Yesterday, two things went by on my Twitter feed that raised my eyebrows, because it showed that the Fascist wing of the GOP is not only young and growing, but also saying the quiet part loud to a receptive audience. If they succeed, the US will become a living hell for most. 1/n
First from Politico, which fails to call fascism what it is. What the authoritarian wing of the GOP calls it is "Common Good" constitutionalism. Essentially, it espouses ditching originalism, and putting in place a court that functions like Iran's. 2/n politico.com/news/magazine/…
The court does everything through a lens of "Conservative Christianity is what's best for people and the nation, and freedom is dangerous." It's embraced by a lot of TradCaths and (increasingly) white evangelicals. It stands in opposition to FedSoc Originalism. 3/n
What's really scary is that it's adherents tend to be much younger. At it's head is Adrian Vermeule, who was one of the main architects of the plan to steal the 2020 election and to end US democracy (and replace it with a theocracy). 4/n
These young Fascists (err.... Republicans) in the legal profession will be hitting the federal bench in the next decade, and perhaps on SCOTUS in 15. Some of them even sooner. But, we can already see it is the future of the GOP legal theory. SCOTUS gave some big hints. 5/n
During oral arguments in Moore v. Harper, conservative justices were quick to pull a Judas on originalism when they saw an opportunity to usher in permanent GOP rule in any state where the Republicans can gerrymander maps. 6/n
We will likely see the "Common Good" theory come up when SCOTUS is asked to overturn Lawrence v. Texas, and are told of all the supposed harms that homosexuality causes to individuals in society. We could easily see this case come within the next five years. 7/n
Which brings me to the second half of "educated Republicans for Fascism": The Claremont Institute. I've written about them and their naked desire to eliminate democracy, install a dictator, and re-shape the country based on their religion 8/n damemagazine.com/2021/10/18/sle…
Fundamentally, they don't see Americans who aren't conservative Christians as Americans at all. Cue Larry Ellmers, who previously wrote for Claremont that less than half of the US is really American, because they aren't Conservative Christians. 9/n
Again Ellmers is writing for Claremont, and proclaiming that it is time to end democracy and replace it with a conservative Christian theocracy. Because elections don't measure public will and the public is too stupid to know what's good for them. 10/n
The answer, of course, is to overthrow the government (and democracy) to place their leaders in charge. This is a moral necessity, because only conservatives (Christians) can truly discern what's good for society and the nation. 11/n
The sad part is, this is all happening in the open, and no one is noticing. Far more attention is paid to right wing hacks like Taibbi and Weiss, who are poring over internal documents, misinterpreting them, and threating mundane stuff as giant "Gotchas!". 12/n
We're treating fundamentally unserious, bad faith actors as the opposite of this as they suck all the oxygen out of the room with their deliberately flawed analysis that "shows" content moderation aimed at preventing stochastic violence is the end of democracy. 13/n
But at the same time, the thought leaders of the modern GOP, and the lawyer whom they will be putting on the state and federal bench starting in (probably) 2025 are calling for the immediate destruction of democracy and implementation of theocracy... and nothing happens. 14/n
I have no doubt that DeSantis will happily listen to those calling for the end of democracy to make sure the interests of "real Americans" are the only ones represented. For the greater good of course. I have no doubt he would put these young lawyers on the bench. 15/n
And increasingly I believe that the media, and American "Centrists" like Sinema would have no idea what was happening, because tools like Musk, Weiss, Greenwald, Taibbi, etc... would continue to churn out propaganda saying the left is the real threat. 16/n
Most Americans don't pay close enough attention to politics, and would end up like my confused 76 year old Mother, who just doesn't know who to believe. So she keeps pulling the lever for Republicans. 17/n
However, the goal isn't just to make it irrelevant whom you vote for: it's to keep people from realizing that it doesn't matter. Or to believe that tyranny and oppression of "those people" is good, because they were the ones who were going to take democracy away first. 18/n

