It’s time for a chat about post-Brexit trade deals. 🧵
Remember the goal of the incoming gov’t in December 2019? Does the aim “to cover 80% of total UK trade” with free trade deals by 2022 ring any bells?
Let's unpack how @tradegovuk is doing on that promise… ~AA 1/9
In the run up to the last election the Conservatives promised to get a flurry of agreements covering 80% of UK trade by the end of this year. A recent PQ response from Penny Mordaunt paints a very different picture. ~AA 2/9
In reality they are set to miss their target for securing post-Brexit trade agreements - with just 63% of UK trade covered. And that is the according to the government marking its own homework - so, very much a best case scenario. ~AA 3/9 bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
Both Germany and the UK are dealing with labour shortages, but our governments are doing WILDLY different things.
Here’s a short thread about the UK approach to immigration...and why it’s looking a bit scheiße 💩1/12
SO: a healthy economy balances unemployment, immigration & job vacancies.
If unemployment & immigration are both low, gaps can emerge in the workforce. Unemployed people may not be able, qualified or in the right location to fill the jobs our economy and public services need. 2/
Germany currently has about THREE unemployed people per ONE vacancy in its job market.
In the UK, the ratio is close to 1:1 - meaning UK employers have fewer applicants for vacant, sometimes essential roles. 3/ inews.co.uk/news/politics/…
🚨NEW POLLING KLAXON🚨
In tomorrow's @DailyMirror, analysis of Best for Britain's new major voter intention poll shows that while Labour's lead remains strong, it may be more fragile than it looks. 1/5 mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
Even after Sunak clawed back 6%, 'Don't knows' (10%) still skew heavily Tory.
- 32% say they lean Conservative (almost double those who lean Labour)
- 53% more closely resemble the age profile of Tory voters
- 80% are more similar to the education profile of Tory voters
2/5
85% of undecided voters also said that they are likely to vote in the next election, casting doubt on hopes that disaffected Tory voters may stay home.
3/5
At the last election, the Tories won 56% of the seats with only 43% of the vote.
Research suggests if the share of seats matched the share of votes they received, the Tories would've only won 2 of the last 21 elections & even Thatcher would have failed to secure a majority. 2/
“Britain can’t wait another 5 years for Labour to acknowledge reality, that the current system unfairly keeps them out of power and silences the progressive majority in the UK. They must endorse proportional representation when it is considered in Liverpool.” @pimlicat 3/