The law of demand
Higher price = Less willing buyers
Lower price = More willing buyers
The law of supply
Higher price = More willing sellers
Lower price = Less willing sellers
1) Demand vs Supply zones
Demand zone- more willing buyers than sellers - price increase. (They are demanding the asset)
Supply zone - more willing sellers than buyers - price decreases. (They are supplying the market with the asset.)
2) The law of Supply and Demand
Price will always seek the market equilibrium. This is where supply and demand curves cross each other.
Equilibrium is when both buyers and sellers have no motivation to buy or sell. But why does the market change anyways?
3) Supply and demand shifts
The constant changes in the market are a reflection of buyers and sellers changing their perception about the value of the market.
(Purposely ignored The Algorithm)
4) Difference between Price and Value
Price is the number that represents the current market equilibrium and value is the perception of the price by market participants.
5) Undervalued
When willing buyers think the asset is undervalued the demand for the asset increases. Buying activity may occur, causing price to increase. Eventually there are not enough coins to buy at a certain price. Buyers are willing to buy higher and higher.
6) Overvalued
When willing sellers think the asset is overvalued the supply for the asset increases. Selling activity may occur. causing price to decrease. There are not enough buyers to buy at a certain price. Sellers are willing to sell lower.
7) What to look for on a chart
We look for areas where institutional or other large investors get involved.
A strategy is marking:
-The last UP candle before a down move.
-The last DOWN candle before an up move.
Preferably the expansion after looks violent (displacement).
8) Trading opportunities
These large orders can't be filled all at the same time. So price often retraces back to these zones on lower timeframes.
On higher timeframes we see price reacting to these zones at a much later date. When zones are 'exhausted' they're be breached.
9) Point of interest
These zones can be seen as points of interest where we can find trades in. Don't get the illusion price HAS to reject here. So always use an entry model to confirm your trade.
Technical Analysis means you can use historical data to extrapolate future price action and identify the current trend to a certain level of accuracy.
First chart is to show what price areas I primarily look at as a bottom.
2/10
These are the Hull Moving Average (80) and the Regular Moving average (200). @FSgura taught me to use HMA to identify Bull and Bear markets quicker. Any price action above we consider bull and any price below we consider bear. Occasionally you will see some fake outs.
3/10
I'm looking at historical data to find similarities.
1. After a bulltrend BTC loses HMA and retests it. The second time it retests bearish BTC crashes. 2. BTC crashes towards the 200MA. 3. BTC consolidates on/near MA until HMA catches up. 4. HMA crosses below + above MA.
First decide what kind of market participant you want to be. This will depend mostly on how much time you have per day to invest in trading.
Much Time per day:
-Scalper
-Daytrader
Little Time per day:
-Swing trader
-Position Trader
So learn what these terms mean.
What is scalping?
"Scalping is a trading style that specializes in profiting off of small price changes and making a fast profit off reselling."
(Investopedia)
What Is a Day Trader?
"A day trader is a type of trader who executes a relatively large volume of short and long trades to capitalize on intraday market price action. The goal is to profit from very short-term price movements."
When reading the market it is important to know which way the market is trending.🆙or⤵️
Does it have a bullish or bearish structure?
How do you recognize this?
When is the market changing in trend?
In the first illustration you see the 3 main trends.
Bullish structure. Lets cover this one first. Lets imagine a larger impulse wave with 5 sub-waves. 3 Impulsive ones and 2 corrective ones.
Within the Impulsive and corrective waves you will find more sub-waves. In an uptrend the correctives waves can have 5 or 3 waves down. As illustrated below the first corrective wave consists of 5 waves while the second corrective wave consists of 3 waves.
1) The beginning in understanding markets (Thread)
The law of demand
The higher the price, the less buyers will it.
The law of supply
The higher the price, the more sellers will sell it.
2) The law of supply and demand
Price will always seek the market equilibrium. This is where supply and demand curves cross each other.
Equilibrium is when buyers and sellers have no motivation to buy or sell. But why does the market change anyways?
3) Supply and demand shifts
The constant changes in the market are a reflection of buyers and sellers changing their perception about the value of the market.