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Dec 30, 2022 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
I honestly don't know and am very intrigued.

There are 5 outspoken GOP #NeverKevin reps. If they vote no, he loses.

They have shown no signs of bending.

I'm not sure how McCarthy gets to 218 without at least 1 of them breaking rank.

It's a boiling pot for sure.
It is NOT common for a speakership to be this closely contested, because the House generally has a bigger margin no matter which party has the majority.

Remember that a "party whip" has no constitutional power in America like it does in India. You can vote against the whip.
In India, once you get elected to parliament on a party's ticket, you pretty much have to vote the way their "whip" says, or get expelled.

In America, there is no such rule. You can vote against your party a lot and still not get "expelled".
Possibility, yes.

Probability, not so much. Given that Dems are united and very much to the left of McCarthy.

This kind of a scenario has never happened in modern US politics.

I truly think no one yet knows what exactly happens Jan 3rd.

Very much fun times! 🍿🍿

The thing our side doesn't appreciate fully is just how very solidly united we Dems generally are in the House thanks to Nancy Pelosi.

There is no D->R pathway for anyone.

But many R->D pathways. Esp in blue states.

Even if McCarthy manages to become speaker (which, I reiterate, is a BIG IF), he has such a tiny margin, smaller than the number of people who hate him, that he will not really be able to do anything meaningful for 2 years except put out fires to hold on to his speakership.
A lot of republicans are wishing they had just lost the House instead of this meaningless majority.

Cos if they didn't control anything, they could run a full anti incumbent campaign against Biden in 24.

But now Dems have a GOP House to blame and run against.

Beautiful! 🤭🤣

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More from @gauravsabnis

Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
There is a very legit data driven case to be made that @RalphNader has saved more lives in America (and around the world) than anyone else in history.

He's easily saved millions of lives with his vehicle safety activism. So much we take for granted is cos of him alone.
This thread is responsible for the epiphany above.

Detroit pretty much used every single such excuse to shut down Nader. He fought. They bullied, intimidated, sued. He won. And changed Detroit.

Chevys in US still way safer than Chevys in India.

Airbags objectively save lives. When an airbag deploys, the person almost always walks away from the accident.

And yet in India, auto cos are using the same gaslighting tactics that Detroit used against Nader decades ago.

Read 7 tweets
Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
I hope Rishabh Pant's near escape leads to some serious awareness campaigns and policy changes about something all too common in India - impaired driving.

It is insane how high (or low) the bar for impaired driving is in India, with an undeniable "macho" element attached.
The number of folks I've seen driving when visibly drunk ("yaar I tell you I drive better when I'm drunk hahaha") or clearly sleep deprived ("just chai sutta every hour and a podcast and I'm good yaar") in India is crazy. And yet the tendency is towards pushing limits not caution
Pushing the limits of driving when knowingly impaired is hardly exceptional to India.

What is exceptional is how little stigma there is attached to it, how little awareness there is about it.

And how many bros will still boast about successful impaired driving.
Read 4 tweets
Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
Year 1 Cooking as a Car-less Desi Fob in Rural America, a 🧵

A young friend recently asked if I had any tips from my Penn State grad school days when I didn't have access to desi stores or whole foods type fancy stores or even online options.

And I thought of many!

Strap in!
My 1st year in the US, I had no car. I was in a tiny college town that had only 1 Desi grocery store with EXTREMELY mediocre inventory. Only supermarkets in walking or bus distance were Weiss or Walmart. Occasionally GIANT.

Basically white people grocery stores.
Contrary to what you might expect, I had NOT arrived with a suitcase full of grains and spices and a pressure cooker packed by my mom.

I was 26 then, been cooking since I was 11 or so, lived alone in Bombay before grad school, was already cocky about my cooking skills lol.
Read 20 tweets
Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
This is why Democrats are all "🤣🍿🤭" about #GeorgeSantos. With the GOP looking set to seat him, there's 2 years of this non stop grift, cos he will make his time count.

Trump GOP is a party of donor grifts. With the RNC running most donor grifts for Trump past 2 years.
It's obvious why the GOP is keeping #GeorgeSantos around for now. Speaker election is far from settled for McCarthy. They will seat him, he will vote, and then after a couple of weeks or months, he will resign, being "bought out" somehow. Perfectly legal landing spot.
If this dude was in some faraway district in flyover country, it was one thing.

But he's a short drive from where the most political journalists in the country work and he's such an easy dumpster fire fountain.

GOP will cut him loose in Feb or so, I predict.
Read 5 tweets
Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 30, 2022
Dinner tonight features #OvenGavar 😋
How very pyoorvheg.
Simple really.

- Break off the ends of the guar & pull off as much string as you can, then break or chop. Potatoes optional.
- mix with turmeric, chili, salt, hing to mustard seeds, high smoking pt oil
- Oven at 450F/230C ~30min, stirring every 10.

Read 4 tweets
Gaurav Sabnis Profile picture
Dec 29, 2022
Don't view this in isolation. Cos $tsla offered an extra $4K discount to those who would take their deliveries this year. Deep discounts to customers, pressure on employees, cos he is trying to game quarterly numbers. And giving away the game, talking about the market lol.
The most bizarre thing about this Musk phenomenon is he does so many things that are transparently stupid or dishonest and it's obvious to anyone not caught up in his myth. And we call out as it's happening. But his myth is still strong. At the content pushers ignore it.
If you paid attention in the most entry level classes in business school or even high school, every misstep of Musk's is so obvious months before the media finally comes around to recognizing said misstep. And then they churn out content trying to still justify the missteps.
Read 6 tweets

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