Frances 'Cassandra' Coppola Profile picture
Jan 20, 2023 17 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Dear @SBF_FTX. This is not a balance sheet. A balance sheet doesn't record "balances", it records assets on one side of the sheet and liabilities plus equity on the other. The "balance" is whether the totals on the two sides agree. #basicaccounting Excerpt from Sam Bankman-Fried's substack showing what he ca
Dear @SBF_FTX. Since FTX was channelling customer funds to Alameda, we already know FTX was not dependent on Alameda for liquidity. Where is the chart showing Alameda's dependence on FTX?
Dear @SBF_FTX. Revenue is not profits. Chart labelled "FTX International Daily Revenue" p
Dear @SBF_FTX. Valuing assets on your company's balance sheet according to "your model" is known as "mark to model" (or "mark to fantasy"). It is only acceptable if the market for the assets is too small for price discovery. "Over the course of 2021, Alameda’s Net Asset Value s
Dear @SBF_FTX. The problem with marking assets to fantasy is that you end up with wholly unrealistic valuations, and as a result you develop wholly irrational beliefs such as "an $8bn shortfall of liquid assets wasn't risky". (Also this isn't a balance sheet, as previously noted)
And this is what happens when your marks to fantasy unwind.
Switching substack posts. Dear @SBF_FTX, as noted before, this is not a balance sheet. It therefore does not, and cannot, show FTX US "overcapitalised by roughly $350m".
@SBF_FTX Dear @SBF_FTX. Contrary to the claim in your substack post, S&C's presentation does appear to include $428m in FTX US's bank accounts as an asset. It is the cash balance for the WRS silo and is included in the total cash balance of $1.7bn.
I admit I had to do some hunting to find it, as it's not immediately apparent that WRS silo includes FTX US. @SBF_FTX says he only had an hour to write that post, so maybe he didn't have time to look properly?
Alternatively, maybe @SBF_FTX misunderstood the executive summary. Total cash reported in this summary included $428m from WRS silo, which includes FTX US. The summary also reported $181m of digital assets (NOT cash) for FTX US.
The shortfalls are clearly in digital assets, not cash.

The $428m cash in WRS silo does not entirely belong to FTX US. It includes $128m of primarily restricted cash in LedgerX, which wouldn't be available to disburse to FTX US customers (tho @SBF_FTX seems to think it should).
Here's the evidence that @SBF_FTX thinks the restricted cash in LedgerX should be available to disburse to FTX US customers. In this spreadsheet, he's counted it in the $428m cash "in FTX US bank accounts".
In the substack post, @SBF_FTX says he doesn't know what the restricted cash at LedgerX is. Twenty seconds of Googling would have told him. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@SBF_FTX Dear @SBF_FTX, I'm afraid S&C's data does not confirm your claim that FTX US was solvent at the time of the Ch 11 filing. At that time, $250m of cash in LedgerX was set aside for a CFTC filing and could not be counted as part of FTX US's assets. So FTX US was probably insolvent.
Furthermore, customer balances are unlikely to be the only liabilities. Whether FTX US is solvent depends on whether total assets exceed total liabilities, not whether total assets exceed customer balances.
To be fair to @SBF_FTX, confusion between customer balances and total liabilities seems to be endemic in cryptoland. I do wish crypto people would learn basic accounting.
Related - the fact that total liabilities can be much more than customer balances is the reason why the Merkle tree "proof of reserves" beloved of several crypto exchanges proves absolutely nothing.

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More from @Frances_Coppola

Apr 7
In my latest piece at @themintmag, I've outlined what I think the real purpose of Trump's tariffs is. Or rather, purposes. 1/
There are three different tariffs:
- the 10% universal tariff
- the "trade deficit" tariff, determined by country
- the product tariff, e.g. 25% on all car imports
As I explain in my article, each has a different purpose. /2 themintmagazine.com/trumps-card-wh…
The 10% tariff is a fee for use of the international dollar system, or perhaps an insurance premium. Trump wants the world to pay for its reliance on the dollar.
themintmagazine.com/trumps-card-wh…
Read 10 tweets
Feb 21
Actually, you've set up a new company called Reform 2025, of which you and Zia Yusuf are sole directors. It's a company limited by guarantee and has no shareholders. But it's not "owned" by its members. 1/ …te.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/162607… x.com/Nigel_Farage/s…
Your old company, Reform UK Party Ltd, still exists. It is a private limited company. You have sold your shareholding in this company to your new company, Reform 2025 Ltd. …te.company-information.service.gov.uk/company/116948…
Your members paid their subscriptions to your old company. But you did not sell your shareholding to them, @Nigel_Farage. You sold it to your new company, to which they have paid nothing.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 8
This is like a case study in extreme apartheid. They built a cage around a Palestinian family's home to separate it from the Jewish settlement surrounding it. The only gate to the cage is controlled by the Israeli army.
The Jewish settlement is completely illegal. And so is the cage. And the presence of the IDF. And the IDF's refusal to open the gate to allow a sick elderly woman to be taken to hospital. They'd have let her die.
"It's not out fault, the electronic mechanism was broken" moans the IDF. It was broken for TWO DAYS and they did nothing. And there shouldn't have been a gate anyway. It's an outrage.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 8
For 16 months there has been a culture of silence about the true nature of the "peaceful Israeli communities" attacked on 7/10. Time that silence was broken.
Those communities were established by Israel to secure the lands stolen from the Palestinians expelled to the Gaza Strip. In other words, to prevent the Palestinians returning. Image
Image
Image
source of screenshots: thenation.com/article/world/…
Read 8 tweets
Jan 23
This is the source of the Treasury's claim that in 2006, 90% of Waspi women (women born 6/4/1950 to 5/4/1960) knew women's state pension age was rising. At the time of the survey, these women were aged 45-56.
1/ webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20100208…Image
The survey was carried out by the National Centre for Social Research and Professor Stephen McKay. It used a nationally representative sample of 1,950 adults aged 18-69. The sample was fairly evenly spread across age groups but there were more women than men.
The number of women surveyed in the 45-54 age group was 203. The number of Waspi-age women surveyed is slightly higher because the oldest Waspi women were in the 55-64 age group at the time. 3/ Image
Read 21 tweets
Jan 3
He was repeatedly warned that his algorithmic stablecoin could go into a death spiral. Instead of listening, he insulted those who warned him.
But being a blithering idiot and too arrogant to listen to expert advice doesn't make him a fraudster. The question the court will have to answer is whether he intended to defraud people of their money. I'm not sure he did.
He's different from Mashinsky, who is a professional crook in the Madoff mould and was allowed to deceive people for far too long. He's more like SBF - a young, naive and extremely arrogant tech nerd.
Read 7 tweets

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