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More from @BrynnTannehill

Dec 12
So, I've been thinking about moral panics. Their history. The academic frameworks describing them. Their global history, and history in the US, and why the one we're in the middle of now is so dangerous. 1/n
The basic operating definition is "public mass movement, based on false or exaggerated perceptions or information that exceeds the actual threat society is facing. Moral panic is a widespread fear and often an irrational threat to society's values, interests, and safety." 2/n
One of the seminal piece's of research into the taxonomy of moral panics was Stanley Cohen's "Folk Devils and Moral Panics." He defined it as "a condition, episode, person or group of persons emerges to become defined as a threat to societal values and interests." 3/n
Read 25 tweets
Dec 5
I put out a tweet thread the other day about why there's reasons for optimism regarding Ukraine. Those who know me get that I'm not an optimist by nature, though. Ukraine faces a number of really nasty problems and disadvantages though. 1/n
I wasn't trying to ignore these, I just tend to believe that the issues Ukraine faces aren't as bad as what Russia has to contend with, particularly the issue of morale and training. Still, if Ukraine ends up settling on unfavorable terms, these are the reasons I'd expect. 2/n
The number one threat to the Ukrainian war effort is its utter reliance on Western allies for material and intelligence. If the spigot of arms got turned off, it would be catastrophic. The US is the top supplier, and that's in jeopardy. 3/n
Read 25 tweets
Dec 3
I haven't tweeted about Ukraine in a while, and the battlefield has been (relatively) static for almost a month, but there are things happening that signal long term direction, most of it favoring Ukraine. A 🧵. 1/n
I'll lead with the bad part first. As I mentioned in a previous thread, I expected conditions around Bakhmut to continue to deteriorate and Ukraine to give ground as Russian troops from Kherson arrive. It's a bloody affair of trenches and artillery. 2/n cnbc.com/2022/11/30/tre…
But, the Russian advances are incremental against a goal that has no real strategic value anymore. I believe Bakhmut is now mostly just to create a (pyrrhic) victory to boost morale, and for Wagner to use it to gain more political (and monetary) power. 3/n
Read 25 tweets
Dec 2
I haven't commented on the rising tide of anti-Semitism recently, because I didn't feel like I had to. People seemed to know that's a place you don't go because of the horrific history of it. Or, I didn't want to tie it to other things.

But we've crossed the Rubicon now. 1/n
Before I go further, I want to make sure people know how vile, hateful, and historically awful I find this. To my Jewish friends and colleagues, I am sad, angry and disgusted that you have to endure this barrage of public animus and demonization. 2/n
The dogwhistles have always been there. Globalists, Soros and "cultural Marxists" have been thrown around a lot over the past decade by the right. We've seen it creeping in closer as right wing anti-trans types have blamed "gender ideology" on a "cabal" of Jewish Billionaires 3/n
Read 20 tweets
Nov 29
I tried a simple thought exercise: what would happen to the GOP if it eschewed the bigotry and culture war stuff. What would the party look like if it tried to tack back towards the center and the American mainstream. The answer kind of surprised me. 1/n
Well, you'd end up with Mitt Romney. Or Larry Hogan or Charlie Baker. And we know there's no real appetite for that: particularly given that the country club tax cuts for the rich thing doesn't play well with the base. Support for the tax cut was soft 2/n news.gallup.com/opinion/pollin…
The GOP base isn't held together on economic policy: they never really rallied around the Trump tax cuts for the rich. The base is much more into populist economic stuff like tariffs. 90% of Republicans said that the economy was a top priority 3/n pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2022…
Read 20 tweets
Nov 27
This discusses some of the difficulties in bringing back banned accounts while filtering for people who committed crimes. The short version is Twitter can't do this with the staff it has, so it will probably just blanket un-ban everyone to appease Musk 1/n washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
The result will be the opening the door to very bad things. We're very close to watching the world's richest guy enter the "F*** around and find out" territory. Or, play stupid games, win stupid prizes, for a lot of reasons. 2/n
Ignore the headline on this article (I didn't pick it): the point of it was that Musk's quest for "free speech" on Twitter would likely kill it off for several reasons. These are now coming into sharp focus. It's behind a paywall, so I'll discuss each 3/n

newrepublic.com/article/168309…
Read 19 tweets

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