Kamil Galeev Profile picture
Nov 27, 2022 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
Well, most of modern Ukraine was either conquered or incorporated to Russia under Catherine II. She was probably the most aggressive ruler of the Russian Empire, not counting Peter I, and spent most of her reign in ambitious wars of expansion in the West and in the South Image
Age of Catherine is viewed as the Golden Age of the Russian Empire. Wars, conquests, luxury of St Petersburg. That was paid by incredible human misery. Economy-wise reign of Catherine was catastrophic: Catherine led Russia to the greatest economic contraction it had in the 18th c Image
Russian serfdom was continuously exacerbating since at least the 16th c. In 1600 it can be still characterised as "serfdom". By 1750 it turned into the New World-style plantation slavery: serfs were bought and sold individually at the slave auctions much like Blacks in Americas Image
The reign of Catherine II was the absolute lowest point of the Russian slavery. Until Catherine serfs had a right to complain to the Tsar about their mistreatment. Around 1650 this right was still real: sometimes the Tsar would punish the owners, even confiscating their estates Image
By the times of Peter I circa 1700 this right became theoretical. Yes, serfs could complain about their mistreatment. It's just their complaints would be almost automatically dismissed as a lie. You can complain but there's nearly 0% chance the government would do anything Image
Finally, Catherine II abolished even the formal right of complaint. She prohibited serfs to complain about mistreatment by their owners and punished those who tried to complain it with lifetime sentences at the Siberian silver mines in Nerchinsk Image
Why would Catherine do that? Was she misinformed? No, she was perfectly informed. She was one of the smartest persons who ever ruled Russia and knew exactly about the dire state of the serfs who comprised the majority of her subjects Image
Remarks she left on the letter margins are very telling. One her correspondent wrote about the perfect love between the serfs and their owners:

"Sure, and that's why serfs are murdering their masters so often" wrote Catherine

Privately she was very sceptical about the narrative Image
From the perspective of an HBO producer this evolution may look as an ascension to the heights of wokeness. But from perspective of subjects it looked like the descension into the heart of darkness. Serfs gradually lost all their rights and were reduced to plantation slavery Image
I think that King's argument results from a blend of two wrong ideas:

1) The problem of a tyrannical political system could be solved, if we only found a "correct" tyrant to lead it

2) Aggression is an inherently masculine quality, which women are more or less devoid from
Arguing that female leadership would be necessarily gentle we are coming dangerously close to the No True Scotsman fallacy. I don't see why a female leader couldn't promote militarism, slavery and genocide like Catherine II did, if the political system she leads allows for it
PS For the most of the 18th c. Russian empire was led by females. This graph suggests that female styles of leadership could diverge as much as the male ones. Woman can be pacifist or pursue endless wars whatever the cost for her subjects. Provided that the system allows for it Image

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More from @kamilkazani

May 2
Fake jobs are completely normal & totally natural. The reason is: nobody understands what is happening and most certainly does not understand why. Like people, including the upper management have some idea of what is happening in an organisation, and this idea is usually wrong.
As they do not know and cannot know causal relations between the input and output, they just try to increase some sort of input, in a hope for a better output, but they do not really know which input to increase.
Insiders with deep & specific knowledge, on the other hand, may have a more clear & definite idea of what is happening, and even certain, non zero degree of understanding of causal links between the input and output

(what kind of input produces this kind of output)
Read 6 tweets
Apr 12
There is a common argument that due process belongs only to citizens

Citizens deserve it, non citizens don’t

And, therefore, can be dealt with extrajudicially

That is a perfectly logical, internally consistent position

Now let’s think through its implications
IF citizens have the due process, and non-citizens don’t

THEN we have two parallel systems of justice

One slow, cumbersome, subject to open discussion and to appeal (due process)

Another swift, expedient, and subject neither to a discussion nor to an appeal (extrajudicial)
And the second one already encompasses tens of millions of non citizens living in the United States, legal and illegal, residents or not.

Now the question would be:

Which system is more convenient for those in power?

Well, the answer is obvious
Read 10 tweets
Apr 5
I have recently read someone comparing Trump’s tariffs with collectivisation in the USSR. I think it is an interesting comparison. I don’t think it is exactly the same thing of course. But I indeed think that Stalin’s collectivisation offers an interesting metaphor, a perspective to think aboutImage
But let’s make a crash intro first

1. The thing you need to understand about the 1920s USSR is that it was an oligarchic regime. It was not strictly speaking, an autocracy. It was a power of few grandees, of the roughly equal rank.
2. Although Joseph Stalin established himself as the single most influential grandee by 1925, that did not make him a dictator. He was simply the most important guy out there. Otherwise, he was just one of a few. He was not yet the God Emperor he would become later.
Read 30 tweets
Mar 16
The great delusion about popular revolts is that they are provoked by bad conditions of life, and burst out when they exacerbate. Nothing can be further from truth. For the most part, popular revolts do not happen when things get worse. They occur when things turn for the better
This may sound paradoxical and yet, may be easy to explain. When the things had been really, really, really bad, the masses were too weak, to scared and too depressed to even think of raising their head. If they beared any grudges and grievances, they beared them in silence.
When things turn for the better, that is when the people see a chance to restore their pride and agency, and to take revenge for all the past grudges, and all the past fear. As a result, a turn for the better not so much pacifies the population as emboldens and radicalises it.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
Three years of the war have passed

So, let’s recall what has happened so far

The first thing to understand about the Russian-Ukrainian war is that Russia did not plan a war. And it, most certainly, did not plan the protracted hostilities of the kind we are seeing today Image
This entire war is the regime change gone wrong.

Russia did not want a protracted war (no one does). It wanted to replace the government in Kyiv, put Ukraine under control and closely integrate it with Russia

(Operation Danube style) Image
One thing to understand is that Russia viewed Ukraine as a considerable asset. From the Russian perspective, it was a large and populous country populated by what was (again, from the Russian perspective) effectively the same people. Assimilatable, integratable, recruitable Image
Read 32 tweets
Feb 8
Why does Russia attack?

In 1991, Moscow faced two disobedient ethnic republics: Chechnya and Tatarstan. Both were the Muslim majority autonomies that refused to sign the Federation Treaty (1992), insisting on full sovereignty. In both cases, Moscow was determined to quell them. Image
Still, the final outcome could not be more different. Chechnya was invaded, its towns razed to the ground, its leader assassinated. Tatarstan, on the other hand, managed to sign a favourable agreement with Moscow that lasted until Putin’s era.

The question is - why. Image
Retrospectively, this course of events (obliterate Chechnya, negotiate with Tatarstan) may seem predetermined. But it was not considered as such back then. For many, including many of Yeltsin’s own partisans it came as a surprise, or perhaps even as a betrayal.

Let's see why Image
Read 24 tweets

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