⚠️Super interesting, going on now: 4 ex-Turkish A340s, recently registered in 🇧🇫Burkina Faso as XT-AKK, XT-ALM, XT-AKB and XT-??? currently flying.

The first disappeared over 🇮🇷Iran -- known for avoiding aviation sanctions + A340 operator...

#MAN3808 #MAN3809 #MAN3810 #MAN3811
(screenshot is a handmade composite)

TC-JDM, TC-JDN, TC-JIH, TC-JII were apparently re-registered as 2-AVRA, 2-AVRB, 2-AVRC and 2-AVRD. They recently became the Burkina Faso aircraft mentioned above.

#MAN3808: #09C19E
#MAN3809: #09C195
#MAN3810: #09C19A
#MAN3811: #09C18D
The aircraft were stored in Johannesburg back in Mar-Apr 2019, and have resided there for the past 3.5 years.

I think it's very suspicious that they disappear over Iran. I would not be surprised if these aircraft are now on their way to Iran to become part of an Iranian airline.
There we go - it can't get much clearer than this: 3 of the 4 🇧🇫 A340s from 🇿🇦Johannesburg were tracked landing in 🇮🇷Tehran, Iran.

These could go into service with Mahan Air/Syrian Air/Conviasa soon?

#MAN3808: #09C19E
#MAN3809: #09C195
#MAN3810: #09C19A
#MAN3811: #09C18D
Visual confirmation for the new registrations of three out of four Airbus A340s in 🇿🇦Johannesburg taken yesterday, prior to their flights to 🇮🇷Tehran last night: 🇧🇫XT-AKK, 🇧🇫XT-AKB, 🇧🇫XT-ALM.

Picture credit: ORTIAspotter (reposted with permission)

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More from @Gerjon_

Nov 13
What I can say about this article is that the "exclusive" "scoop" because of "An investigation by i" contains a lot of data identical to my earlier blog post and tweets, which I have been updating since late May 2022 (almost half a year ago) (thread)
For example, they list EP-SIH, EP-PUS, EP-FAA and EP-ICD, all of which I also found and listed in May.

I published a list of 69 flights on 04 Nov 2022 and added a 70th flight on 10 Nov 2022, the exact same number presented in the article.

This could mean that I got a complete+perfect overview of flights in the past months.

Or maybe the "investigation by i into the operation (...)" went like this:

1. Read Gerjon's blog, copy the numbers
2. Add the 70th flight
3. Look up a few flights for the map
4. Call it good
Read 5 tweets
Nov 12
⚠️My earlier doubts about the role of "Mahan Air" Boeing 747-400 in the 🇮🇷Tehran to 🇷🇺Moscow airlift are justified:

These flights are available through Mahan's booking system, suggesting they are indeed passenger flights. Price is around 1,300-1,500 EUR one-way in economy class. ImageImage
The return leg from 🇷🇺Moscow back to 🇮🇷Tehran is even more expensive, with rates around 3,000 EUR (!) for a one-way economy class flight. Business class is around 5,800 EUR.

Even 🇮🇷 Iran is a refuge for Russians now? ImageImageImageImage
Mahan Air's website matches exactly what's shown by Flightradar24:

To 🇷🇺Moscow Vnukovo on Tue and Thu as W5084, to 🇷🇺Moscow Sheremetyevo on Sun, Mon and Wed as W5098, with aircraft type Boeing 747-400.

(Next week Wed and Thu should again be aircraft type Airbus A310) Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 8
Apparently Bosaso Airport in Somaliland is frequently being visited by "military aircrafts" (sic).

These aircraft are most likely "Fly Sky Airlines" from the 🇦🇪UAE. Their 🇺🇦UR-FSA* (508359) flew from the UAE to an unknown destination on 02, 03, 04, 05 and 06 Nov 2022. ImageImageImageImage
*Flightradar24 has recently messed up and is now displaying both 🇺🇦UR-FSA and 🇺🇦UR-FSE as 🇺🇦UR-FSE.

According to ADSBx, the flights were in fact done by a hex 508359, which is 🇺🇦UR-FSA in my lists. They are visually virtually identical.

Confused yet?😁
This article from today says "30 C-17 cargo planes have landed, bringing military vehicles, heavy weapons and military equipment (...), as well as foreign forces. mercenaries went to Bosaso."

👉🏻So far, I have found no evidence for 30 C-17A flights.
hadalsame.com/2022/11/08/day…
Read 8 tweets
Nov 8
"Aviacon Zitotrans" Ilyushin Il-76TD reg. 🇮🇷RA-76842 #AZS9003 flew from 🇷🇺Moscow Vnukovo to 🇮🇷Bushehr in Iran today - a destination that I haven't seen before.
Oh, I messed up the flags there. 🇷🇺RA-76842 is of course Russian.
Here's a Sentinel-2 satellite image (taken today 07:31 UTC) likely showing Aviacon Zitotrans Il-76TD reg. 🇷🇺RA-76842 "Kandahar" from 🇷🇺Moscow Vnukovo on ground in 🇮🇷Bushehr, Iran, on the shores of the Persian Gulf.

The Il-76TD had landed around 05:45 UTC.

H/t @Istihbarat1800L👍🏻
Read 4 tweets
Oct 2
Over the past months, there have been major developments at Bosaso Airport, on a strategic location on the shores of the Gulf of Aden in Puntland:

1) a new 75x60 m shelter has been built;
2) the access road is now paved;
3) the runway has been stretched from 2400 m to 3200 m. Image
At this moment I'm not really sure who's behind said developments, since I couldn't find it in any news reports.

The 🇦🇪UAE are known to have previously developed airports in the region.
Correction: the title of the main image should have mentioned Puntland, not Somaliland.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 27
⚠️New blog post!
🇪🇹Ethiopian Air Force (EtAF) published a whiteboard map of the alleged An-26 shootdown:

1) EtAF story is incomplete;
2) Map seems very realistic;
3) An-26 picture made by Bayraktar TB2, likely in Tigray;
4) further evidence still needed👇🏻
gerjon.substack.com/p/shot-down-or…
Georeferenced map (left) and digitized routes (right) of the 🇪🇹Ethiopian Air Force whiteboard map presented.

Alleged An-26 entered Ethiopia 01:50 h before the incident and may have even landed at Mekele before being shot down after take-off, something that EtAF chose not to say.
My calculations show that the routes drawn by 🇪🇹the Ethiopian Air Force seem very accurate and realistic, suggesting it may be a real event.

Their average speed (An-26: 430 km/h, Su-27: 800) is similar to the reported initial speed (430 and 876 km/h), especially for the An-26.
Read 4 tweets

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