Ukraine SITREP 1. Russian air/missile strikes continued to be far more limited yesterday and overnight focusing mostly on military targets in the south and southeast.
2. Russian VKS activity was far more limited yesterday too, likely associated with deteriorating weather and depleted munitions and maintenance parts. Russian logistics and resupplies across all areas continues to struggle.
3. Ukrainian airforce activity was also reduced yesterday, with just a handful of sorties reported, mostly Close Air Support.
4. Russian shelling was also reduced yesterday with it mostly more sporadic in all impacted areas, Sporadic intensive phases occurred in some southeast regions. The Sumy region in the north also witnessed some intensive phases.
5. The Ukrainian counteroffensives continue to make slower progress, with no significant changes reported yesterday.
Russian Naval activity in the Black Sea reduced slightly in the last 24hrs with rotations and resupplies underway.
Russian Naval activity in the Black Sea reduced slightly in the last 24hrs with rotations and resupplies underway.
6. Reduced air and ground activity is consistent with deteriorating weather as winter sets in. Frozen ground in the coming weeks may increase some heavier vehicle manoeuvres, in the mean time the artillery combat will continue in varying intensity associated with resupplies.
7. We still anticipate a further set of widespread Russian air/missile and drone strikes in the coming days as Russia resupplies its depleted missiles and reportedly readies a fresh batch of Iranian weapons.
https://twitter.com/WarrenRisks/status/1594203453303447554
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