Ground Report
Surat - 16 seats

▶️ Mandvi

This seat is a congress bastion due to the good numbers of tribal voters.

Last time the congress candidate won this seat by 50k margin and inc was also leading in loksabha from this set

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Varachha Road

AAP fields PAAS leader Alpesh katheriya, Currently a seat where AAP candidate has best chance to win in Gujarat is Varachha Road.

Prediction - AAP

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ katargam

In 2017, BJP candidate Vinu Moradia won the seat by 80k votes

AAP fields state president Gopal Italia to contest on this seat, But he is losing the election, maybe deposit too.

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Olpad

Olpad is a stronghold of the BJP and has been with the party from 1990

Congress has a strong candidate this time, Darshan Naik will retain congress votes

PAAS leader Dharmik Malaviya is contesting on AAP ticket, He is cutting a good amount of BJP's Patidar Votes
If Dharmik Malaviya gets more than 40k votes Congress can win this seat.

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Surat East

Tough fight between Congress Candidate Aslam cyclewala & BJP Candidate Arvind Rana

Withdrawal of AAP candidate kanchan Zariwala will benefit bjp also AIMIM will cut congress muslim votes

Prediction - 50-50

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Mahuva

This is a tribal dominated seat, In 2017 BJP candidate Mohanbhai defeated congress candidate Tushar Chaudhary in a close contest

Congress Candidate Hemangini Garasiya will give a tough challenge to the BJP, there is an anti-incumbency against BJP candidate
Rahul Gandhi started his Gujarat campaign from this seat

BJP is on back foot after Rahul Gandhi's "Adivasi"- "Vanvasi" speech

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Kamrej

In 2017, V.d.zalavadiya of the BJP won the seat by defeating Ashok (jiravala) of the Congress with a margin of 28191 votes.

This time fight is between BJP & AAP

Congress Candidate votes will decide who will win

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022
▶️ Mangrol
▶️ Surat North
▶️ Karanj
▶️ Limbayat
▶️ Udhna
▶️ Majura
▶️ Surat West
▶️ Choryasi
▶️ Bardoli

Prediction - BJP

There is no fight in these seats, BJP will win these seats by a good margin, here candidate name, caste don't matter BJP symbol only matters in these seats.
Opposition votes will divide in between congress and aap candidates

#GujaratElections2022

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More from @_truthunfolds

Nov 25
Gujarat Ground Report
Somnath - 4 seats

▶️1. Somnath

In 2017, congress Vimal Chudasama defeated BJP's Jasabhai Barad by 20k votes

This time also vimalbhai will retain this seat, demography is in Congress favor

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️2. Talala

Congress MLA joins the BJP before election. Since 1990 this seat has been won 5 times by Congress

Congress Candidate won this seat by 30k margin

Ahir (15%), karadiyas (17%), Muslim (15%) & ST are in favour of congress

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️3. Kodinar

Congress nominated Mahesh Makwana for the Kodinar seat, dropping sitting MLA Mohanlal Vala

It is a safe seat for Congress

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
Read 4 tweets
Nov 25
Gujarat Ground Report
Junagadh - 5 seats

▶️1. Manavadar

Jawaharbhai Chavda of the Congress won the seat by defeating Nitin kumar Fadadu of the Bharatiya Janata Party with a margin of 29763 votes in 2017.

Jawaharbhai is now a bjp candidate this election

#GujaratElections2022
Key Candidates

BJP: Jawahar Chavda
Congress: Arvind Ladani
AAP: Karsanbapu Bhadrak

Congress Candidate Arvind Ladani will win this seat

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️2. Junagadh

Last election Congress Candidate won from this seat, 6 times BJP MLA Mahendrabhai Liladharbhai lost by 6084 votes.

This time, the BJP has fielded Sanjaybhai Krushnadas Koradia from the seat.

BJP has slight edge

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022
Read 6 tweets
Nov 22
Gujarat Ground Report
District Rajkot - 8 seats

▶️1. Rajkot East

BJP won the last election with 22k margin

Congress fielded its former MLA Indranil Rajguru who is richest politician in Gujarat, AAP candidate will dent bjp votes

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️2. Rajkot West

BJP has occupied Rajkot West seat for last 32 years, PM Modi has contested from here, last time Vijay Rupani won against Indranil Rajguru

Dr. Darshita Shah will win this time

Prediction - BJP

#GujaratElections2022
▶️3. Rajkot South

Ramesh Tilara candidate from BJP is a trustee of the Khodaldham Trust, he gets ticket on Naresh Patel demand

Hitesh Vora is from Congress & Shivlal Barasia is from AAP

Prediction - BJP
Read 8 tweets
Nov 22
Ground Report Gujarat
District Banaskantha - 9 seats

▶️1. Vav

Congress Candidate Geniben Thakor, who defeated health minister Shankar Chaudhary last election has public support, She will win this election by 10-15 k votes

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️2. Tharad

Tharad will be a tough fight, In Tharad there are 25% Chaudhary votes that's why Shankar Chaudhary changed his seat

Congress Candidate GulabSinh Rajput won last bypoll

Congress has slight edge in this seat

Prediction - INC

#GujaratElections2022
▶️3. Vadgam

Dalit leader Jignesh Mevani, supported by Congress, won this seat in 2017 with 21k Margin

This seat is one of the safest seat for Congress in Gujarat

Prediction - INC
Read 9 tweets

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