1/ Here is how the abomination that is the AT-ST came about. Spoiler alert, it comes down to compromises & mission creep.

"Initial Requirement: We need a small dropship deliverable armored sentry tower (ST) for forward operating bases with space for 4 sentries"

An early sketch:
2/ "Requirement Creep 1: Can we make It mobile at full height?
3/ Engineer:

I guess... but we'll need to use an awkward 2 legged design & we'll need to strip armor off to reduce weight & keep the center of gravity low for stability. We'll round the hull so small arms are deflected.

Here is an initial sketch:
4/ "Nice sketch but look, it isn't tall enough to see anything so screw the center of gravity, make it taller. Put it on chicken legs if you need too. Our stick jockeys will make it work in the field.

Also, cut the rounded corners. Too expensive to fabricate.
5/ Engineer: Ok, will do sir, but just so you know without the armor or the low profile shape our guys are going to be sitting ducks up there in the mobile sentry tower.

A sketch:
6/ "Requirement Creep 2: Can we make a light squad support version? What is the value of a sentry tower without any armament? (AT-ST)."
7/ Engineer: Ok... but now we'll need to add a couple lasers & increase the poweplant size so we won't have room for sentries. We can only fit a pilot. Thats fine we'll install a revolutionary sensor suite. Better than sentries.
8/ "Creep 3: Can we use it to provide anti armor support to AT-ATs? Stupid snow-speeders are causing havoc out there. Oh but whatever you do try to keep the costs down"

Here is a briefing on how the speeders are being used by rebel scum.
9/ Engineer: JESUS FUCKING CHRIST KILL ME NOW.

(ps can you believe the empire requires engineers to wear full trooper gear to the office?)
10/ Engineer: Uhhh, we can do this but to add in a heavy blaster we need to use lighter materials for the legs & to keep cost low we'll adapt a legacy powerplant. Our max range & speed just got halved. Oh.. all the armor is gone too

must be an extra engine around here somewhere
11/ "Creep 4: Bang up job engineer. One more request. We need it capable of doing long range recon & operating without fleet support. We need a smaller logistics footprint & room for 2 weeks worth of gear."

Engineer: With all due respect lord Vader, we can't make this work...
12/ WHY WHY WHY did I join the empire. Sure its a stable check and a mission I believe in but the bureaucracy, politics, & Sith are draining the life from me!

I guess I thought I'd be a pilot like @MergeNewsletter & they'd pay for my school. How'd I end up in acquisitions?🤷‍♂️ FML
13/ OK, fine. We CAN do this.

The advanced sensor suite is pretty fragile, it won't work without support and maintenance in the field anyway.

Scrap it.

Our "sentry tower" doesn't need sensors plus the pilots have eyes and radios.
14/ "Creep 5: this is great work buuuut the Galactic senator for the Trade Federation won't appropriate the money we need for the program unless we contract w/ them to build some of the AT-ST components . Switch the blasters out for Trade Federation standard light laser blasters"
15/ Engineer: #@$@^Q%

Can do. Since trade federation lasers are weaker & take up more space than imperial ones we'll need to tear out the pilot's seat

We'll just have pilots stand against the rear bulkhead. I'll install wall straps for them so they don't get flung around.. much
16/ What the fleet admiral on Coruscant thinks he is getting is a highly capable, inexpensive, multi-role platform that will support the efforts of the empire for decades.
17/ What the colonel who ran the AT-ST program thinks they're getting is something that superficially passes for adequate and that made enough stakeholders happy to get into production.

"I'll be a flag officer before anyone sees this in the field."
18/ What the empire actually receives:
19/ AND that is how we end up w/ an armored sentry/escort vehicle that isn't armored, can barely move, can't carry sentries, lacks a sophisticated sensor suite, can't deliver lethality, is 15 years late, is way over budget & is obsolete before its ever sees Endor.

Drink up pal
20/ Thanks to @lizvstein @rob_lh and @madscienceskill for the most fun twitter prompt I've seen in awhile :-)
Ok, follow my Soundcloud (lol), subscribe to @MergeNewsletter (especially the podcast) and if you are passionate about national security innovation and want come hang out at happy hours and small dinners where we save the world, fill out this short form forms.gle/EDttntu4Dkdiq9…

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More from @vc

Sep 1
1/ Here are my top 18 non-fiction American Dynamism books (w/ a national security focus) and why you should read them if you are serious about the space.

The first trio is focused on the conflict between the US / China
2/ The Hundred Year Marathon: China's Secret Strategy to Replace America as the Global Superpower by @mikepillsbury

This is the THE tome on China's grand strategy and is a must read since it shapes how many in power think about China.

amazon.com/Hundred-Year-M…
3/ Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? by @GrahamTAllison

Puts the competition between China and the US in historical context as the competition between rising and falling world powers. More dovish/academic but good context

amazon.com/Destined-War-A…
Read 25 tweets
Jan 27
1/ Some exciting news. I'm taking over as the Managing Director of the Army Venture Capital Corporation (AVCC). AVCC was created by Congress in 2002 to be the venture capital arm of the @DeptofDefense. You can follow our progress here: labyrinth.substack.com/about
2/ Before I get into the why, what and how, a quick history of AVCC.

In 1999 Congress authorized the creation of In-Q-Tel, a non-profit venture firm to serve the needs of the intelligence community, beginning with the @CIA
3/ They did this because they recognized there was a shrinking technical capability gap between the US and its adversaries AND, critically, that the most cutting-edge tech was no longer originating solely in government labs but was being created in the private sector.
Read 39 tweets
May 31, 2019
1/ The @nytimes piece on UFOs is pretty 🤯. Do I think its likely we're currently being visited by intelligent extraterrestrial life? No, but I think its a reasonable explanation for the observed phenomenon given the range of possible explanations.

nytimes.com/2019/05/26/us/…
2/ There are 5 possible explanations:
1) Its our own classified tech
2) its the tech of another state
3) The sightings are caused by hysteria, false perceptions, etc
4) The objects are real, non-sentient, undiscovered phenomenon
5) The objects are evidence of ET Intelligence
3/ Lets address each possible explanation and why it may or may not make sense given what we actually know.
Read 25 tweets
Apr 15, 2019
1/ Sometimes I find myself giving the bull case for venture capital as an asset class.

I thought y'all might find the pitch interesting so I'm going to share it

Note If you're pitching your market/asset class you've already lost. I just refuse to surrender so 🤷‍♂️
2/ *Disclaimer: I’m not offering investment advice here and everyone should make their own investment decisions. This is just an overview of the bull case for VC.*

Here we go!
3/ Always the #1 question and one that is really hard to answer. How should I slice the market? How general should I be? There is so much variance in venture.
Read 37 tweets

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