Last election Congress Candidate won from this seat, 6 times BJP MLA Mahendrabhai Liladharbhai lost by 6084 votes.

This time, the BJP has fielded Sanjaybhai Krushnadas Koradia from the seat.

BJP has slight edge

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022

▶️3. Visavadar

Congress MLA from Visavadar Harsad Ribadiya joins BJP

Congress will retain this seat as demography is in Congress favour.

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022

▶️4. Mangrol

Congress Candidate Babubhai Vaja won last election

Due to large Muslim presence (35%) this seat is safest for INC but AIMIM will dent Congress votes

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022 ▶️

▶️5. Keshod

Last time BJP won this seat but this time BJP workers are not happy with ticket allotment, former BJP MLA Arvind Ladani are fighting as Independent will cut BJP's vote

In keshod ahir factor may harm BJP

Prediction - 50-50

#GujaratElections2022