Thread by @hubertwalas_

Everyone is harsh on Germany lately, but one must be aware that, indeed, there is logic to Berlin's actions. As I said before - I think 🇩🇪's actions are driven by 2 factors. (1/11)

First - the existence of a strong 🇷🇺 helped mitigate the reemergence of a strong neighbourhood East of 🇩🇪. It is both in 🇷🇺 and 🇩🇪 interests, and NS1/2 was a natural derivative of it. (2/11)

Second - as 🇷🇺 threw the baby out of the bathwater and presented itself as murderers to the world, it became totally impossible to side with 🇷🇺 in any visible way. But the interests remain. Now with 🇷🇺's collapse not so out of the question, (3/11)

the natural reemergence of a stronger neighbourhood East of 🇩🇪, whatever we call it, becomes a possibility. 🇵🇱🇺🇦 would be a natural core of it. Even if 🇺🇦 wins the war it won't happen in a year or even a decade. But the process due to the geographical proximity, (4/11)

cultural connections, unifying threats, and bonds created during the war, would be set in motion. With 🇺🇦's natural resources, 🇵🇱's growing economic capabilities and combined geographical potential being the entry to Europe from East, (5/11)

it could be a worrying prosect for 🇩🇪's elites. The worst case scenario being 🇵🇱🇺🇦 alliance matching the geopolitical weight of 🇩🇪, and even having more promising perspectives due to the resources on the East should Russia collapse. (6/11)

For German companies and even German citizens, that could mean degrading their standards of living, which is largely built on 🇷🇺 resources and brainpower from the East.

So even if some will argue that such a scenario won't happen because of corruption, (7/11)

🇵🇱🇺🇦 conflicts etc., one can't totally dismiss it. And Berlin does not.

All this leads to tough questions, especially for 🇩🇪 ordinary citizens. Would you agree that your (or more accurately, (8/11)

your children's) standard of living be comparable to the one of a Pole or Ukrainian? Or if 🇩🇪 economy be as large as 🇵🇱🇺🇦 combined? I think these are the questions 🇩🇪 politicians are asking themselves behind closed doors, (9/11)

but morality is playing against them currently.

And because politicians tend to see geopolitics as a zero-sum game the answer to the above questions is simply - 'No'.

I do not endorse this response, but I understand it. (10/11)

The process stands valid regardless of who is in power.

(11/11)