RE is problematic. much money is tied up there. much is financed. Real Estate takes a big chunk out of household expenses.
RE is priced now like New Economy in 1999. Expected yield is 1-2%. lol. PE of 40-50. We going Japan. 30-40Y NOTHING. table with real rates.
RE has the same mathematics EVERYWHERE. Longterm RE CANT grow/yield higher then REAL INCOME of the ppl. Central banks let this happen. RE is burned next for many y.
disposable income, profits, economy. RE hits everything
millions of ppl get burned in RE bubbles.
You buy a house on utopia valuations. finance with 1%. and 10Y-15Y later you get to refinance it with 3-5%-7% rates. You know what happens to the finances of this ppl ? their disposable income ? the economy ? RE is long bloody cycles.
the crash. only benefits new buyers. existing buyers. will get destroyed. the RE they cherished. will be worth less 20-30-50%.
millions of ppl will spend way less for decades. that happened in Japan, Germany. etc. / whole economy hurts. gets slowed. Banks get messed up etc.
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