Phil Kerpen Profile picture
Jan 2 9 tweets 3 min read
Is this archive footage from the 70s or is Ehrlich still around? Is CBS really this stupid???
Here's a straight news story unironically promoting the predictions of a man best known for being spectacularly wrong about the exact same predictions 50 years ago.
Paul Ehrlich 1968: "The battle to feed all of humanity is over."
In the April 1970 issue of The Progressive, Paul Ehrlich projected a 1999 "United States of North America" population of 22.6 million.
Ehrlich, April 22, 1970 Earth Day speech:

"In ten years all important animal life in the sea will be extinct. Large areas of coastline will have to be evacuated because of the stench of dead fish."
Paul Ehrlich 1971: "even money that England will not exist in the year 2000."
books.google.com/books?id=azwQS…
Here's a really creepy one.

"The mother of the year should be a sterilized woman with two adopted children."

books.google.com/books?id=lFUEA…
Ehrlich 1975 "One of the main purported benefits of nuclear power, the availability of cheap and abundant energy, is in fact a cost…Giving society cheap, abundant energy at this point would be the moral equivalent of giving an idiot child a machine gun."

faspir.fas.org/archive/1970-1…
Paul and Anne Ehrlich 1974: “Before 1985 mankind will enter a genuine age of scarcity in which many things besides energy will be in short supply. Starvation among people will be accompanied by starvation of industries for the materials they require.”

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More from @kerpen

Dec 30, 2022
We have CDC flu view for MMWR week 51, the week ending December 24 and clinical labs posted 19.75% positive, while prior week revises down from 24.44% to 24.2%.

If someone tells you flu is rising, please correct them. Image
United States flu pos% through week ending December 24, 2022 on a single timeline. Image
United States flu pos% from October 1997 through week ending December 24, 2022 by HHS region. Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 28, 2022
CDC NREVSS has posted RSV for the week ending December 24.

National RSV PCR pos% printed 5.6%, lowest since week ending September 10. Image
RSV antigen nationally also printed 5.6% for the week ending December 24. Image
RSV by big four Census regions through week ending December 24, 2022. South and West tick up. Image
Read 7 tweets
Dec 24, 2022
9 House Republicans voted for the omnibus.
clerk.house.gov/Votes/2022549
Only one House Democrat voted against the omni: AOC
135 Democrats (62%) and 91 Republicans (43%) couldn't be bothered to show up for the House omnibus vote, instead filing proxy letters saying:

"I am unable to physically attend proceedings in the House Chamber due to the ongoing public health emergency."

clerk.house.gov/legislative/pr…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 23, 2022
Flu view clinical labs print 24.44% for week ending December 17; almost no revision to previous three weeks at 25% and change.

Here is our track vs. recent pre-pandemic years offset 6 weeks for the early arrival.
United States flu pos% through week ending December 17, 2022 on a single timeline.
United States flu pos% through week ending December 17, 2022 by HHS region.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 21, 2022
"Among 51011 working-aged Cleveland Clinic employees, the bivalent COVID-19 vaccine booster was 30% effective." (Unadjusted: 13%)

"The association of increased risk of COVID-19 with higher numbers of prior vaccine doses in our study, was unexpected."

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
One of the adjustments they used in the VE calc was for the higher risk associated with more prior vaccine doses.

"The analysis was adjusted for the pandemic phase when the last prior COVID-19 episode occurred, and the number of prior vaccine doses received."
"The risk of COVID-19 also varied by the number of COVID-19 vaccine doses previously received. The higher the number of vaccines previously received, the higher the risk of contracting COVID-19 (Figure 2)."
Read 4 tweets
Dec 21, 2022
We have RSV for the week ending December 17, 2022 from CDC NREVSS.

Here is national PCR pos%.
CDC RSV national antigen pos% through week ending December 17, 2022.
National CDC RSV PCR pos% of 6.5% for the week ending December 17, back to mid-September levels.
Read 8 tweets

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