C🅰️tSE Profile picture
Dec 1, 2022 12 tweets 8 min read Read on X
A small thread 🐾🧶🐈‍⬛ on choice of orbital inclination.

We learned in two previous business calls $ASTS plans to launch 5 BlueBird block1 satellites on a single launch.

B. Riley update today tells us that it is
likely a 22° inclined orbit.

Lets figure why that might be?

1/n Image
BlueBird block 1, BBb1, are same size as BlueWalker3, BW3, that is currently in orbit.

Size is 1288x1288x~1650 mm shape is like a cube, and BW3 was packed inside an even larger barrel shaped ”LVA”, Launch Vehicle Adptor.

Weight assumed to be approx 1500 kg each.

2/n ImageImageImage
Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy fairings comes in two sizes. The extended version has room for a central pillar of LVA diameter (~1900) that is some ~ 15.5 meters high.

Plenty of space for 5 LVAs on top of eachother. Close to 3 meters vertical space each. 2–2.5 needed.

3/n ImageImageImageImage
When launching it is best due east as you get help from earth rotation.

But if the launch site is not on the equator then the lowest inclination You can launch directly to equals the latitude.

You reach that lowest inclination by launching directly east (or west).

4/n Image
As the Eastern Range is on 28.5 degrees latitude launching to the lowest inclination possible means 28.5 degrees inclination.

Western Range (Vandenberg) is no better for low inclinations.

And so due east (azimuth 90) results in 28.5 degrees inclined orbit.

5/n ImageImageImage
That is the closest SpaceX gets to equatorial (0 inclination) without maling a dogleg maneuver. A course correction mid flight.

The problem is. Dogleg costs Delta V.
It costs a lot of power.

To the level 5 BBb1s can not reach equatorial from Eastern range on single Falcon.
6/n Image
Getting such a heavy payload ~7500+ kg (10,000+ kg with LVAs ?)

Is not possible with such a sharp turn /dogleg.

Unless you use a Falcon Heavy. Which is a Falcon9 with a couple of extra Falcon9 first stages strapped to it.

Then barely possible. And maybe 3-4 not 5.

7/n ImageImageImage
Equatorial (0 inclination) requires only 18 BlueBird block 2 to give continous coverage. But will be cheaper to populate using Starship with a lot of cheap excess power.

But there might be a better solution still. A compromise of sorts. Or an optimization.

8/n ImageImageImage
Making a smaller dogleg from 28.5 optimal launch inclination to 22 requires less power.

While a constellation at 22 degrees is using a trajectory quite close to the equator. And thus becomes more dense than if launched like BlueWalker3 to 53.2 degrees.

9/n ImageImageImage
The power requirement is so much lower a standard Falcon 9 is sufficient.

Possibly with reusable first stage ocran recovery. No Falcon Heavy needed for 22 degrees.

But benefits do not stop there with cheaper launch.

10/n ImageImage
7 countries (Kenya and Nigeria among them) are regulatory good to go. Because $ASTS partners have Universal License for their spectrum there.

The diamond in that crown is India. Where $ASTS partner Vodafone holds UL in the whole country.

All are covered by 22° but not 0°

11/n Image
BlueWalker3 is currently testing the entire FirstNet broadband spectrum. A network dedicated for First Responders.

22 degrees would create intermittent coverage in a region prone to earth quakes, hurricanes, wildfires, desert heat and such in the south of continental USA.

12/12 Image

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More from @CatSE___ApeX___

Jan 23
In Latin, the concept of drawing an inference from what is not shown or mentioned is most commonly expressed as:

Argumentum ex silentio

$ASTS

🧠🐈‍⬛

1/n Image
When the last BlueBirds deployed there was two patterns.

One was a spike in drag and the level of drag settling on a higher level afterwards.

The other and first sign was a delay of TLE data longer than usual.

In a way the first -inconclusive- sign was the absence of data.
/2
As back then TLEs was delayed more than 2 full days. Which is /was unusual.

