Forms of intimidation a scientist can expect to face if they publicly ask for an investigation of a lab #OriginOfCovid
1. Accused of encouraging racist right-wing conspiracy theorists
2. Accused of being an unqualified grifter
3. Retaliation in academia
4. Threats+harassment
And most ridiculously:
5. Accused of spreading #OriginOfCovid misinformation because they don't talk enough about natural recombination in viruses.
When there is literally a 2018 research plan by Wuhan-US scientists that could have led to the creation of the pandemic virus.
When my colleagues and I said in 2020 that both natural and lab #OriginOfCovid hypotheses were viable, we had no idea the kind of s***storm we were going to get sucked into. We had no idea that this was ongoing in the background: theintercept.com/2023/01/19/cov…
This is a situation where it's better, career-wise, for scientists to not say anything even if future outbreaks continue to come from labs doing risky pathogen research.
But we live in a world where a lab accident in another country can cause your loved ones to die.
Is the calculation here that a handful of scientists will push for a proper investigation of a lab #OriginOfCovid at their own peril?
You're willing to bet millions of lives and trillions of dollars on the persistence of a handful of scientists?
I consider it a cop-out when I hear other scientists say the #OriginOfCovid is not important.
I also consider it a cop-out when I hear other scientists say we won't find the #OriginOfCovid because of the Chinese government.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The strongest hypothesis for a genetically engineered lab #OriginOfCovid is that scientists collected a new SARS-like virus that did not seem dangerous to humans and used this low-risk strain for clear gain-of-function experiments eg inserting a furin cleavage site in its spike.
This plan is literally written in the early 2018 proposal by the Wuhan and US scientists.
They would use "low risk" strains for cleavage site insertion. Nowhere in this section does it say they were going to use close relatives of known human pathogens. documentcloud.org/documents/2106…
To all the virologists and journalists asking for evidence that the pandemic virus may have been engineered in a lab, I think you missed this revelation in September 2021: theintercept.com/2021/09/23/cor…
“Let’s look at the big picture: A novel SARS coronavirus emerges in Wuhan with a novel cleavage site in it. We now have evidence that, in early 2018, they had pitched inserting novel cleavage sites into novel SARS-related viruses in their lab.”
Put it this way, it is as if these scientists proposed to put horns on horses and 2 years later a unicorn shows up in their town. When they discover this unicorn and describe it to the public, they talk about every other feature except for the horn. ayjchan.medium.com/the-evidence-f…
This takes the 🍰 @Nature reporter asks Peter Daszak what he thinks of the cleavage site in the pandemic virus.
He says it enhances pathogenicity. Doesn't mention that he & Wuhan collaborators proposed putting these sites into SARS-like viruses in the lab. usrtk.org/wp-content/upl…
@Nature On @TheLancet letter that condemned all conspiracy theories suggesting the virus did not have a natural origin... looks like the support from the chief editor was too strong and several of the authors did not manage to declare their COIs before the letter was published.
@Nature@TheLancet As early as May 2020 Daszak and friends had worried about being FOIA'ed and sought to evade it by using personal gmail addresses.
h/t @Rebecca21951651
It's difficult to bet on whether the next pandemic will come from nature or a lab when you don't know what experiments are ongoing or will be carried out in hundreds of labs around the world.
It's difficult enough trying to find out what was happening in 1 lab in Wuhan #OriginOfCovid
Try scaling that to 100s of labs and predicting when and where lab-based outbreaks will occur.
Pathogen research today is very different than it was decades ago. Scientists are actively looking for pandemic potential pathogens and genetically modifying these live pathogens in the lab - labs often based in large metropolitan cities (and sometimes they have wet markets!).
Zoonosis #OriginOfCovid proponents: "The virus was well adapted for not *just* human but tons of other animals!"
I'm not sure how this makes it any less likely that the virus came from a lab where bat viruses are pushed through primate & human cells, humanized mice & civets.
Dec 2017, virologist director of an OIE reference lab in China wanted to see scientists demonstrate in the lab that the human SARS strain can jump from bats to another animal, such as a civet. "If this could have been done, the evidence would be perfect.” nature.com/articles/d4158…
Before the pandemic, Wuhan Institute of Virology: "We performed in vivo experiments in transgenic (human ACE2 expressing) mice and civets in 2018 and 2019 in the Institute’s biosafety laboratory. The viruses we used were bat SARSr-CoV close to SARS-CoV." science.org/pb-assets/PDF/…
“adaptation within humans was not needed for SARS-CoV-2 to spread”
- Proximal Origin & Friends, 2022, @ScienceMagazine
In other words, the pandemic virus was well adapted for humans.
@ScienceMagazine Proximal Origin & Friends also claim that the virus is well adapted for spreading in multiple species.
Yet, such a powerful virus left zero trace of its path and emerged in Wuhan out of all the hundreds of other cities in China and Southeast Asia.
@ScienceMagazine The scenario where the virus picked up its pandemic powers and immediately got on a non-stop high-speed train to Wuhan via an infected person or animal so as to leave no trace of its origin or journey is not impossible, but it makes for a very unlikely story.