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unusual_whales Profile picture
@unusual_whales
Jan 3, 2023 • 9 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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🚨BREAKING🚨

I have just released the full trading report on politicians in 2022.

Despite 2022 being the worst market since 2008, both Democrats & Republicans beat the market.

Many politicians individually beat the market.

And many made unusual trades resulting in huge gains. Image
On average, Democrats were down -1.76% in 2022, whereas Republican members were up +0.4%.

Meanwhile, the S&P500 itself was down 18% in 2022.

Like in 2021, politicians beat the market.

Read the full report here: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
A SPY-matched trades approach shows a similar result.

This allows us to compare a politician’s individual trades with $SPY, the S&P500, over the same period.

You can see that in both Democrats and Republicans beat the market.

See the full report here: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
It is truly inexcusable.

In all ways we tested, Congress beat the market.

This is the worst market since 2008, and yet, politicians returned better than many.

How unusual.

Read the full report: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
Many have asked: What about the Pelosis in 2022?

In 2022, they were down nearly 20%. Many of their deep in-the-money option plays expired at a loss.

Meanwhile, the top trader, Pat Fallon, a Republican, was up 51% on his 2022 trades.

Read full report: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
Here is a longer list, with returns estimated to mid Dec 2022.

Many members had wins and losses alike.

Notably, however, the majority beat SPY year to date, in the worst market since 2008.

Interesting!

Read the full report: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
It is truly unusual.

Politicians beat the market in 2021, and now 2022.

While the total value of stocks traded dropped, some politicians like Ro Khanna made 5,700+ trades in 2022.

Read the full report for details: unusualwhales.com/politics/artic… Image
It is important to note that this is not a new trend.

In 2021, politicians beat the market too.

Here is our 2021 report.

Unusual.
Some members have sent their trades for UW to verify.

One of them was Fallon.

With updated history, he is:
- -18% on full portfolio
- In 2022, +24% $TWTR from costs of derivative position (not known before), -8% $VZ
- No longer trades stocks

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More from @unusual_whales

unusual_whales Profile picture
Jan 7
🚨BREAKING🚨

I just released the full report on Congress trading in 2025.

Like every year since 2020, some politicians beat the market.

Many had unusual trades.

Some had huge gains.

Here are the top political traders of 2025. Image
This year, Republicans beat Democrats.

Republicans were up 17.3% on the year, with Democrats up 14.4%.

Meanwhile, S&P500 was up 16.8%.

Many traded despite having conflicts in their committees and their stock holdings.

Read the full report here: unusualwhales.com/congress-tradi…Image
Unusual Whales was made to catch these unusual stock holdings and options.

But the next big insider trade may be made via prediction markets.

Today we're launching Unusual Predictions to help our community catch insiders and unusual whales in prediction markets.

Unusual Whales subscribers can see it here: unusualwhales.com/predictionsImage
Read 10 tweets
unusual_whales Profile picture
Jan 3
BREAKING: The US is now running Venezuela, Trump has said.

What stocks could benefit from these plays?

Let's dig in. Image
Defense, AI, Drones & Strategic Infrastructure

Lockheed Martin (LMT) — Prime beneficiary of sustained U.S. defense budgets across missiles, space, and ISR; program depth makes it a core “steady flow” name when geopolitical risk rises.

Northrop Grumman (NOC) — Heavy exposure to stealth, space systems, and nuclear modernization; long-duration contracts provide visibility well into the 2030s.

RTX (RTX) — Missiles, air defense, and radar systems keep RTX central to replenishment cycles driven by global conflicts.

General Dynamics (GD) — Submarines, armored vehicles, and IT systems make GD a beneficiary of both naval expansion and land-force modernization.

Kratos Defense (KTOS) — Jet-powered autonomous drones and hypersonics place Kratos directly in the shift toward scalable, unmanned warfare.

AeroVironment (AVAV) — Tactical UAVs and loitering munitions tied to near-term Army and border-security contract catalysts.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) — Space-based connectivity and surveillance gain strategic importance as Space Force funding and redundancy requirements expand.

See more: unusualwhales.com/stock/LMT/over…Image
Venezuela Regime Change & Energy Rebuild Plays

Chevron (CVX) — Only U.S. major still operating in Venezuela with OFAC licenses; positioned to ramp production immediately if sanctions ease.

Valero Energy (VLO) — Gulf Coast refineries optimized for heavy sour crude would benefit from cheaper Venezuelan feedstock and widening margins.

Phillips 66 (PSX) — Similar heavy-crude exposure; lower input costs translate directly into refining profitability.

Halliburton (HAL) — Field rehabilitation, drilling, and maintenance contracts would follow any production restart.

Schlumberger (SLB) — Technical expertise in complex heavy crude reservoirs positions SLB for higher service intensity if output increases.

See more: unusualwhales.com/stock/xom/over…Image
Read 4 tweets
unusual_whales Profile picture
May 6, 2025
Over the last few weeks it has become apparent that Wall Street & US politicians were getting tariff news before the rest of the market.

