Just before Christmas, it was reported that 18/18 Puma's working up for NATO deployment has suffered "total failure" (Der Spiegel) and that Marder IFV's would cover the next deployment instead (good Janes follow up article).
1/
In to the new year and we now know the full detail:
One Puma suffered a genuine issue: A cable fire. This is serious and rightly being treated as such by Rheinmetall and KMW. The fire was detected and extinguished quickly by the crew and onboard systems (Tageschau).
2/
Electrical/cable fires are an unfortunate and serious hazard in any vehicle with electrical cables. A quick google reveals incidents in the last couple of years with M1 Abrams, a RN vessel, a French helicopter... you get the idea. Scary stuff that crews need to train for.
3/
The other 17 Puma's issue has been quickly tracked (!) and described as 'bagatellen'/trivial, caused by lack of maintenance and training, easily identified, and rectified (Bild).
4/
We're still waiting for official confirmation what that trivial maintenance issue is.
Social media speculation suggests where sprockets were worn they either weren't replaced or the track tension adjusted.
Sprockets wear. It's a challenge with tracked vehicles, mil and civ.
5/
This resolution does not mean that Puma will support the upcoming NATO VJTF rotation after all though, Marder will. Puma crews still need to complete the failed exercise and work up, and there appear to remain spares and maintenance challenges in the Bundeswehr.
6/
The one cable fire aside (and I'm not playing that down), this story is less about Puma, more about Bundeswehr funding and absolutely about German Politics and Press.
7/
Let's get Bundeswehr funding out of the way first. Maintenance/training is not a surprise. It has only been a few months since the Chancellor announced an intended €100B Defence injection* to correct years of issues here. Their challenges cannot be solved overnight.
8/
*and that announcement has already hit political blocks
9/
German politics makes the British parliament look organised and is a case study in why a nation should avoid coalitions and stick to majority governments. They have to negotiate with several parties to get a decision, some of whom may hold wildly different worldviews.
10/
They are also still within the generation who grew up, were educated, lived and worked when Germany was two post-WWII countries: East and West Germany. You can't unify everyone one generation.
Bluntly: Pro-Soviet ideals remain valued in some corners, and not just by Putin.
11/
So when a German pro-NATO endeavour such as Puma VJTF hits issues, you can guarantee that in the current Ukraine-invasion dominated environment that it will be amplified as much as possible by both German opposition parties and pro-Russia factions.
12/
This plays well with counter-Putin factions too. Some French/Brits experience schadenfreude when it comes to negative German news, even if guiltily, US and Korean industry "encouraged" accounts are also gleeful. Why wouldn't they be? They have howitzers and IFV's to sell...
13/
The Puma story is the second big Bundeswehr criticism of 2022. A conveniently paywalled Der Spiegel article of a 'leaked' Bundeswehr memo amplified within a few minutes by other outlets, clearly aware before publication, quoting the source article.
14/
This is then followed by a conveniently non-paywalled Der Spiegel follow-up article briefly announcing 17 Puma's were "quickly back in shape" before pushing CSU/Green party criticism of the SPD party and since-removed section lampooning Lambrecht's New Years clip.
15/
Notably, the Lambrecht section still exists on numerous other news sites versions of the source article.
16/
This is the same pattern as the PzH 2000 non-story earlier in 2022, where the 100 rounds/day criticism instead turned out to be a threshold term for "Hoher Intensität" (High Intensity Battle) and "Intensivschuss" (Intensive Shot) where different CONOPS and logistics kick in.
17/
This did not stop opposition parties, pro-Russian or competitive industry outlets howling in delight. Why wouldn't they be motivated to attack the governing party, undermine the UAF's belief in their artillery piece or to promote their own howitzer for upcoming competitions?
18/
The reality here is the NATO VJTF remains strong with Bundeswehr Marder's covering Germany's contribution and Puma expected to take over the following rotation once worked up.
There is no fundamental issue with Puma, with funding, training and maintenance remaining key.
19/
It also gives you a whole new level of respect for the efforts involved in keeping the UK's older fleets going! Hopefully we can improve our own situation by easing the burden with newer fleets and carrying the maintenance expertise over.
20/
/FIN
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There are at least four significant factors to consider here:
1️⃣ Reducing density;
2️⃣ Expansion of NATO;
3️⃣ Overseas Territories and SLOCs;
4️⃣ Force composition.
2/
1️⃣ As the density of our armed forces reduces (via headcount reduction or deliberate formation structure*) situational awareness of a wider area must improve as does the ability to reach those areas via range or mobility.
Article from @i_antinozzi touches on topics discussed earlier in the week regarding movements in Europe needing a "cutting with the grain" approach to equipment selection vis-à-vis the red-tape that surrounds it, but gets bogged in Ukraine and Bexit lens.
1️⃣ Joining the Military Mobility scheme is not about Ukraine though that may be impetus. The UK must travel through the EU to reach the Sennelager Hub, support JEF members and travel to deployment commitments in Estonia. MM is considered a long term smoothing of bureaucracy.
2/
2️⃣ PESCO is not limited to a Brexit concern. Initiatives such as C2 CSDP duplicate NATO, JEF & other C2 structures that the UK already expends resource in. More command layers/nodes, especially delegated ones requiring ratification, slows DM and abrogates responsibilities.
3/
InfraStrata's resurrection of Appledore and H&W (renaming the group to Harland & Wolff) has been rapid. Purchase of the Methil/Arnish yards from BiFab and recent pledge to majority-build all blocks and fully assemble at Belfast has swung the deal.
⚙ Poland are due to receive the first 24 K9A1's from Korea. Great news for Poland and NATO!
But this isn't the rapid/advanced Artillery program being promoted and it's nothing like the K9A2 being offered to the UK, which is a red flag for the UK.
⚠ DISCLAIMER: I have no horse in this race other than wishing the best for the British Army. Neither I, nor my family, benefit from MPF, the manufacturers of any MPF entrants, the Army, or any of their partners.
Poland signed a "framework agreement" with Korea to build 672 K9PL locally. These are based on the latest K9A2 howitzers and should develop local industrially.
This is great, I hope Poland get there. Really do.