/3 Image
Read 10 tweets
Jan 8
Deploying a 200 sqm array within two weeks of launch is a high-stakes move. Historically, large structures wait longer for "checkout."

Is the upcoming FM2 launch giving us a faster deployment?

There is now FM1 data.

1/ Image
Here is drag data.

/2 Image
Image
Here is the relative change of drag (schematically) that you’d expect from detumbling, unfolding and the reorienting back to edge on flight.

3/ Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 6
I was asked to comment on Space-x last Ex parte letter that they have filed to the FCC.

So here is the picture:

$ASTS has asked authority to launch full constellation beyond 25 satellites.

Space-x wants to delay and complicate that.

They keep filing all the way to sunshine
1/ Image
It’s extremely uncompetitive behaviour and a bit immoral as what Space-X has begged be implemented onto AST is the same type of regulations they see as an obstacle when applied to themselves.

What they ask that AST shall not be allowed to is what they themselves do.
Golden rule? Image
It’s important to grasp that the next 20 satellites and the Block1s are approved already.

So this pen-fighting is about about satellites to launched beyond Q1 2026.

/3 Image
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Read 20 tweets
Jan 2
_One way to increase Area spectral efficiency is lowering constellation altitude.

That way comes at two costs: The number of 🛰️satellites required on orbit increases and their orbital dwell ⏳time decreases both affecting the replenish rate 🛠️adversely as:

🛠️ = 🛰️/⏳

🧶🐈‍⬛

1/n Image
Let’s do a SpaceMob thing and look at this from first principles.

A satellite has a field of view. FoV.

That Field of View projects a footprint on earth.

The footprint increases with angle of the field of view and increases with altitude.

2/ Image
Image
Within this field of view the satellite creates beams.

They also have an angle called beamwidth and a footprint called beamcell.

There are many of these beams and beamcells within the satellite footprint.

3/ Image
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Read 31 tweets
Nov 25, 2025
🚨 $ASTS IS INCREASING ITS PATENT MOAT ESP. ON DOW ORBITS 🚨THIS PATENT COVERS THE SIGNAL-PROCESSING METHODS — SELECTION COMBINING, DIVERSITY COMBINING, AND MIMO — THAT ENABLE RELIABLE DIRECT-TO-CELL CONNECTIVITY FROM LEO SATELLITES TO STANDARD HANDSETS.

1/ Image
THE PROBLEM ADDRESSED: END USER DEVICES MAY RECEIVE MULTIPLE SATELLITE SIGNALS (MULTIPLE PATHS, SUB-ARRAYS, OR MULTI-SATELLITE LINKS) WITH DIFFERENT DELAYS, DOPPLER, AND SNRS.

THE PATENT SPECIFIES HOW TO CHOOSE AND COMBINE THESE SIGNALS TO MAXIMIZE LINK RELIABILITY.

2/
SELECTION COMBINING: the system monitors multiple receive branches and selects the best branch using quality metrics (e.g., SNR/BER estimates, channel quality indicators). selection lowers complexity and power for the handset when one branch dominates

3/ Image
Image
Read 13 tweets
Aug 11, 2025
Quarterly report thread. $ASTS

Excellent initial impression.

August delivery of FM1 !

5 launches before Q1 -26

1.5Bn+ at hand

🧶🐈‍⬛

1/

stocktitan.net/news/ASTS/ast-…
Signed two additional early-stage contracts for the U.S. Government end customer, bringing the total to eight contracts to date with the U.S. Government as an end customer.

This is huge.

The rate at which company adds DoD contracts is staggering. It’s not in analyst models.

2/
Service Rollout: Nationwide intermittent service in the US by end-2025, followed by UK, Japan, and Canada in Q1 2026. Expected revenue: $50-75M in H2 2025 from government and commercial customers. Supports full voice, data, and video at up to 120 Mbps peak speeds per cell.

/3
Read 27 tweets

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