If you want the TLDR, #Giants Brian Daboll is the obvious Coach Of The Year b/c he made the playoffs w/ THIS roster.
But having analyzed the tape of every game (check out the YT show linked at end of thread!), there's a non-TLDR case to be made.
So here's my thread on that(1/?)
Most of the Daboll COTY talk focuses on his roster maximization. Gettleman left him with more than 25% of his cap allocated to players off the roster or not playing. AND he burned multiple 1st-round picks (Baker, Toney). But I want to focus on his actual coaching so.. (cont)
The key to Daboll’s success has been his (w/ help of Kafka/Tierney) development of DJ. We’ll get to that. But his decision in Week 1 to go for the win (2-pt conversion call) was momentous. The #Giants hadn’t had a winning record at any point since 2016 before that W (cont)
Daboll's development w/ DJ stands tallest. It starts w/ Daboll’s recognition of DJ’s biggest weakness on tape and his solution for it. What did he recognize? In the past systems, DJ had a tendency to sit in the pocket and lock into reads, often waiting for a WR to get open (cont)
This tendency led to sacks, forced fumbles, late throws that got tipped and at times intercepted and not a lot of successful plays. So the first thing Daboll did was hammer home: if you don’t like what you see, check the B gap and if it’s open take it (as a runner) (cont)
As @BenjaminSolak did a great job pointing out earlier, EPA on “scrambles (non-designed runs)” is higher than just about anything else. So Daboll took away the long waiting periods in the pocket that led to sacks&turnovers and morphed them into scramble runs. That's not all(cont)
There was a focus in camp on drills that required DJ to move his feet, leave the pocket & keep his eyes down the field. The latter is key here. It’s impossible to watch DJ film this year and not notice a massive jump in his ability to create plays off platform with his ARM (cont)
The biggest difference is that DJ is now keeping his eyes down field the entire time on the move + not moving at 100%. He patiently moves out of the pocket (mostly right, he’s righty), keeps his eyes downfield and allows things to develop (cont)
And it’s no coincidence that #Giants WRs have developed a plan now for when DJ is on the move. Darius Slayton talked about this w Art Stapleton. Each WR has his own plan for scramble plays and DJ and his WRs are perfectly in sync (cont)
W/ this plan. That hasn’t been the case at any point from 2019-2021 under two diff coaches. It showed up almost immediately under Daboll. Those are the main areas Daboll has developed DJ but not the only ones so here are a few more (cont) #Giants
Improvements:
- Less burping the baby (specifically as of late)
- Better footwork (he used to have a drifting issue in the pocket under pressure, now he steps through and either runs or flows right)
- Faster eyes post snap (DJ confirming the safety&second level defenders)
(cont)
Overall, the job Daboll and staff have done revamping a QB’s game in Year 4 is in a lot of ways unprecedented. The improvement he helped DJ make w/ pocket manipulation and off script play success are enough alone for me, but taking this #Giants roster to the playoffs is it (cont)
If you enjoyed this thread, please consider checking out the Big Blue Banter #Giants podcast and YouTube show. You’ll find Xs and Os film based analysis from myself and @nickfalato #TogetherBlue
Links:
Per @Doug_Analytics the #Giants win probability dropped 19% after Daniel Jones' first INT, but he also had some of his best throws of the year v DET. He also didn't pull the trigger on throws they need him to.
More good than bad.✅
Here's some of the film in this thread (cont)
Starting the thread w/ the good clips
This was my favorite Daniel Jones play of the game:
Escapes pressure✅
Generates ++velocity completely off platform w/ pure arm talent✅
Changes trajectory to layer over second level's fingertips✅
Ball placement straight up PERFECT✅ #Giants
The above clip was a 3rd&10; this one is a 3rd&15
I love the growth from Daniel Jones here re: resetting the pocket and finding a new pass lane rather than rolling to his right and cutting off half the field. This keeps the Hodgins dagger route in play and DJ drives it. #Giants
After watching the #Giants Week 10 film, I've grown such an appreciation for what Daboll/Kafka did. It had Parcells-ian vibes. They lined up w/ extra offensive linemen and did everything to shout "we're running the ball, we know you know we are, and you can't stop, and (cont)
we know we'll win the physical battle at the LOS." This set up multiple play action pass attempts where the second level defenders cheated up so much that there was WIDE open separation (Slayton crosser X2). For the most part they just ran it and although they could have (cont)
Thrown the football if they wanted to, it was the RIGHT plan to run like that. Why? Because it minimizes the variance. When you throw the football more often, it will always lead to higher variance. The #Giants staff were confident they would win the trenches and they were right.
It's time to talk about Daniel Jones 4-game stretch so here's a thread. Why? It was the best 4-game stretch of his #Giants career on tape (context considered).
On this week's #BigBlueBanter I described DJ as a starting pitcher in full command of his arsenal. Let's start by (cont)
Daniel Jones' 4-game stretch has some INSANE advance stats:
4.1% off-target throw % (best in NFL)
4th-best EPA behind (Mahomes, Allen, Burrow)
Second-most yards per scramble (10.0)
3rd down conversion rate (45.5%) (fourth-best)
1st down per pass attempt rate (38.1%) (third-best)
We'll dive into some film clips shortly, but:
His off-target % on the year (6.9% nice) and 4.1% over the last four (best in NFL) combined w/ his rushing EPA are a big reason for the high conversion rates on 3rd and 1st downs
This is what I mean by a pitcher in full command (cont)
Incredibly insightful info from the GOAT film analyst Greg Cosell on Inside the Birds about the #Giants re: Daniel Jones, Joe Judge and Brian Daboll
Doing a quick thread w/ key takeaways 1. Joe Judge was even worse than you think. From what Greg heard, JJ wouldn't allow a (cont)
a single mistake to happen. He would freak out for any kind of error. This is a horrific way to coach, obv, but it can also have a debilitating impact on a QB no matter who the QB is. "It was almost as if you weren't allowed to make a mistake."
This more than anything (cont)
Serves as a viable excuse for DJ to me. That's two years of his career listening to/playing under that kind of nasty environment (I still have no clue why JJ was celebrated for winning a few games down the stretch of 2020 against backup/out of league QBs). Dabes will be (cont)
Quick thread on what I feel are the most promising developments from #Giants training camp thus far: 1. EDGE Lorenzo Carter: Achilles injuries used to be a career death sentence, but that appears to no longer be the case. Carter looked explosive at minicamp and carried (cont)
it over to training camp. Wasn't expecting a major contribution from him in 2021, now expecting he'll start and play most snaps off EDGE. He was a top-3 breakout candidate for me in Patrick Graham's system that's a cookie-cutter fit for his skill set. Offers best edge bend (cont)
on the roster. 2. Will Hernandez looks a lot better. Maybe it's being removed from COVID (long haul effect for 300+ lb people). Maybe it's the body transformation. Maybe it's the offszn work w/ @BigDuke50 but he's starting to look more like the player we expected out of (cont)