Phil Galfond Profile picture
Dec 19 7 tweets 3 min read
Week 1 #102040challenge Update
(90 days, +40k followers, -20lbs, or lose $10k)

Twitter: 121.4k —> 122.5k +1.1k 🟢
YouTube: 18.5k —> 19.4k +900 🟢
Instagram: 25.7k —> 25.8k +100 🔴

Total: +2.1k
On Pace: +27k/40k 🟡

Weight: 177.3 —> 171.8 -5.5lbs 🟢
1/5 Twitter 🐣

I’m struggling to create content quickly, but the hard work has been appreciated. People are sharing & following.

Unlike other platforms, Twitter makes sense to me.

Here’s a detailed thread on my experience on Twitter. I’ve already changed my process since!
2/5 YouTube 🎥

I’ve been lucky. One video performed much better than normal, which led to subs. I won’t keep this pace without making big changes.

Not much has changed yet besides starting to post Shorts. Twitter taking so much time + my son sick all week = no YT planning yet.
3/5 Instagram 📸

I went from 3 Posts, no Reels, no Stories in a YEAR to 2 Posts, 7 Reels, Daily (not amazing) stories in a week.

Feedback is incredibly positive. Everyone loving the content. Nobody is following.

Certainly not blaming IG. It’s me who doesn’t understand it yet.
4/5 Weight 🏋️‍♀️

Great result on paper, but mostly water weight, which I’ll regain some of as I resume weight training (I’ve been sick) & increase carbs.

Unlike the other goals, there’s nothing to figure out. It’s just discipline. Hitting my target is entirely within my control.
5/5 Overall 📊

I’m not as prepared as I hoped to be 1 week in. With Twitter content taking me so long & extra unexpected parental duties, I just ran out of hours.

With the holidays coming up, it’s not going to get better.

This week may be critical, and I don’t yet have a plan.
I plan for simple weekly updates like this and more goal-specific threads (like the Twitter one above). Which would you like to hear about next?

If you enjoyed this, please consider these:

1. Follow me @PhilGalfond for more
2. Share this thread by RTing the first post

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More from @PhilGalfond

Dec 21
If you're closer than your opponent to executing optimal strategy, you're a favorite, right?

WRONG

Here is a simple breakdown of why that is and what it means for you. 🧵
Example:

Player 1 (Mr. Fold) folds 100% of rivers to a pot bet.

Player 2 (Miss Optimal) folds 50%, which is optimal.

Player 3 (Joe) is bluffing 20% of the time when he pots river (optimal=33%).

In these spots, P2 is closest to optimal. P1 is furthest.

Some quick math: 1/8
What happens if Joe bets $10 into a $10 pot 100 times against Miss Optimal?

50 times, Miss O folds. Result = $0
50 times, Miss O calls.

Of those 50 times, Miss O wins $20 10 times (Joe's 20% bluffs) and loses $10 40 times.

Net result: $400-$200=-$200

What about Mr. Fold? 2/8
Read 9 tweets
Dec 19
Navigating the Tug-of-War Between Love and Obsessive Drive

I've been:

- self-employed w/ big dreams for 15yrs
- married for 7.5
- father for 4
- learning from plenty of mistakes!

If you've said, "Sorry, honey. This week is crazy" in the last 2 months, this thread is for you 🧵
1/ I'm going to assume you've already completed a very important step: Finding an amazing partner who loves, understands and admires your drive and ambition!

Also, want to note that you're not me. These are learnings from my experience. Take what applies to you & leave the rest.
2/ Time and Attention:

These two valuable resources are in high demand for anyone juggling a relationship & a business. (Whether an entrepreneur, trader, poker player, etc. - you're running a business)

The first step is recognizing that you have a limited supply of them.
Read 20 tweets
May 29
10 ways to make your poker career unsuccessful:
1. Get into poker for the money.
2. Build the foundation of your game by memorizing strategies.
Read 11 tweets
Jan 2
2021 ended like all years do these days - with my son’s birthday.

He’s 3 now. A real big boy.

I’ve been reflecting on the last three years with him. Stick around if you’re VERY bored. There will be pictures…
Of course, I thought about how wonderful and cute and funny he is, and how full my heart is with him in my life… the usual parent stuff that I think about every day when I look at him…
But then I remembered a message from a good friend, who asked me to pass his happy bday wishes on to my wife too, because in his family’s culture, moms are celebrated on a child’s birthday.

It turns out that lots of cultures celebrate the mother on birthdays.
Read 22 tweets
Jul 10, 2021
Over my poker career, I’ve been surprised many times to learn of high-stakes players (those you’d assume think as logically as anyone) who are superstitious. I've been thinking about superstition today, for a reason I’ll share after writing out some of my thoughts.

A thread ⬇️
1/ Now is probably a good time to warn you that there is no moral or wisdom to be gained from these tweets - just some random thoughts and a barely interesting story.

Here is your opportunity to hop off!
2/ I knew a very logical high-stakes online player who believed in what we call “being due” - if you’ve been running bad, you’re bound to win soon. If it’s been going well, the downswing is coming.

He liked his superstition.
Read 30 tweets
Jun 23, 2021
Two years ago, I started working @ElliotRoe1, both in 1-1 sessions and through his course.

One of the first things I learned about myself is that I was terrified to try (and fail) in the post-solver era of poker. That realization sparked some big changes in my life.

A Thread 👇
1/ I had been working a ton of hours between my 2 businesses (@RunItOnce & @RunItOncePoker), and I had recently become a father.

I'd also spent most of my time in the US, with limited online poker options, and most of my poker playing time on the (less competitive) live felt.
2/ I was well-respected as a player and coach, and I was working on a project I was passionate about. I thought I was making a conscious decision to move on to "bigger & more important things" and was expecting to semi-retire (AKA to stop playing tough online nosebleed games).
Read 18 tweets

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