Uganda President Museveni’s son Gen. Muhoozi Kainerugaba is in the quest for the presidency. Muhoozi might not become president, but his bid could have the unintended consequence of giving Uganda it’s biggest democratic advance in over 55 years #UG2026 1/7
Muhoozi's father too still wants the presidency. In power for 37 yrs now, and is being touted as “sole” candidate by the ruling NRM for 2026. Muhoozi has slammed the NRM as the most reactionary party in Uganda, and the war of words with its “Historicals” continues #UG256 2/7
Muhoozi’s tweets can be disconcerting, and reading them doesn’t always inspire confidence in his democratic commitment. But he’s rival like the NRM has never had. Unlike Kizza Besigye or Bobi Wine, they can’t imprison or torture him – or his supporters 3/7
If they did detain and torture him, it would fracture the Museveni house, and possibly even cause a revolt by Muhoozi’s base, even if it be small, in the army, and the youth flank of the NRM Kakistocracy 4/7
Despite his divisive tweets, Muhoozi’s case for a new generation of leaders, and an economy that works for young people (78% of UG’s population is below 30 yrs old, making it the youngest country in the world) are powerful and superior to anything M7 & NRM have to offer 5/7
Because they can’t just beat him down, M7 & NRM can best undercut Muhoozi by both political and economic reform, and trying to get the vast alienated youth back on side. It would be the first time in since 1966 a Ugandan govt didn’t reorganise national consent by brute force 6/7
IF that happened, Muhoozi would have changed, and possibly considerably democratised, Uganda by failing to gain the presidency or political power to do so. He would rule Uganda, not just in the way he envisages it. Of course, it could also go south very badly 7/7

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