Judd Legum Profile picture
Dec 22 17 tweets 4 min read
1. This is an accurate description of oppo research and describes why oppo research did not discover the deceptions of Congressman-elect George Santos

But it skips over a larger problem: the Democratic Party's failure to invest and prioritize research

nytimes.com/2022/12/22/opi…
2. In Democratic politics, research is considered an entry level job that you slog through on your way to something glitzier like press

It's a task delegated to the most inexperienced and lowest-paid staff
3. Meanwhile, pollsters are paid MILLIONS to message test based on information that is already public to find the most effective message.

These millions usually result in ads about how candidate X "supports working families"
4. These messages poll well but do not break through in the modern information environment.

Research can provide information that can break through, but its seen as an afterthought

Most Congressional campaigns and many Senate campaigns don't have real research operations
5. I'll add that Republicans have long taken a different approach to opposition research.

While Democrats utilize recent college graduates and interns, Republicans generally employ experienced lawyers to do oppo, at least for high-profile races
6. Democrats would be better off if they stopped fetishizing polling and made real investments in research capacity.

The best pollsters value research because they understand it can unlock messages that make a real difference.

But it's not the norm.
7. In addition to a lack a resources, few people provide effective training on how to do political research and how to present it.

The process of creating a "book" described in @tysonbrody's op-ed is the same thing I was doing when I started doing political research in 1997
@tysonbrody 8. The idea of a static "book" (which literally used to be a three ring binder) was outdated by the early 2000s

And yet, it is still being utilized today because there is very little innovation in the research world
@tysonbrody 9. Final thought: While oppo research has a bad reputation it is actually something that benefits the public.

The public should have known more about Santos before election day

Message polling is just about manipulation

Oppo research informs
This attitude by the Dem establishment is exactly what I’m talking about. A research director for each REGION means that each is responsible for dozens and dozens of races. Impossible to do the job thoroughly.
Questions:

How much does the DCCC spend on POLLING v research

How much does the DCCC spend on COMMS v research

How much does the DCCC spend on TV ADS v research
The establishment and the network of consultants that benefit from status quo resource allocation is very invested in keeping things the same. So they don’t like this thread.

I’m not disparaging research. I’m arguing it should be treated with more respect.
Interesting that all the people objecting to this thread are Comms people or outside consultants. No one who actually does research.
I’ll drop this now but I think it’s interesting that there are a bunch on Comms people in my mentions telling me I’m an inconsiderate moron and the research people are in my DMs telling me I am correct
People seem to be misinterpreting this tweet. I am not saying that I BELIEVE research is boring or entry level. I’ve devoted my career to it, including on/for political campaigns.

I’m saying it needs more respect and resources
Gehrke is one of the most experienced researchers in democratic politics.

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More from @JuddLegum

Dec 22
I don't think @SBF_FTX needs to be incarcerated pending trial, but he's only out because his parents put up a very expensive home as a form of collateral.

Hundreds of thousands of people in the U.S. are not so lucky and are behind bars due to a lack of financial resources
@SBF_FTX "The 'pretrial population' [of incarcerated people] has grown significantly over time—increasing 433 percent between 1970 and 2015, from 82,922 people to 441,790."

"This growth is in large part due to the increased use of monetary bail. "

vera.org/downloads/publ…
@SBF_FTX "Over time, however, those conditions have shifted away from no requirement that money be paid—or a requirement that money be paid only when people failed to appear in court—to upfront payment of cash bail and bail bonds issued by for-profit companies."
Read 6 tweets
Dec 21
This massive must-pass bills are approved at the last minute every year. It will be weeks before we learn all the corporate giveaways that lobbyists stuffed inside.
One thing we need throughout government is more transparency.

This isn’t a partisan issue. It’s an issue of power.

Powerful corporations and individuals don’t need transparency because they are paying lobbyists millions to keep them informed.

The public is shut out.
I’m just the last few years we’ve added hundreds of billions of dollars to our military budget.

There is almost no public discussion of why this increase is necessary OR why it should take precedence over other concerns, like child poverty.
Read 5 tweets
Dec 20
One thing that I didn't get into in this thread is the IMMENSE PRESSURE that school librarians in Florida are under to remove books that don't match up ideologically with DeSantis and his allies.
The teacher who is the subject of this story, Vicki Baggett, told me she believes her colleagues "can and will be prosecuted" for felonies under Florida's child pornography laws.

This is a common refrain.

popular.info/p/meet-the-flo…
Think about that. Being a school librarian is a thankless job. No one is getting rich. These are people who are devoted to books and the positive impact they can have on the lives of children.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 20
1. This high school English teacher is trying to ban 150 books from school libraries in Florida

I talked to her to find out why

Buckle up

This one gets a bit wild

🧵
2. One book challenged by the teacher, Vicki Baggett, is When Wilma Rudolph Played Basketball

The book is about the childhood of Rudolph, a sprinter who won three gold medals

It covers how she overcame physical limitations and racial prejudice in the 40s to become a champion
3. In the challenge form submitted Baggett on August 24, she claims that the purpose of the book is "race-baiting" and it is not appropriate for any age group.
Read 36 tweets
Dec 19
Why are so many media companies comfortable with misinforming their readers via advertisements?

@Politico is running extensive advertising from @binance, a crypto exchange, about how transparent its operations are

It's all a lie!
@politico @binance POLITICO Ad: "@binance believes greater transparency is critical"

Reality, Binance won't disclose WHERE IT IS HEADQUARTERED, basic financial info (revenue/profit/cash), or the role its own coin plays in its balance sheet

reuters.com/technology/bin…
@politico @binance .@Politico is also allowing @binance to include this line in its advertising: "Learn more about our commitment to moving forward in Politico this week"

But it doesn't link to an article in Politico.

It links to ANOTHER AD DRESSED UP AS AN ARTICLE
Read 4 tweets
Dec 19
“Elon Musk blamed a Twitter account for a stalker. Police see no link.”

washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
“A confrontation between a member of Elon Musk’s security team and an alleged stalker that Musk blamed on a Twitter account that tracked his jet took place at a gas station 26 miles from LAX and 23 hours after the @ElonJet account had last located the jet”
“The timing and location of the confrontation cast doubt on Musk’s assertion that the account had posted real-time ‘assassination coordinates’ that threatened his family and led to the confrontation.“
Read 4 tweets

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