Few of my learnings as an investor in 2022. A thread. 🧵
1) Investing is simple but not easy. It is very hard to become a long-term investor. Sometimes, it can be a lonely road especially when your hypothesis gets tested again and again
cont..
2)Watching the screen and trying to assess daily moves can be hugely unproductive if you are a long-term investor. Lot of people sell great businesses looking at the screen
cont..
3)Don’t try to do all – multitasking does not work in stock markets. Focus on your personal strength. Either be a good fundamental or technical or algo trader but don’t try to be everything
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4)You don’t buy a stock, but the stock buys you. Your choice of stocks depends on your personality traits. There is a reason that someone will like SBI or UBI or BOI in the same sector
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5)You will not own everything & will never be 100% correct. Prashant Jain invested in 465 stocks – and 1 in 4 resulted in loss. ONLY 55 stocks accounted for gain of 74,000 cr (85% of total). You will never be 100% correct – don’t beat yourself
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6)Trading is fun but not for everyone – very few have discipline to take losses and cut positions. Speculation requires a human quality of accepting defeat & booking losses sooner than later
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7)Beauty of LONG UPCYCLES that people forget rationality & beauty of LONG DOWNCYCLE is that people forget growth
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8)Sometimes cheap can be very expensive
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9)Risk management via right allocation is more important than picking the right stock, which is generally ignored by lot of retail investors
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10)Only research & deep research can help anyone to hold great businesses in the long term. Maintaining discipline in the rising markets is the hardest thing
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11)Boring is good for investment, may not give you adrenaline rush and quick money. NO one wants to become rich slowly
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12) One can borrow stock ideas but not conviction. We always lose money is kachra or hearsay stocks with no research but noise - good businesses always make money. The agony & financial pain of a wrong investment can be far higher than the joy of a successful one
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13) Your belief in the country’s growth should not change looking at SGX Nifty
END - Thanks for reading. Wishing you & your dear family a great 2023 and many more years to come.
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General Q: Why talks of US banning Russia oil imports?
Simple Answer: US does not get impacted economically
Sadly, it is about politics over peace talks/ effort
Fact check: US imports only 3% oil from Russia
US Oil imports from Russia in 2021, at $4.71 billion, is a 45% decline from a decade ago.
Fact check: Now, let us look at US oil exports which increased almost 3,000% due to increase in domestic production brought on by fracking + ended 4-decade-long ban on oil exports, dating back to the Arab Oil Embargo of 1973.
PS: Use ur own wisdom, view on results can vary person to person. I am still learning
Strong results
Ramco Cement
Ebidta/ tonne near 2000
Sales down 4.4% yoy, Ebidta up 49% yoy, Pat up 42% yoy
Volume miss; realisations spiked 17% YoY (a major surprise)
Jefferies: raise FY21 EPS by 60%, retain Rs1,000 PT
TTM PE at 35, 12% roce
Strong results with reasonable valuations
Coromandel Int
Sales down 5% yoy but up 43% qoq
Ebidta up 18% yoy, up 104% qoq
Pat up 17% yoy, up 135% qoq
TTM PE at 16x, 25% roce
PS: Use ur own wisdom, view on results can vary person to person. I am still learning
Max Life: Solid results
VNB margins surprise
Market share improved to 11.1%, highest in decade
Clarity on axis-max deal
19% to to split in 3 ways
Axis Bank to acquire 9% stake in Max Life
Subsidiaries will jointly acquire 3%
Further, the group entities will acquire 7% later
Strong results + reasonable valuation
Motilal Oswal
M-cap 8230 cr
Total Revenue up 14% (broking up 40%)
Broking: Highest ever revenue & profit in Q2FY21
Reported pat up 108% at 296 cr (included mtm pat)
Operating pat up 33% at 123.3 cr
Net of investments, co has net cash