BlueBird block 1, BBb1, are same size as BlueWalker3, BW3, that is currently in orbit.
Size is 1288x1288x~1650 mm shape is like a cube, and BW3 was packed inside an even larger barrel shaped ”LVA”, Launch Vehicle Adptor.
Weight assumed to be approx 1500 kg each.
2/n
Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy fairings comes in two sizes. The extended version has room for a central pillar of LVA diameter (~1900) that is some ~ 15.5 meters high.
Plenty of space for 5 LVAs on top of eachother. Close to 3 meters vertical space each. 2–2.5 needed.
3/n
When launching it is best due east as you get help from earth rotation.
But if the launch site is not on the equator then the lowest inclination You can launch directly to equals the latitude.
You reach that lowest inclination by launching directly east (or west).
4/n
As the Eastern Range is on 28.5 degrees latitude launching to the lowest inclination possible means 28.5 degrees inclination.
Western Range (Vandenberg) is no better for low inclinations.
And so due east (azimuth 90) results in 28.5 degrees inclined orbit.
5/n
That is the closest SpaceX gets to equatorial (0 inclination) without maling a dogleg maneuver. A course correction mid flight.
The problem is. Dogleg costs Delta V.
It costs a lot of power.
To the level 5 BBb1s can not reach equatorial from Eastern range on single Falcon. 6/n
Getting such a heavy payload ~7500+ kg (10,000+ kg with LVAs ?)
Is not possible with such a sharp turn /dogleg.
Unless you use a Falcon Heavy. Which is a Falcon9 with a couple of extra Falcon9 first stages strapped to it.
Then barely possible. And maybe 3-4 not 5.
7/n
Equatorial (0 inclination) requires only 18 BlueBird block 2 to give continous coverage. But will be cheaper to populate using Starship with a lot of cheap excess power.
But there might be a better solution still. A compromise of sorts. Or an optimization.
8/n
Making a smaller dogleg from 28.5 optimal launch inclination to 22 requires less power.
While a constellation at 22 degrees is using a trajectory quite close to the equator. And thus becomes more dense than if launched like BlueWalker3 to 53.2 degrees.
9/n
The power requirement is so much lower a standard Falcon 9 is sufficient.
Possibly with reusable first stage ocran recovery. No Falcon Heavy needed for 22 degrees.
But benefits do not stop there with cheaper launch.
10/n
7 countries (Kenya and Nigeria among them) are regulatory good to go. Because $ASTS partners have Universal License for their spectrum there.
The diamond in that crown is India. Where $ASTS partner Vodafone holds UL in the whole country.
All are covered by 22° but not 0°
11/n
BlueWalker3 is currently testing the entire FirstNet broadband spectrum. A network dedicated for First Responders.
22 degrees would create intermittent coverage in a region prone to earth quakes, hurricanes, wildfires, desert heat and such in the south of continental USA.
12/12
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I was asked to comment on Space-x last Ex parte letter that they have filed to the FCC.
So here is the picture:
$ASTS has asked authority to launch full constellation beyond 25 satellites.
Space-x wants to delay and complicate that.
They keep filing all the way to sunshine 1/
It’s extremely uncompetitive behaviour and a bit immoral as what Space-X has begged be implemented onto AST is the same type of regulations they see as an obstacle when applied to themselves.
What they ask that AST shall not be allowed to is what they themselves do.
Golden rule?
It’s important to grasp that the next 20 satellites and the Block1s are approved already.
So this pen-fighting is about about satellites to launched beyond Q1 2026.
_One way to increase Area spectral efficiency is lowering constellation altitude.
That way comes at two costs: The number of 🛰️satellites required on orbit increases and their orbital dwell ⏳time decreases both affecting the replenish rate 🛠️adversely as:
🛠️ = 🛰️/⏳
🧶🐈⬛
1/n
Let’s do a SpaceMob thing and look at this from first principles.
A satellite has a field of view. FoV.
That Field of View projects a footprint on earth.
The footprint increases with angle of the field of view and increases with altitude.
2/
Within this field of view the satellite creates beams.
They also have an angle called beamwidth and a footprint called beamcell.
There are many of these beams and beamcells within the satellite footprint.
🚨 $ASTS IS INCREASING ITS PATENT MOAT ESP. ON DOW ORBITS 🚨THIS PATENT COVERS THE SIGNAL-PROCESSING METHODS — SELECTION COMBINING, DIVERSITY COMBINING, AND MIMO — THAT ENABLE RELIABLE DIRECT-TO-CELL CONNECTIVITY FROM LEO SATELLITES TO STANDARD HANDSETS.
1/
THE PROBLEM ADDRESSED: END USER DEVICES MAY RECEIVE MULTIPLE SATELLITE SIGNALS (MULTIPLE PATHS, SUB-ARRAYS, OR MULTI-SATELLITE LINKS) WITH DIFFERENT DELAYS, DOPPLER, AND SNRS.
THE PATENT SPECIFIES HOW TO CHOOSE AND COMBINE THESE SIGNALS TO MAXIMIZE LINK RELIABILITY.
2/
SELECTION COMBINING: the system monitors multiple receive branches and selects the best branch using quality metrics (e.g., SNR/BER estimates, channel quality indicators). selection lowers complexity and power for the handset when one branch dominates
Signed two additional early-stage contracts for the U.S. Government end customer, bringing the total to eight contracts to date with the U.S. Government as an end customer.
This is huge.
The rate at which company adds DoD contracts is staggering. It’s not in analyst models.
2/
Service Rollout: Nationwide intermittent service in the US by end-2025, followed by UK, Japan, and Canada in Q1 2026. Expected revenue: $50-75M in H2 2025 from government and commercial customers. Supports full voice, data, and video at up to 120 Mbps peak speeds per cell.
/3