FOX news confirmed this saying WallStreet was getting updates on tariff deals.

And now NY AG Letitia James is reportedly hunting for insider trading among politicians.

People are making millions off the chaos.

Here's a breakdown of some of the unusual trades:Image
On April 9th, you can see before Trump posted "buy" on Truth Social, traders opened $QQQ $TQQQ and $SPY calls.

RIGHT BEFORE THE NEWS, someone opened $SPY 509 calls, expiring that day!

Those calls were up 2100% in one hour.

You can see all volume was literally opened that day. You can see all volume was new opening volume (not only on the Zero days, but also on the weekly $QQQ and $TQQQ calls).Image
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Take another example.

Before Trump announced a pause on 04/09, there was HUGE $QQQ volume on a 460C expiring 04/17.

They were bought for $0.85 and ran to as high as $31 per contract!!! This was before any news.

Later in the day, it rallied 2000% in ten minutes.

The trader made millions.

Why was this unusual? For a few reasons:
- Firstly new opening volume on chain, minutes after market open
- IVR of +80 on $QQQ, with iv percentile of medium. So vol wasn’t anticipating a move this big
- All execution happened at once, at ask
- This was wildly out of the money at the time
- Market was bearish, across the boardImage
Read 8 tweets
unusual_whales Profile picture
Apr 24, 2025
Over the last few weeks it has become apparent that Wallstreet and US politicians were getting tariff news before the rest of the market.

FOX news confirmed this today.

These people are making millions off the chaos.

Here's a breakdown of some of the unusual trades: Image
On April 9th, you can see before Trump posted "buy" on Truth Social, traders opened $QQQ $TQQQ and $SPY calls

RIGHT BEFORE THE NEWS, someone opened $SPY 509 calls, expiring that day!

Those calls were up 2100% in one hour.

You can see all volume was literally opened that day. You can see all volume was new opening volume (not only on the Zero days, but also on the weekly $QQQ and $TQQQ calls).Image
Image
Image
Image
Take another example.

Before Trump announced a pause on 04/09, there was HUGE $QQQ volume on a 460C expiring 04/17.

They were bought for $0.85 and ran to as high as $31 per contract!!!

This was before any news.

Later in the day, it rallied 2000% in ten minutes.

The trader made millions.

Why was this unusual? For a few reasons:

- Firstly new opening volume on chain, minutes after market open
- IVR of +80 on $QQQ, with iv percentile of medium. So vol wasn’t anticipating a move this big
- all execution happened at once, at ask
- this was wildly out of the money at the time
- market was bearish, across the boardImage
Read 6 tweets
unusual_whales Profile picture
Apr 9, 2025
Alright, I think people knew of the tariff pause and traded it beforehand.

You can see before Trump posted "buy" on Truth Social, traders opened $QQQ $TQQQ and $SPY calls

RIGHT BEFORE THE NEWS, someone opened $SPY 509 calls, expiring TODAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Those calls are up 2100% in one hour.

You can see all volume was literally opened TODAY!!!!!!!!!! (That little green arrow). You can see all volume is new opening volume (not only on the Zero days, but also on the weekly $QQQ and $TQQQ calls). This is especially odd given IVR on these was around 82 this morning, with IV through the roof. The traders really wanted to trade directionally...

In fact, using Unusual Whales' net premium, you can see people have been loading calls trading for a reversal, following these opening calls. Very clear example here.

Insane, someone knew.Image
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Image
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Many traders likely followed the call premiums trend, and saw weekly and April 17th action.

You can actually see the traders close their trades for MILLIONS!

Could you have followed these trades? Yup! We did, alongside other UW traders!

Come join: unusualwhales.comImage
Image
If you are looking for an understanding on how this trade happened, or what to look for in Unusual Whales software, check out our tutorials, courses, and videos:

- Information guide: unusualwhales.com/information
- Youtube: youtube.com/@UnusualWhales
- Courses: unusualwhales.com/course
Read 4 tweets
unusual_whales Profile picture
Jan 7, 2025
🚨BREAKING🚨

I just released the full report on Congress trading in 2024.

Like every year since 2020, some US politicians beat the market.

From the start of 2024 to year end, many had unusual trades & huge portfolio gains.

Here are the top political traders of 2024. Image
This year, Democrats beat their Republican counterparts.

Dems were up 31% & Republicans +26%.

Meanwhile the S&P500 itself was up 24.9%.

Many traded, despite having conflicts between their committees and stock holdings.

Read the full report here: unusualwhales.com/congress-tradi…Image
The 2024 Unusual Whales report was sponsored by @JoinAutopilot_.

Autopilot lets you invest alongside Politicians' trades, automatically!

Including Marjorie Greene, Josh Gottheimer, Wyden, Rouzer, & Pete Sessions, top performers in 2024.

Join here: bit.ly/4gzKzK1Image
Read 8 tweets

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