Three market stats that could define 2023 (with a few thoughts on each of em from yours truly)
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1️⃣ In the 11 recessions since 1950, the S&P 500 has peaked an average of six months before a recession has started, and it’s bottomed an average of three months before a recession has ended
This is a telling stat, especially if we tip into a recession like many economists expect us to.
As an investor, you can't make decisions on vibes.
Often, when the environment feels extra painful, the market is already looking ahead.
Even though 99% of headlines probably don't matter for your portfolio, here's how this latest headline could impart DOOM on the financial system & the world as we know it
A THREAD 👇👇👇
Folks, you've probably seen lots of these threads lately.
I have.
They're just financial fan-fiction engineered for clicks.
Last week was the biggest for equity/index options volume in history, eclipsing the last week of Jan 2021 (the meme stock explosion) as the new record holder.
Thursday + Friday were the 4th and 5th biggest options volume days in history, too.
~244 million options changed hands (131 mil calls, 113 mil puts)
(BBG data of total equity and index options traded on OPRA exchanges)
AND IT WASN'T EVEN MONTHLY EXPIRATION EITHER
somebody double check me bc I can't believe I'm seeing this