Hannah White welcomes the audience to the event, thanks Grant Thornton for their support, and asks the opening question: what are the big challenges in your area in 2023?
For the Civil Service, Alex Thomas says the challenge will be to cope with tight budgets to make efficiencies while improving the service it provides to ministers and the public. Pay will also be an issue, referring to the fast stream strike announced today.
Nick Davies highlights backlogs, staffing, and funding as the challenges for public services. Backlogs have been exacerbated by the pandemic, but many of them were building before.
Industrial action will be a core challenge on the staffing front - Nick references his comment piece published this morning, which argues the government needs to consider its strikes strategy:
Jess Sargeant says there is lots she could talk about in her focus on the constitution and Northern Ireland, but outlines parliamentary management as a key challenge for Sunak. Might MPs choices be focused by the upcoming election?
Jess outlines devolution and the union as a challenge - she references the decision to effectively veto the Scottish Gender Recognition Reform Bill and suggests it is a continuation of a more hardline approach to the union.
Asked what will specifically be achieved in 2023, Alex Thomas says "it is never too soon" to address the problem of civil service churn and references a paper published before Christmas on how to get external expertise and talent into the service.
Alex is asked what putting the civil service on a statutory footing would mean. He says it would give the Civil Service clarity on its role, especially for Permanent Secretaries and allow for better accountability of the service and its effectiveness.
Hannah White asks if net zero is being "squeezed off the agenda". Alex Thomas says having the target is good and says, although it is not front of mind, the "institutional architecture" of the Civil Service keeps the work going in the background
Nick Davies speaks about speculation the government will make higher pay offers to resolve disputes, but notes this might have to come from existing departmental budgets. He outlines it is ultimately a political choice how any pay offers are funded.
Nick notes the main action that could be done now to improve public services is resolving the pay disputes. Other measures will be longer-term and may require capital spending
Jess Sargeant is asked about the Brown Review and whether Labour will adopt it wholesale. Jess says Labour will need to think about priorities and how a Labour government will achieve change - building parliamentary coalitions (including in the Lords).
Jess is asked about restoring the Northern Ireland Executive. She says it is a major challenge. Progress has been made in UK-EU protocol talks but there is a long way to go, with many big barriers still to be addressed. She says any deal may not meet the DUP's demands
We now move to public questions. The audience ask questions about net zero, putting the civil service on statutory footing, and civil service relocation.
Alex says that net zero will require better cross-departmental action, a need to improve accountability for the civil service in real-time, and says change is happening on relocation, perhaps more than figures may suggest
More questions come from the audience, particularly on in-sourcing and out-sourcing. Nick Davies points to IfG research in 2019 showing out-sourcing did lead to financial savings in the early years but rarely moved the needle on quality of service.
Alex Thomas says that bringing back the Civil Service College would be a good idea, but outlines that what it teaches is a more complex question. He says that civil servants need a degree of knowledge on their subjects and this is eroded by churn.
And that rounds up our IfG expert briefing! We'll be back in fifteen minutes with a keynote speech from Lisa Nandy MP, Shadow Secretary of State for Levelling Up, Housing, and Communities.
PM begins by thanking HW and the IfG for the invitation. She argues we need to think about strategy, not just tactics. We all have a good sense of the challenges facing us - we are all, also, part of the solution.
PM: Part of the frustration of politics is not that people don't have solutions, but that people have great solutions. They want to take responsibility, to help. During Covid, for instance, everyone stepped up.
IfG Programme Director @AlexGAThomas: 2023 will not be a particularly easy year for the civil service, with strikes, inflation, and challenges from without and within.
And we're off with our first event, with Hannah White discussing the challenges of the year ahead with Sam Freedman, Ayesha Hazarika, Paul Johnson, and Chloe Smith MP.
Sam kicks us off. He says we've become poorer due to external events and government policy. Should this mean lower public sector pay? Higher taxes? These are some of the issues the govt must grapple with #IfGgovt23
With Hunt/Sunak focussed on the election, they're not as focussed as they should be on the state of the public sector (especially the NHS, education, transport, the the criminal justice sector). With a govt focussed on the next election, this makes recovery trickier. #IfGgovt23
@bronwenmaddox IfG Deputy Director Hannah White introduces the event, welcoming our audience in person and online to BM's valedictory lecture as Director of the IfG