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@elliot_gregs

Nov 29

It's a little perturbing that I've seen so little in my feed about China today compared to the last 2 days. I hope the worst hasn't happened but this will be put down, whether or not it is violent. We are enabling all of this. 1/

It is foreign investment that makes what the CCP does possible and gives them legitimacy. None of the stats you see coming out of China are true from poverty alleviation and GDP to green tech revolutions. The betrayal of the Joint Declaration on HK should have put paid to this 2/

But, of course, it hasn't. While we shouldn't be complacent the military might is hugely over-inflated. It is obscenely corrupt, they are badly trained, their shiny new aircraft carriers are likely fake, 3/

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@elliot_gregs

Nov 29

We shouldn't be complacent about China's military expansion but we shouldn't be paralysed and paranoid as well. There is no innovation, extremely poor training and corruption. The recent aircraft carriers shown off are likely nowhere near operational. 1/2

And they've never been successful in a conflict. They took a drubbing from the Vietnamese reserves! Fear of China's might is not a reason to tread carefully. They are entirely dependent on Intellectual Property Espionage and importing semi-conductors. 2/3

This is why it's so frustrating to see Australia act so timid. China is not a military threat to Australia. It is entirely economic and playing along is making it worse. 3/3

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@elliot_gregs

Nov 29

@TheNewsAgents

Always had so much respect for Tony Blair. He won't the first election I ever voted in but he's so dismissive on what's going on in China on @TheNewsAgents podcast. Investing in tyrannies with the unspoken proviso they'd become more democratic has been proven to be a failure. 1/2

@TheNewsAgents

@TheNewsAgents I say this as someone who spent more than a decade in China and love the place and the people. Also big fan of Blair. But his (and my own) policy of engagement and investment to lead to freedom has failed. We are long overdue to walk back the investment on a fake promise 2/

@TheNewsAgents

@TheNewsAgents The country I spent the best part of my adulthood in is a compulsive liar from GDP figures, to pretending to have eliminated poverty to the tearing up of our agreement over Hong Kong it is not the place Blair or I thought it was in 97. We've made terrible mistakes with Putin. 3/

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@elliot_gregs

Aug 5

The CCP have created a society they cannot moderate. Millions of people on social media outraged that the PLA didn’t assassinate an American elected politician.

All the missile launches etc since the Pelosi visit is to placate an angry population who assumed they’d assassinate her. All western media is falling for it.

Everything they’re doing is to placate their citizens. They are nowhere near being ready to invade Taiwan and even when they do they’ll lose.

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@elliot_gregs

Aug 4

You know how we thought economic engagement and technology sharing would inevitably lead to freedom and democracy. We were wrong, we were very wrong. I was part of that wrong for more than a decade. 1/

The 90s-2000s was the best time to be in China and feel that way. But it's all changed.
Decouple we must. Global security cannot be threatened by supply chains and blackmail.
2/

If your thought weaning ourselves off Russian gas will be hard, just get ready for what needs to be done in relation to China.
And don't fall for all the media hype about Nancy Pelosi's visit. 3/

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