Thread by @abluecrab1

One thing that has come to me out of today is that the Southeast, like the West, has an issue with over reliance on neighbors for tail events WHILE all having assets with correlated failure rates.

And overbuilding capacity to ridiculous degree doesn't work (hello New England gas) because so many of these unit outages are not treated as correlated in modeling when they should be.
More cap is great, current ways of modeling and paying for it fucking suck.

I am increasingly convinced that the only way out of these events is massive energy efficiency. Otherwise you end up with large amounts of correlated capacity (out of necessity) normally shit capacity factors and serious risk of failure during these major events