Thread by @djrothkopf

It's 2023. You probably want to know what is going to happen this year. You can count on the following:
--Donald Trump will be indicted
--The GOP leadership in the House (whoever that turns out to be) will whiff badly in their attempts at "investigations."

--The Supreme Court will continue to advance its hard right agenda and, as scandals around it deepen, will sink to new lows in the public's standing
--The Biden Administration's implementation agenda will be augmented by foreign policy progress & its approval ratings will benefit

--The narrative around @VP will change and appreciation for @KamalaHarris will grow as she is increasingly seen as Biden's heir apparent
--Dems will also see growing appreciation for their deep bench of excellent governors

--Trump's standing in the GOP will continue to falter. DeSantis will be seen as the heir apparent until the campaign reveals his brittleness, lack of charm & lousy track record.
--It'll be clearer by year end that the GOP candidate for POTUS in 2024 is neither Trump nor DeSantis.

--I have no special insight into what Biden will do. If he runs, he will win. If he chooses not to run, he will effectively choose his successor and I believe it will be @KamalaHarris. Pundits will howl and say she can't win. (As they did about Biden.) She'll win in 2024.

--US will emerge from 2023 with one of best economic recovery stories, optimism about performance in 2024 in beyond
--Ukraine will make progress against Russians. Diplo efforts may produce ceasefire but unlikely to produce real end to conflict. The end of Putin looks nigh.

--New gov't in Israel will be a huge and continuing diplomatic headache for the U.S. (You could tell by the way welcoming statements for new gov't were worded. Every positive statement was a double edge sword, a warning to Bibi & extreme right.)

--China will not invade Taiwan but will focus on domestic issues, notably economy and unrest tied to pandemic. But tensions will bubble. Should new Speaker of House visit Taiwan, it will be a replay of Pelosi visit...but tenser.

--Wars and famine in Africa will worsen demanding stronger international response...which will continue to underwhelm.
--Biggest crisis in Latam will be AMLO's continuing assault on democracy in Mexico.

Ok. That's 15. You do the rest. Am I a dyed-in-the-wool, pro-democracy and consequently pro-Dem partisan who lets his hopes color his analysis? Probably. But I still the above is likely to happen and the troll, bot & wing nut response in the feed that follows won't change that.